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1418 Arlington Dr
C+ Composite 64.72
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

1418 Arlington Dr · Corsicana, TX 75110
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1956 9,845 sqft lot Est $174k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Calling all Investors!!! Fixer upper that needs a little love and a vision to restore this home to it's full potential. Home is being sold as is!!! Owner will not be making any repairs.

Key facts

  • 9,845 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1956

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as residential single family; Subdivision: Corsicanqa; County: Navarro
  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Covered parking for 2 vehicles; Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Asphalt (street/drive surface); No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single family residence (attached); One story; Built in 1956
  • Construction: Year built 1956
  • Exterior features: Lot smaller than 0.5 acre (about 0.226 acres); Asphalt utilities/drive surfaces

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on level 1, approximately 12 x 14
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Paneling throughout; One living area; Two total main rooms
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.4% in Corsicana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#283 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
  • Corsicana ISD (town): math 39% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #471 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bowie El (math 41% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 534 students, 68% FRL); Corsicana Middle (math 35% / reading 43%, grade F, #690 of 1,662 statewide, top 42%, 928 students, 76% FRL); Corsicana H S (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 1,805 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 522 units permitted in Navarro County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Navarro County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.67%
Cash-on-cash
8.49%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$174,240
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1601 Cherry Ave 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,100 (+4%) 8mo $199,000 $181 74
1302 Ann Arbor Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,024 (-3%) 2mo $187,500 $183 64
1610 Cherry Ave 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+14%) 14mo $189,000 $158 52
2040 Bowie Dr 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,155 (+9%) 11mo $190,000 $165 48
1313 Ann Arbor Dr 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,212 (+15%) 1mo $115,000 $95 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-8,640
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-3,276
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75110

Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
274
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,430 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$174 /mo · $2,094/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$248

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,117
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $318 -5% $283 +0% $248 +5% $212 +10% $177
Rent -10% $135 -5% $191 +0% $248 +5% $304 +10% $361
Rate -1.0pp $311 -0.5pp $279 base $248 +0.5pp $215 +1.0pp $182

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1306 Liveoak Ave Corsicana, TX 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,300 $1.20 6d 1 0.45mi
1505 Woodlawn Ave Corsicana, TX 3.0 2.0 1220 $1,900 $1.56 45d 1 0.48mi
2608 W Sycamore Ave Unit 7 Corsicana, TX 2.0 1.0 920 $975 $1.06 14d 1 0.94mi
2539 W Sycamore Ave Unit 2539 Corsicana, TX 2.0 1.0 1032 $1,050 $1.02 26d 1 0.94mi
2612 W Sycamore Ave Apt 4 Corsicana, TX 2.0 1.0 920 $925 $1.01 26d 1 0.95mi
2612 W Sycamore Ave Apt 4 Corsicana, TX 2.0 1.0 920 $925 $1.01 22d 1 0.95mi
1509 W Collin St Corsicana, TX 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,850 $1.43 45d 1 1.03mi
544 N 37th St Corsicana, TX 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,590 $1.47 26d 1 1.09mi
208 N 36th St Corsicana, TX 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 45d 1 1.22mi
3008 Winfield Dr Corsicana, TX 3.0 1.0 1468 $1,450 $0.99 26d 1 1.38mi
2928 College Cir Corsicana, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,650 $1.21 12d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    remarks 186-char remark
  2. 2026-06-03
    listed $125,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,094 · $174/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,288 · $191/mo
Expected delta
+$194/yr (+$16/mo · 9.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,161
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$2,094
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,373
− Management
−$1,373
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$1,058
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$254
After-tax cash flow
$2,718/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corsicana ISD
NCES district ID
4815330
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,948
Composite
31.89/100
National rank
#5862
State rank
#471 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corsicana

Score
71/100
State rank
#283
US rank
#6570

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corsicana, TX
County
Navarro County · 31,552 people
City population
31,552
Metro
Corsicana, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,552
Household income
$57,370
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Navarro County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,397 people
By 2030
48,096 · -0.6%
By 2040
47,394 · -2.1%
By 2050
46,541 · -3.8%
By 2075
44,940 · -7.1%
By 2100
42,288 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 16% Black 13% Pacific Islander 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Navarro

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.7% · R 75.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -51.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.8 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+42.4 2008: R+33.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -248.01%
Current HPI
224.5566
Rent YoY
▼ -1.47%
Metro
Corsicana, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $125,000 NTREIS
  • 2012-01-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-09-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-01-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1985-11-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1985-09-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,094 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…