CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
9838 Tanbark Ln
D Composite 43.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

9838 Tanbark Ln · Edmundson, MO 63134
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1959 6,499 sqft lot $138/sqft · 13% below area Est $160k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention all Buyers and Investors! This wonderful Home is being Offered for Sale. This is a great Opportunity! It is a 3 bedroom 1 bath Ranch Style Home in the wonderful community of Edmundson! This Home has Tenants in it currently. It is a wonderful Cash flowing property that has been a rental for 6 or more years. There is room to raise rents. The rent is currently at $850 and has some room to raise the rent. It has had some updates over the years. The AC unit is a few years old and the tub was glazes in 2017. Come check it out! This property wont last long!

Key facts

  • 6,499 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1959

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Property sub-type: Single Family Residence; Living area reported as 1,008 (assessor); Lot listed with public records and approximately 0.1492 acres
  • Financial info: Lease may be considered
  • HOA & community: No HOA details provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered off-street parking; 1 total parking space; 1-car carport
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (Ameren); Cable available and connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; No basement
  • Exterior features: Front yard; Few trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Gas water heater
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (11.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#353 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A-, housing B+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ritenour (suburban): math 13% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #304 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Kratz Elem. (math 9% / reading 25%, grade F, #967 of 1,115 statewide, top 88%, 538 students, 99% FRL); Hoech Middle (math 15% / reading 28%, grade F, #339 of 391 statewide, top 87%, 299 students, 99% FRL); Ritenour Sr. High (math 9% / reading 36%, grade F, #455 of 521 statewide, top 88%, 1,873 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $159k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,486 (11.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.98%
Cash-on-cash
2.46%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,125
List price
$159,000
Delta
-0.70%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4423 Dabney Dr 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,152 (0%) 4mo $109,900 $95 90
9716 Margo Ann Ln 0.19mi 3/1.5 1,111 (-4%) 1mo $135,000 $122 82
4411 Edmundson Rd 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-4%) 1mo $130,000 $118 82
4426 Treadway Ln 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,008 (-12%) 1mo $114,900 $114 76
4053 Jane Ave 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,224 (+6%) 2mo $114,900 $94 76
3678 Elsa Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,170 (+2%) 1mo $110,000 $94 68
4421 Ashby Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,161 (+1%) 1mo $184,900 $159 60
4332 Saint Leo Ln 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,068 (-7%) 2mo $170,000 $159 59
3904 Jane Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,263 (+10%) 4mo $114,900 $91 59
3931 Fairway Ct 0.47mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,264 (+10%) 3mo $249,900 $198 52
4204 Beauty Ln 0.41mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,299 (+13%) 3mo $140,000 $108 50
9406 Bataan Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,037 (-10%) 3mo $175,000 $169 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-21,910
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-19,431
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63134

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,405 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,421/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,289
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $181 -5% $136 +0% $91 +5% $46 +10% $1
Rent -10% $-20 -5% $36 +0% $91 +5% $147 +10% $202
Rate -1.0pp $171 -0.5pp $132 base $91 +0.5pp $50 +1.0pp $8

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4120 Geraldine Ave St Ann, MO 2.0 1.5 922 $1,200 $1.30 19d 1 0.20mi
3961 Jane Ave Unit 3963 St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,195 $1.59 16d 1 0.31mi
9807 Guthrie Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1068 $1,685 $1.58 0d 1 0.32mi
4204 Beauty Ln Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.5 1299 $1,690 $1.30 45d 1 0.39mi
10069 Livingston Ave St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 875 $1,100 $1.26 25d 1 0.46mi
10145 Cabana Club Dr St Ann, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 776 $1,060 $1.37 45d 8 0.47mi
4616 Country Ln St Ann, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 808 $1,479 $1.83 0d 7 0.57mi
9457 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1472 $1,530 $1.04 23d 1 0.62mi
9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9709 Overland, MO 2.0 1.5 830 $1,200 $1.45 0d 1 0.62mi
9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9733 Overland, MO 2.0 1.5 830 $1,200 $1.45 5d 1 0.62mi
9675 Muriel Ave Unit 9627 Overland, MO 2.0 1.5 830 $1,200 $1.45 45d 1 0.62mi
9448 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 864 $1,495 $1.73 45d 1 0.65mi
4400 Gordon Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 6d 1 0.74mi
3648 Edmundson Rd Unit 1 St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 45d 1 0.80mi
3529 Saint Joachim Ln Unit NA St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 22d 1 0.94mi
3529 Saint Joachim Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 25d 1 0.94mi
10742 Tropic Dr Unit VACANT St Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 45d 1 0.95mi
9969 Sloane Sq Unit 9969C St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 761 $895 $1.18 6d 1 0.96mi
9183 Harold Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 912 $1,200 $1.32 45d 1 0.98mi
3434 Sims Ave Saint Ann, MO 3.0 1.5 988 $1,545 $1.56 45d 1 1.00mi
11276 Liana Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,189 $1.52 6d 1 1.04mi
10788 Tropic Dr Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 828 $1,260 $1.52 45d 1 1.06mi
10214 Saint Anthony Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 734 $1,200 $1.63 45d 1 1.12mi
10116 Saint Katherine Ln Saint Ann, MO 3.0 1.0 984 $1,865 $1.90 19d 1 1.12mi
9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt B St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 45d 1 1.15mi
9310 Shirley Gardens Dr Apt C St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 45d 1 1.15mi
3219 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,095 $1.38 23d 1 1.27mi
3213 Airway Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1215 $1,550 $1.28 45d 1 1.30mi
3209 Royalton Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 805 $1,150 $1.43 45d 1 1.30mi
3209 Dix Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1122 $1,550 $1.38 25d 1 1.37mi
10205 Saint Daniel Ln Saint Ann, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,450 $1.83 45d 1 1.47mi
9618 De Porres Ln Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 875 $1,200 $1.37 45d 1 1.49mi
8819 McNulty Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 752 $1,225 $1.63 45d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $159,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $159,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $165,000 Active 1 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $165,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
  12. 2026-05-06
    listed $159,000 Active
  13. 2026-04-24
    historical
  14. 2025-03-27
    historical $1,400
  15. 2025-03-20
    listed $1,400
  16. 2022-07-18
    soldstatus $100,000
  17. 2022-07-13
    soldstatus Closed 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Attention all Buyers and Investors! This wonderful Home is being Offered for Sale. This is a great Opportunity! It is a 3 bedroom 1 bath Ranch Style Home in the wonderful community of Edmundson! This Home has Tenants in it currently. It is a wonderful Cash flowing property that has been a rental for 6 or more years. There is room to raise rents. The rent is currently at $850 and has some room to raise the rent. It has had some updates over the years. The AC unit is a few years old and the tub was glazes in 2017. Come check it out! This property wont last long!

  18. 2022-06-10
    status Pending 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Attention all Buyers and Investors! This wonderful Home is being Offered for Sale. This is a great Opportunity! It is a 3 bedroom 1 bath Ranch Style Home in the wonderful community of Edmundson! This Home has Tenants in it currently. It is a wonderful Cash flowing property that has been a rental for 6 or more years. There is room to raise rents. The rent is currently at $850 and has some room to raise the rent. It has had some updates over the years. The AC unit is a few years old and the tub was glazes in 2017. Come check it out! This property wont last long!

  19. 2022-06-08
    listed $105,000 Active 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Attention all Buyers and Investors! This wonderful Home is being Offered for Sale. This is a great Opportunity! It is a 3 bedroom 1 bath Ranch Style Home in the wonderful community of Edmundson! This Home has Tenants in it currently. It is a wonderful Cash flowing property that has been a rental for 6 or more years. There is room to raise rents. The rent is currently at $850 and has some room to raise the rent. It has had some updates over the years. The AC unit is a few years old and the tub was glazes in 2017. Come check it out! This property wont last long!

  20. 2022-06-04
    historical $105,000 578-char remark
    Show marketing remark (578 chars)

    Attention all Buyers and Investors! This wonderful Home is being Offered for Sale. This is a great Opportunity! It is a 3 bedroom 1 bath Ranch Style Home in the wonderful community of Edmundson! This Home has Tenants in it currently. It is a wonderful Cash flowing property that has been a rental for 6 or more years. There is room to raise rents. The rent is currently at $850 and has some room to raise the rent. It has had some updates over the years. The AC unit is a few years old and the tub was glazes in 2017. Come check it out! This property wont last long!

  21. 2007-06-27
    soldstatus $95,000
  22. 2006-08-29
    soldstatus $54,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,421 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,542 · $129/mo
Expected delta
+$122/yr (+$10/mo · 8.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,858
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$1,421
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,349
− Management
−$1,349
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable loss
−$1,587
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$381
After-tax cash flow
$1,478/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ritenour
NCES district ID
2926640
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,410
Composite
17.04/100
National rank
#9125
State rank
#304 of 324 in MO

Livability — Edmundson

Score
63/100
State rank
#353
US rank
#15711

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edmundson, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
13,059
Household income
$44,680
Rent vs Own
45.5% rent · 54.5% own
Severe rent burden
655.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.02%
Current HPI
226.9524
Rent YoY
▲ 1.61%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+194.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $159,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $165,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-01 Coming Soon $165,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $165,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $159,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Coming Soon MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-27 Rental Removed $1,400 MARIS
  • 2025-03-20 Listed for Rent $1,400 MARIS
  • 2022-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2022-07-13 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-10 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-08 Listed $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-04 Coming Soon $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2006-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,421 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…