8713 N 39th St · Tampa, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Rare opportunity! A really affordable home in a sought after location! Cute house. Yard completely fenced has shade trees. Screened porch off kitchen has laundry room in rear. There is a small concrete storage shed in back yard.
Key facts
- Shade trees
- Laundry room
- Screened porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned RM-24
- Financial info: No lease restrictions
- HOA & community: No association; No association approval required
Exterior
- Parking: Paved road access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Cable available and connected; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Fiber optics available; Fire hydrant nearby
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces west
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block and slab foundation; Built on a 0.13-acre lot (approx. 50 x 113)
- Exterior features: Cleared lot; Paved lot/driveway; Shed(s) and storage structures
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; 3 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (4.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $143k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Dr Carter G Woodson K-8 School (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #2,073 of 2,144 statewide, top 97%, 1,023 students, 78% FRL); Wharton High School (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 2,289 students, 46% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 368 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $150k implies a 507% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.69%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-17,346
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-15,316
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33604
- Home prices YoY
- -31.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 368
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,426 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,373/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $164
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4121 E Busch Blvd Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 955 | $2,002 | $2.10 | 2d | 12 | 0.21mi |
| 4131 E Busch Blvd Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,040 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4131 E Busch Blvd Unit 01 4129-10 Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,234 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 4705 E Citrus Cir Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 728 | $1,600 | $2.20 | 5d | 8 | 0.54mi |
| 4209 E Okara Rd Unit 4219 A Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,150 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9305 Takomah Trl Unit 105 Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $1,400 | $2.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 9305 Takomah Trl Unit 206 Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $1,425 | $2.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4824 E Busch Blvd Unit 9201-4 Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,350 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4824 E Busch Blvd Unit 4812-7 Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,175 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4824 E Busch Blvd Unit 9203-3 Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,375 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7517 Lakeshore Dr Unit A Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,500 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4939 E Busch Blvd Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 768 | $1,699 | $2.21 | 17d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 8501 N 50th St Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 730 | $1,710 | $2.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 8725 Del Rey Ct Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 432 | $1,179 | $2.73 | 2d | 11 | 1.03mi |
| 10420 McKinley Dr Tampa, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1347 | $2,082 | $1.55 | 2d | 81 | 1.08mi |
| 8412 Rio Bravo Ct Tampa, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1014 | $1,384 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 7246 E Bank Dr Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,900 | $3.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7234 E Bank Dr Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $1,300 | $2.58 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7200 E Bank Dr Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $1,200 | $1.92 | 18d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9313 N 20th St Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 716 | $1,595 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 7193 E Bank Dr Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $1,050 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7101 E Bank Dr #7101 Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $1,000 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7100 Waterside Dr Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $1,050 | $2.08 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7141 E Bank Dr Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $1,100 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4102 Oak Knoll Ct Apt 1 Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,250 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4102 Oak Knoll Ct Tampa, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $1,375 | $1.51 | 3d | 56 | 1.34mi |
| 7017 Waterside Dr #1 Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $1,000 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7009 Waterside Dr Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $1,025 | $2.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 7009 Waterside Dr Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $1,025 | $2.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1726 E Idell St Unit B Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $1,400 | $1.99 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-07remarks 270-char remark
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $149,900 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 230-char remark
-
2026-05-31$149,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,373 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,373 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,118
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,373
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,369
- − Management
- −$1,369
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$501
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$120
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,088/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tampa
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2135
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tampa, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 523,346
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,055
- Household income
- $58,766
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2581.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 38% White 35% Two or more races 22% Black 21% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 11% Cuban 13% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 30% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -200.24%
- Current HPI
- 439.7084
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.52%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+506.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $24,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,373 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…