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22 Old River Rd
C Composite 57.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$149,900

22 Old River Rd · North Walpole, NH 05101
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,106 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1952 4.00 ac lot ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy this charming and spacious dormered cape on 4 fantastic acres of lawn, gardens and wetlands. Engineer-built and well cared for by the same family for over 31 years. Move-in condition with new carpeting, hardwood floors, 2 story porch, 2-car garage and new furnace and hot water heater. The house is bright and cheerful and within walking distance to Herricks Cove. Easy access to I-91 and easy commute to Brattleboro, Springfield or Claremont. Don`t miss out on this exceptional property.

Key facts

  • Repaired roof
  • 4 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

REPAIRED ROOFVERMICULITE INSULATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property is foreclosed / bank-owned / REO

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Gravel driveway
  • Utilities: Drilled well for water; Septic system; 200 amp electrical service; Cable internet available
  • Home design: Colonial style; Existing property
  • Construction: Built in 1952; Wood frame construction; Fiberglass shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Open and wooded lot; Publicly maintained road frontage (approximately 300 feet)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heating
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Basement with interior access; Basement is concrete, has a concrete floor, and is unfinished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($836/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (0.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#25 in NH, #3,506 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Market conditions: 188 units permitted in Windham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Windham County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
1.99%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
3.05×
Total profit
$86,148
Equity at exit
$135,042
10-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
6.96×
Total profit
$250,340
Equity at exit
$291,223

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 05101

Home prices YoY
7.0%
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,497 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$264 /mo · $3,170/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$314
Net cashflow
$70

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,408
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    status $149,900 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 32 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 31 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active with Contract 30 DOM
  17. 2026-05-06
    historical Active with Contract
  18. 2026-04-30
    listed $149,900 Active
  19. 2025-03-26
    soldstatus $228,447
  20. 2005-12-16
    soldstatus $205,000 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Enjoy this charming and spacious dormered cape on 4 fantastic acres of lawn, gardens and wetlands. Engineer-built and well cared for by the same family for over 31 years. Move-in condition with new carpeting, hardwood floors, 2 story porch, 2-car garage and new furnace and hot water heater. The house is bright and cheerful and within walking distance to Herricks Cove. Easy access to I-91 and easy commute to Brattleboro, Springfield or Claremont. Don`t miss out on this exceptional property.

  21. 2005-12-16
    soldstatus $205,000
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Enjoy this charming and spacious dormered cape on 4 fantastic acres of lawn, gardens and wetlands. Engineer-built and well cared for by the same family for over 31 years. Move-in condition with new carpeting, hardwood floors, 2 story porch, 2-car garage and new furnace and hot water heater. The house is bright and cheerful and within walking distance to Herricks Cove. Easy access to I-91 and easy commute to Brattleboro, Springfield or Claremont. Don`t miss out on this exceptional property.

  22. 2005-05-05
    listed $225,000 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Enjoy this charming and spacious dormered cape on 4 fantastic acres of lawn, gardens and wetlands. Engineer-built and well cared for by the same family for over 31 years. Move-in condition with new carpeting, hardwood floors, 2 story porch, 2-car garage and new furnace and hot water heater. The house is bright and cheerful and within walking distance to Herricks Cove. Easy access to I-91 and easy commute to Brattleboro, Springfield or Claremont. Don`t miss out on this exceptional property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,170 · $264/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,219 · $268/mo
Expected delta
+$49/yr (+$4/mo · 1.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,961
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$3,170
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,437
− Management
−$1,437
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$1,590
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$382
After-tax cash flow
$1,218/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — North Walpole

Score
76/100
State rank
#25
US rank
#3506

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
618
Population (ZIP)
4,135

Population outlook (Windham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,432 people
By 2030
38,472 · -4.8%
By 2040
33,954 · -16.0%
By 2050
29,774 · -26.4%
By 2075
22,351 · -44.7%
By 2100
15,961 · -60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Slovak 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Windham

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.7) · D 69.6% · R 26.9% · Other 3.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.4pp toward R · 2008: 48.1pp · 2024: 42.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.7 2020: D+47.3 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+49.2 2008: D+48.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.90%
Current HPI
335.6166
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-33.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Contingent PrimeMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $149,900 PrimeMLS
  • 2025-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $228,447 Public Records
  • 2005-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
  • 2005-12-16 Sold (MLS) $205,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2005-05-05 Listed $225,000 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,170 · +11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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