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8713 N 39th St
C- Composite 50.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

8713 N 39th St · Tampa, FL 33604
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1960 5,650 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Rare opportunity! A really affordable home in a sought after location! Cute house. Yard completely fenced has shade trees. Screened porch off kitchen has laundry room in rear. There is a small concrete storage shed in back yard.

Key facts

  • Shade trees
  • Laundry room
  • Screened porch

Tags

SOUGHT AFTER LOCATIONYARD COMPLETELY FENCEDSHADE TREESSCREENED PORCHLAUNDRY ROOMCONCRETE STORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned RM-24
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions
  • HOA & community: No association; No association approval required

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved road access
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Cable available and connected; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Fiber optics available; Fire hydrant nearby
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces west
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block and slab foundation; Built on a 0.13-acre lot (approx. 50 x 113)
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot; Paved lot/driveway; Shed(s) and storage structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; 3 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (4.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Dr Carter G Woodson K-8 School (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #2,073 of 2,144 statewide, top 97%, 1,023 students, 78% FRL); Wharton High School (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 2,289 students, 46% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 368 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $150k implies a 507% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,650 (4.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.61%
Cash-on-cash
4.69%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.7%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-17,346
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-15,316
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33604

Home prices YoY
-31.3%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
368
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,426 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,373/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$164

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,219
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4121 E Busch Blvd Tampa, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 955 $2,002 $2.10 2d 12 0.21mi
4131 E Busch Blvd Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,040 $1.39 24d 1 0.28mi
4131 E Busch Blvd Unit 01 4129-10 Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,234 $1.65 24d 1 0.28mi
4705 E Citrus Cir Tampa, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 728 $1,600 $2.20 5d 8 0.54mi
4209 E Okara Rd Unit 4219 A Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 550 $1,150 $2.09 24d 1 0.59mi
9305 Takomah Trl Unit 105 Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 616 $1,400 $2.27 24d 1 0.59mi
9305 Takomah Trl Unit 206 Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 616 $1,425 $2.31 14d 1 0.59mi
4824 E Busch Blvd Unit 9201-4 Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,350 $1.93 24d 1 0.69mi
4824 E Busch Blvd Unit 4812-7 Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 650 $1,175 $1.81 24d 1 0.69mi
4824 E Busch Blvd Unit 9203-3 Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,375 $1.96 24d 1 0.69mi
7517 Lakeshore Dr Unit A Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 710 $1,500 $2.11 24d 1 0.85mi
4939 E Busch Blvd Tampa, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 768 $1,699 $2.21 17d 1 0.87mi
8501 N 50th St Tampa, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 730 $1,710 $2.34 24d 1 0.98mi
8725 Del Rey Ct Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 432 $1,179 $2.73 2d 11 1.03mi
10420 McKinley Dr Tampa, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1347 $2,082 $1.55 2d 81 1.08mi
8412 Rio Bravo Ct Tampa, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1014 $1,384 $1.36 24d 1 1.14mi
7246 E Bank Dr Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 540 $1,900 $3.52 24d 1 1.20mi
7234 E Bank Dr Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 504 $1,300 $2.58 3d 1 1.20mi
7200 E Bank Dr Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 626 $1,200 $1.92 18d 1 1.23mi
9313 N 20th St Tampa, FL 2.0 1.0 716 $1,595 $2.23 24d 1 1.23mi
7193 E Bank Dr Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 504 $1,050 $2.08 24d 1 1.24mi
7101 E Bank Dr #7101 Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 504 $1,000 $1.98 24d 1 1.28mi
7100 Waterside Dr Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 504 $1,050 $2.08 5d 1 1.28mi
7141 E Bank Dr Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 504 $1,100 $2.18 24d 1 1.29mi
4102 Oak Knoll Ct Apt 1 Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 690 $1,250 $1.81 24d 1 1.34mi
4102 Oak Knoll Ct Tampa, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 912 $1,375 $1.51 3d 56 1.34mi
7017 Waterside Dr #1 Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 504 $1,000 $1.98 24d 1 1.36mi
7009 Waterside Dr Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 504 $1,025 $2.03 24d 1 1.36mi
7009 Waterside Dr Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 504 $1,025 $2.03 14d 1 1.36mi
1726 E Idell St Unit B Tampa, FL 1.0 1.0 702 $1,400 $1.99 5d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    remarks 270-char remark
  2. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $149,900 Pending 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    remarks 230-char remark
  8. 2026-05-31
    listed $149,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,373 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,373 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,118
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,373
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,369
− Management
−$1,369
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable loss
−$501
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$120
After-tax cash flow
$2,088/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tampa

Score
79/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2135

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tampa, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
City population
523,346
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
40,055
Household income
$58,766
Rent vs Own
44.0% rent · 56.0% own
Severe rent burden
2581.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 38% White 35% Two or more races 22% Black 21% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 11% Cuban 13% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 30% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -200.24%
Current HPI
439.7084
Rent YoY
▲ 0.52%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+506.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $24,700 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,373 · +11.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…