1105 Hillcrest Dr · Waynesboro, MS 39367

$25,500

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,252 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market

Built 1945 ↓ 43% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This unique 3 story house is ready for you to complete the remodel and make it a home.

Key facts

• Built 1945
• Listed 13 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $26k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $645 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $26k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#140 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Wayne County School District (town): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #79 of 130 in MS (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $176 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $765 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wayne County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $25,500

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.25% ✓
• Cap rate: 36.67%
• Cash-on-cash: 108.48%
• DSCR: 5.83
• GRM: 2.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $86,388
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1424 E.fairview	0.66mi	3/2.0	1,295 (+3%)	24mo	$90,000	$69	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 6.18×
• Total profit: $37,015
• Equity at exit: $3,802

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 12.95×
• Total profit: $85,321
• Equity at exit: $2,205

Cash invested: $7,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39367

• Home prices YoY: -30.7%
• Active inventory: 45
• Price-to-rent: 2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,084 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$134
• Tax from tax record: −$67 /mo · $799/yr
• Insurance: −$11
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$228
• Net cashflow: $645

Break-even live

Break-even rent $267

Max offer price $25,500

Occupancy floor 35%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $660	-5% $653	+0% $645	+5% $638	+10% $631
Rent	-10% $560	-5% $603	+0% $645	+5% $688	+10% $731
Rate	-1.0pp $658	-0.5pp $652	base $645	+0.5pp $639	+1.0pp $632

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $6,375
• Closing costs: $765
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-08
   days on market $25,500 Active 13 DOM
2. 2026-06-07
   days on market $25,500 Active 12 DOM
3. 2026-06-07
   days on market $25,500 Active 11 DOM
4. 2026-06-04
   days on market $25,500 Active 8 DOM
5. 2026-06-02
   days on market $25,500 Active 7 DOM
6. 2026-06-01
   days on market $25,500 Active 6 DOM
7. 2026-05-31
   days on market $25,500 Active 5 DOM
8. 2026-05-26
   listed $25,500 Active
9. 2024-11-02
   price $39,500
10. 2024-10-14
    listed $45,000 Active
11. 2004-07-12
    soldstatus
12. 1987-03-05
    soldstatus
13. 1985-12-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $799 · $67/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $799 · $67/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,009
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,428
• − Property taxes: −$799
• − Insurance: −$128
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,041
• − Management: −$1,041
• − Depreciation: −$742
• Taxable income: $7,830
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,879
• After-tax cash flow: $5,866/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Wayne County School District
• NCES district ID: 2804530
• Math proficiency: 24% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $32,885
• Composite: 21.65/100
• National rank: #8283
• State rank: #79 of 130 in MS

Livability — Waynesboro

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #140
• US rank: #14735

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Waynesboro, MS
• Population (ZIP): 13,401

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 19,737 people
• By 2030: 19,116 · -3.1%
• By 2040: 17,754 · -10.0%
• By 2050: 16,267 · -17.6%
• By 2075: 12,858 · -34.9%
• By 2100: 10,121 · -48.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: White 52% Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.7) · D 33.2% · R 65.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -11.0pp toward R · 2008: -21.8pp · 2024: -32.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.7 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+25.8 2012: R+19.1 2008: R+21.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -61.56%
• Current HPI: 139.1889
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-43.3% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $25,500 FSBO.com
• 2024-11-02 Price Changed $39,500 HAAR
• 2024-10-14 Listed $45,000 HAAR
• 2004-07-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1987-03-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1985-12-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+17.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $799 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.