7914 N Omega Way · Citrus Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.1/10.0
$249,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Amazing and complete house. Pictures from the house. Welcome to your dream home! This meticulously crafted residence boasts four bedrooms, two baths and a generous 1,548 sqft of luxurious living space. In a prime location, this meticulously designed house offers an ideal blend of comfort and style. Upon entering, you'll encounter a roomy living space that seamlessly connects to the beautiful kitchen. Elegance and functionality converge in every corner of this home. The open-concept layout connects living spaces, creating an ideal environment for relaxation and entertainment. With attention to detail evident throughout, this home is a gem. The kitchen
Key facts
- 0.3 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 2025
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-152 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (8.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (20.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#521 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, employment D+.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1247 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $250k implies a 2400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.61%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-50,159
- Equity at exit
- $37,274
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-56,019
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $69,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34434
- Home prices YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 1247
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,994 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $-152
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $21 | -5% $-66 | +0% $-152 | +5% $-238 | +10% $-325 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-310 | -5% $-231 | +0% $-152 | +5% $-73 | +10% $6 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-26 | -0.5pp $-88 | base $-152 | +0.5pp $-217 | +1.0pp $-283 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,498
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8006 N Voyager Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $1,899 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1912 W Quaker Ln Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $1,895 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3036 W Akron Pl Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7175 N Varsity Ave Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,795 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3272 W Fairbank Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1774 | $2,050 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8267 N Santos Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7047 N Lime Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1630 | $1,900 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7938 N Maltese Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $2,150 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 8596 N Spartan Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $2,000 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7708 N Paris Dr Dunnellon, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,800 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7062 N Regent Ter Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $1,700 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7061 N Outrigger Ter Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1621 | $1,700 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7908 N Galena Ave Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1551 | $1,850 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8030 N Galena Ave Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1833 | $2,150 | $1.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 9081 N Golfview Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1374 | $1,400 | $1.02 | 22d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 8055 N Wellington Ter Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9305 N Citrus Springs Blvd Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9205 N Fawn Way Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,750 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2330 W Juan Vega Ln Dunnellon, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,675 | $1.39 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3584 W Burgandy Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $1,699 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 8715 N Paradisea Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1403 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2907 W Camilo Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $1,795 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 6865 N Pavilion Loop Citrus Springs, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1674 | $1,850 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 9127 N Justa Dr Citrus Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-11historical
-
2026-04-09status Active
-
2026-04-08$249,990 Active
-
2025-11-21historical $1,650
-
2025-11-11price $1,650
-
2025-10-23price $1,750
-
2025-09-27$1,800
-
2025-08-14$269,000 Active
-
2023-12-22soldstatus $10,000
-
2006-05-30soldstatus $36,600
-
2005-02-28soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,934
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,003
- − Property taxes
- −$3,750
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,915
- − Management
- −$1,915
- − Depreciation
- −$7,272
- Taxable loss
- −$6,171
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,481
- After-tax cash flow
- $-343/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Citrus Springs
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #9598
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Citrus Springs, FL
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- City population
- 10,730
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,074
- Household income
- $68,939
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 171.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.70%
- Current HPI
- 328.2164
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1251.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listed $249,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-21 Rental Removed $1,650 STELLARMLS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $1,650 STELLARMLS
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $1,750 STELLARMLS
- 2025-09-27 Listed for Rent $1,800 STELLARMLS
- 2025-08-14 Listed $269,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2006-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $36,600 Public Records
- 2005-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.8%/yrLatest (2025): $281 · +30.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…