922 US 70 None W · Morganton, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.6/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$127,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Unlock the potential of this unique investment property featuring three separate structures situated on a 1.07-acre lot. The main home is a 3-bedroom, 1-bath "bare bones" residence offering a blank canvas for renovation, value-add improvements, or redevelopment. In addition to the primary home, the property includes a mobile home and a trailer, both of which are currently rented, providing immediate income potential. Whether you're an investor looking to expand your rental portfolio, a developer seeking land with multiple-use possibilities, or a buyer looking for a property with built-in income streams, this opportunity deserves a closer look. With over an acre of land, there is r
Key facts
- 1.07 acre lot
- 1.07 acre lot
- Built 1944
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: No garage (main level garage: no); No designated parking features listed
- Utilities: Well water; Septic system installed
- Home design: Single-family residence (residential); Site-built construction; Wood construction; One story; Zoned R-3
- Construction: Site-built, wood construction; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: 1.07-acre lot; Roads surfaced with asphalt, dirt, and gravel; Road maintenance: Other (see remarks)
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: No heating listed; No cooling listed
- Interior features: One-level layout; Crawl space foundation; Room count: 1
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $127k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.7% in Morganton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#149 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, schools F, crime D-.
- Burke County Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #89 of 178 in NC (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 431 active listings in the ZIP; 422 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (94 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burke County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $8k; list at $127k implies a 1488% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.79%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,503
- Equity at exit
- $18,936
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $33,904
- Equity at exit
- $10,981
Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28655
- Home prices YoY
- -13.2%
- Active inventory
- 431
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,430 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$666
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $386/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $379
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $451 | -5% $415 | +0% $379 | +5% $343 | +10% $307 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $266 | -5% $322 | +0% $379 | +5% $435 | +10% $492 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $443 | -0.5pp $411 | base $379 | +0.5pp $346 | +1.0pp $313 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,750
- Closing costs
- $3,810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $127,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $127,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $127,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $127,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $127,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-13$127,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $386 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,041 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$656/yr (+$55/mo · 170.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,165
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,114
- − Property taxes
- −$386
- − Insurance
- −$635
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,373
- − Management
- −$1,373
- − Depreciation
- −$3,695
- Taxable income
- $2,590
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$622
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,926/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Burke County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700480
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,342
- Composite
- 37.51/100
- National rank
- #4400
- State rank
- #89 of 178 in NC
Livability — Morganton
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #8307
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Burke County · 55,100 people
- City population
- 55,100
- Metro
- Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,100
- Household income
- $57,713
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1145.0
Population outlook (Burke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 86,552 people
- By 2030
- 84,123 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 78,165 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 71,099 · -17.9%
- By 2075
- 56,264 · -35.0%
- By 2100
- 44,742 · -48.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Burke
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.2) · D 29.0% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.0pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -41.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.2 2020: R+40.1 2016: R+39.4 2012: R+23.6 2008: R+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.07%
- Current HPI
- 362.0732
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+1487.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $127,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $386 · -5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…