Fourplex
4835 Pickford St · Los Angeles, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,650,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
This unique property features four large rental units, including three 3-bedroom, 2-bath units and one 4-bedroom, 3-bath unit. All units are generously sized and include access to a large front parking area offering ample tenant convenience. All four units are currently tenant-occupied with significantly under-market rents, including two units rented at extremely low rates, offering substantial upside potential for investors. Seller is a licensed real estate broker in the state of California.
Key facts
- Front parking area
- Large rental units
- 5,765 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 3-bed/2.2-bath units multifamily listed at $1.65M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $435/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.48M (10.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.45M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $14,826/mo this rent would consume 241% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 5272% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $50k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.45M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 19 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $145k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $450k; list at $1.65M implies a 267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.52%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,305,863
- List price
- $1,650,000
- Delta
- 26.35%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1434 S Orange Dr | 0.36mi | 12/8.0 | 5,894 (+14%) | 12mo | $1,250,000 | $212 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-200,676
- Equity at exit
- $246,020
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-202,648
- Equity at exit
- $142,662
Cash invested: $462,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Los Angeles
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
ZIP-level market 90019
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 37.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $14,826 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$8,653
- Tax from tax record
- −$633 /mo · $7,591/yr
- Insurance
- −$688
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,113
- Net cashflow
- $1,740
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 3 | 2.2 | $14,824 |
| #1 | 3 | 2.2 | $3,706 |
| #2 | 3 | 2.2 | $3,706 |
| #3 | 3 | 2.2 | $3,706 |
| #4 | 3 | 2.2 | $3,706 |
| Total (4 units) | $14,826 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $412,500
- Closing costs
- $49,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,650,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,650,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,650,000 Active 243 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $1,650,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $1,650,000 Active 240 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $1,650,000 Active 236 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $1,650,000 Active 235 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $1,650,000 Active 234 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $1,650,000 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $1,650,000 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $1,650,000 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $1,650,000 Active 228 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $1,650,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $1,695,000 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
This unique property features four large rental units, including three 3-bedroom, 2-bath units and one 4-bedroom, 3-bath unit. All units are generously sized and include access to a large front parking area offering ample tenant convenience. All four units are currently tenant-occupied with significantly under-market rents, including two units rented at extremely low rates, offering substantial upside potential for investors. Seller is a licensed real estate broker in the state of California.
-
2026-01-02status Active 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
This unique property features four large rental units, including three 3-bedroom, 2-bath units and one 4-bedroom, 3-bath unit. All units are generously sized and include access to a large front parking area offering ample tenant convenience. All four units are currently tenant-occupied with significantly under-market rents, including two units rented at extremely low rates, offering substantial upside potential for investors. Seller is a licensed real estate broker in the state of California.
-
2025-10-15$1,795,000 Active 497-char remark
Show marketing remark (497 chars)
This unique property features four large rental units, including three 3-bedroom, 2-bath units and one 4-bedroom, 3-bath unit. All units are generously sized and include access to a large front parking area offering ample tenant convenience. All four units are currently tenant-occupied with significantly under-market rents, including two units rented at extremely low rates, offering substantial upside potential for investors. Seller is a licensed real estate broker in the state of California.
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2025-04-14Active
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2019-09-04historical Withdrawn
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2019-09-04historical
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2019-06-20price
-
2019-06-10Active
-
2019-06-10$1,695,000
-
2018-12-30historical Expired
-
2018-12-30historical
-
2018-11-30Active
-
2018-11-30$2,200,000
-
2011-01-11soldstatus $450,000 Closed
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2010-12-15status Pending
-
2010-11-15price $499,900 Active
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2010-11-15status Active
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2010-11-04status Pending
-
2010-10-31status Active
-
2010-10-31historical Expired
-
2010-09-28price $529,900 Active
-
2010-09-28status Active
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2010-09-25status Pending
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2010-08-27price $549,900
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2010-07-30$574,900 Active
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2008-04-18historical
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2006-07-26
-
2005-09-15historical
-
2005-08-26soldstatus $900,000
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2005-08-26soldstatus $900,000
-
2005-07-19historical
-
2005-05-16$900,000
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2005-05-15$900,000
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2003-05-20soldstatus $520,000
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2003-05-20soldstatus $520,000
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2003-04-28historical
-
2003-02-21$530,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,591 · $633/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,540 · $1,045/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,949/yr (+$412/mo · 65.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $177,912
- − Mortgage interest
- −$92,426
- − Property taxes
- −$7,591
- − Insurance
- −$8,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$14,233
- − Management
- −$14,233
- − Depreciation
- −$48,000
- Taxable loss
- −$6,821
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,637
- After-tax cash flow
- $22,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Los Angeles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Los Angeles, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 3,838,149
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,548
- Household income
- $73,934
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5272.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 43% White 18% Black 17% Asian 17% Two or more races 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 37% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 38% Korean 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1477.82%
- Current HPI
- 425.5427
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.50%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+836.5% since first listed54 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $1,695,000 TheMLS
- 2026-01-02 Relisted — TheMLS
- 2025-10-15 Listed $1,795,000 TheMLS
- 2025-04-14 Listed — TheMLS
- 2019-09-04 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2019-09-04 Delisted — TheMLS
- 2019-06-20 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2019-06-10 Listed $1,695,000 SDMLS
- 2019-06-10 Listed — TheMLS
- 2018-12-30 Listing Removed — SDMLS
- 2018-12-30 Delisted — TheMLS
- 2018-11-30 Listed $2,200,000 SDMLS
- 2018-11-30 Listed — TheMLS
- 2011-01-11 Sold (MLS) $450,000 TheMLS
- 2010-12-15 Pending — TheMLS
- 2010-11-15 Relisted — TheMLS
- 2010-11-15 Price Changed $499,900 TheMLS
- 2010-11-04 Pending — TheMLS
- 2010-10-31 Relisted — TheMLS
- 2010-10-31 Delisted — TheMLS
- 2010-09-28 Relisted — TheMLS
- 2010-09-28 Price Changed $529,900 TheMLS
- 2010-09-25 Pending — TheMLS
- 2010-08-27 Price Changed $549,900 TheMLS
- 2010-07-30 Listed $574,900 TheMLS
- 2008-04-18 Delisted — TheMLS
- 2006-07-26 Listed — TheMLS
- 2005-09-15 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2005-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $900,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-26 Sold (MLS) $900,000 TheMLS
- 2005-07-19 Delisted — TheMLS
- 2005-05-16 Listed $900,000 CRMLS
- 2005-05-15 Listed $900,000 TheMLS
- 2003-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $520,000 Public Records
- 2003-05-20 Sold (MLS) $520,000 TheMLS
- 2003-04-28 Delisted — TheMLS
- 2003-02-21 Listed $530,000 TheMLS
- 2002-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $395,000 Public Records
- 2002-06-24 Sold (MLS) $395,000 TheMLS
- 2002-04-22 Listed $400,000 TheMLS
- 1999-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
- 1999-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $184,000 Public Records
- 1999-01-07 Sold (MLS) $179,000 TheMLS
- 1998-11-03 Delisted — TheMLS
- 1998-09-14 Sold (MLS) $199,000 CRMLS
- 1998-06-22 Listed $199,000 CRMLS
- 1998-06-17 Listed $189,000 TheMLS
- 1997-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $330,000 Public Records
- 1997-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $217,500 Public Records
- 1997-04-18 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 1997-02-17 Listed $199,900 CRMLS
- 1991-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $330,000 Public Records
- 1990-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $73,500 Public Records
- 1987-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $181,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $7,591 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…