104 S Jackson St · Salem, MO 65560

$39,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 914 sqft · Other public records · 12 Days on market

Built 1930 10,031 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +7.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

This home has a nice layout but needs some TLC and Repairs. Nice location for town amenities. Large rear yard with mature trees including a huge walnut tree. Back yard had access from the alleyway. Full basement with access from inside and outside as drive in garage.

Key facts

• Drive in garage
• Huge walnut tree
• Back yard access

Tags

• LARGE REAR YARD
• MATURE TREES
• HUGE WALNUT TREE
• BACK YARD ACCESS
• FULL BASEMENT
• DRIVE IN GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

• Parking: 1-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer connected; Water connected
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level
• Construction: Wood siding
• Exterior features: City lot; Rectangular lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heat (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Full basement; Refrigerator included; Ceiling fans; Central air
• Laundry & utility: 220 volt electrical service; Single phase electric

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($743 rent vs $40k).
• Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 2.7% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#157 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
• Salem R-80 (town): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #253 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Salem Upper Elem. (math 28% / reading 40%, grade F, #739 of 1,115 statewide, top 67%, 336 students, 62% FRL); Salem Sr. High (math 8% / reading 47%, grade F, #417 of 521 statewide, top 80%, 616 students, 46% FRL).
• Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Dent County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
• Dent County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $39,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.86% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.20%
• Cash-on-cash: 35.38%
• DSCR: 2.57
• GRM: 4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 45.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.84×
• Total profit: $31,686
• Equity at exit: $24,220

10-year hold

• IRR: 42.4%
• Equity multiple: 7.89×
• Total profit: $77,010
• Equity at exit: $43,197

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 65560

• Home prices YoY: 2.4%
• Active inventory: 169
• Price-to-rent: 4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $743 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$209
• Tax from tax record: −$31 /mo · $377/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$156
• Net cashflow: $329

Break-even live

Break-even rent $326

Max offer price $39,900

Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $352	-5% $341	+0% $329	+5% $318	+10% $307
Rent	-10% $271	-5% $300	+0% $329	+5% $359	+10% $388
Rate	-1.0pp $349	-0.5pp $340	base $329	+0.5pp $319	+1.0pp $309

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $9,975
• Closing costs: $1,197
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-13
   status Pending 267-char remark
2. 2026-05-01
   listed $39,900 Active 267-char remark
3. 1989-07-01
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $377 · $31/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $387 · $32/mo
• Expected delta: +$10/yr (+$1/mo · 2.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $8,911
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,235
• − Property taxes: −$377
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$713
• − Management: −$713
• − Depreciation: −$1,161
• Taxable income: $3,513
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$843
• After-tax cash flow: $3,109/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Salem R-80
• NCES district ID: 2927090
• Math proficiency: 25% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $32,306
• Composite: 26.94/100
• National rank: #7082
• State rank: #253 of 324 in MO

Livability — Salem

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #157
• US rank: #8725

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Salem, MO
• Population (ZIP): 13,634

Population outlook (Dent County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 15,149 people
• By 2030: 14,734 · -2.7%
• By 2040: 13,862 · -8.5%
• By 2050: 12,959 · -14.5%
• By 2075: 11,217 · -26.0%
• By 2100: 9,399 · -38.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Dent

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+70.2) · D 14.4% · R 84.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.8pp · 2024: -70.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+70.2 2020: R+69.0 2016: R+68.2 2012: R+49.6 2008: R+37.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.66%
• Current HPI: 238.9175
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-16 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-13 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-01 Listed $39,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1989-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $377 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.