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922 US 70 None W
C+ Composite 63.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.6/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$127,000

922 US 70 None W · Morganton, NC 28655
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 780 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1944 1.07 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Unlock the potential of this unique investment property featuring three separate structures situated on a 1.07-acre lot. The main home is a 3-bedroom, 1-bath "bare bones" residence offering a blank canvas for renovation, value-add improvements, or redevelopment. In addition to the primary home, the property includes a mobile home and a trailer, both of which are currently rented, providing immediate income potential. Whether you're an investor looking to expand your rental portfolio, a developer seeking land with multiple-use possibilities, or a buyer looking for a property with built-in income streams, this opportunity deserves a closer look. With over an acre of land, there is r

Key facts

  • 1.07 acre lot
  • 1.07 acre lot
  • Built 1944

Tags

THREE SEPARATE STRUCTURES1.07 ACRE LOTIMMEDIATE INCOME POTENTIALEXISTING RENTAL OCCUPANCY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage (main level garage: no); No designated parking features listed
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic system installed
  • Home design: Single-family residence (residential); Site-built construction; Wood construction; One story; Zoned R-3
  • Construction: Site-built, wood construction; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: 1.07-acre lot; Roads surfaced with asphalt, dirt, and gravel; Road maintenance: Other (see remarks)

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: No heating listed; No cooling listed
  • Interior features: One-level layout; Crawl space foundation; Room count: 1
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.7% in Morganton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#149 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime D-.
  • Burke County Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #89 of 178 in NC (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 431 active listings in the ZIP; 422 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (94 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burke County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $127k implies a 1488% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $127,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.87%
Cash-on-cash
12.79%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.6%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$3,503
Equity at exit
$18,936
10-year hold
IRR
12.1%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$33,904
Equity at exit
$10,981

Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28655

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Active inventory
431
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,430 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$666
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $386/yr
Insurance
$53
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$379

Break-even live

Break-even rent $951
Max offer price $127,000
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $451 -5% $415 +0% $379 +5% $343 +10% $307
Rent -10% $266 -5% $322 +0% $379 +5% $435 +10% $492
Rate -1.0pp $443 -0.5pp $411 base $379 +0.5pp $346 +1.0pp $313

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,750
Closing costs
$3,810
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $127,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $127,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $127,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $127,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $127,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 689-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $127,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$386 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,041 · $87/mo
Expected delta
+$656/yr (+$55/mo · 170.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,165
− Mortgage interest
−$7,114
− Property taxes
−$386
− Insurance
−$635
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,373
− Management
−$1,373
− Depreciation
−$3,695
Taxable income
$2,590
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$622
After-tax cash flow
$3,926/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burke County Schools
NCES district ID
3700480
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,342
Composite
37.51/100
National rank
#4400
State rank
#89 of 178 in NC

Livability — Morganton

Score
69/100
State rank
#149
US rank
#8307

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Burke County · 55,100 people
City population
55,100
Metro
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
Population (ZIP)
55,100
Household income
$57,713
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
1145.0

Population outlook (Burke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
86,552 people
By 2030
84,123 · -2.8%
By 2040
78,165 · -9.7%
By 2050
71,099 · -17.9%
By 2075
56,264 · -35.0%
By 2100
44,742 · -48.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burke

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.2) · D 29.0% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -41.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.2 2020: R+40.1 2016: R+39.4 2012: R+23.6 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.07%
Current HPI
362.0732
Rent YoY
Metro
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1487.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $127,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1985-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $386 · -5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…