🏷️ Likely Rental
20 5th St · The Plains, OH
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AFFORDABLE OPPORTUNITY! Located in a great location in the Athens City Schools, this neat and clean three bedroom one level home offers quite living just off the beaten path. You could potentially own your home for less than you are paying for rent; this is the moment you've been waiting for. Purchase this affordable home, pay approximately $500 a month, and stop renting! (Confirm with your lender) On top of the savings you'll have by owning, you also have peace of mind since some of the major updates have been taken care of too. All within the last 3 years (ATO), the roof, windows, flooring, and also the water heater have been updated! Do you have pets? This home also has a nice flat yard and a fenced in area too! There is plenty of off street parking as well. Call today and let me show you how to purchase this home.
Key facts
- Fenced in area
- Off street parking
- Great location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#292 in OH, #4,780 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, amenities F.
- Athens City (town): math 50% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #393 of 656 in OH (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Athens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Athens County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $100k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.45%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $148,736
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 3rd St | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,306 (+12%) | 3mo | $70,000 | $54 | 49 |
| 36 Johnson Rd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (+15%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $128 | 37 |
| 17 West 2nd St | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,054 (-9%) | 10mo | $207,000 | $196 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $845
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $22,796
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45780
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,885/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$263
- Net cashflow
- $267
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $100,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-14$100,000 Active
Show marketing remark (829 chars)
AFFORDABLE OPPORTUNITY! Located in a great location in the Athens City Schools, this neat and clean three bedroom one level home offers quite living just off the beaten path. You could potentially own your home for less than you are paying for rent; this is the moment you've been waiting for. Purchase this affordable home, pay approximately $500 a month, and stop renting! (Confirm with your lender) On top of the savings you'll have by owning, you also have peace of mind since some of the major updates have been taken care of too. All within the last 3 years (ATO), the roof, windows, flooring, and also the water heater have been updated! Do you have pets? This home also has a nice flat yard and a fenced in area too! There is plenty of off street parking as well. Call today and let me show you how to purchase this home.
-
2026-05-14$100,000 Active 829-char remark
Show marketing remark (829 chars)
AFFORDABLE OPPORTUNITY! Located in a great location in the Athens City Schools, this neat and clean three bedroom one level home offers quite living just off the beaten path. You could potentially own your home for less than you are paying for rent; this is the moment you've been waiting for. Purchase this affordable home, pay approximately $500 a month, and stop renting! (Confirm with your lender) On top of the savings you'll have by owning, you also have peace of mind since some of the major updates have been taken care of too. All within the last 3 years (ATO), the roof, windows, flooring, and also the water heater have been updated! Do you have pets? This home also has a nice flat yard and a fenced in area too! There is plenty of off street parking as well. Call today and let me show you how to purchase this home.
-
2016-09-08soldstatus $65,000
-
1993-12-28soldstatus $42,700
-
1993-02-16soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,885 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,885 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,042
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,885
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,203
- − Management
- −$1,203
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,739
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$417
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,788/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Athens City
- NCES district ID
- 3904352
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,360
- Composite
- 45.43/100
- National rank
- #2620
- State rank
- #393 of 656 in OH
Livability — The Plains
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #292
- US rank
- #4780
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Plains, OH
- County
- Athens · 60,466 people
- City population
- 2,653
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,653
- Household income
- $51,789
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17.4
Population outlook (Athens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,867 people
- By 2030
- 73,556 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 74,528 · +3.7%
- By 2050
- 74,947 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 77,996 · +8.5%
- By 2100
- 81,619 · +13.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Slovak 4% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Athens
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 54.9% · R 44.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.5pp toward R · 2008: 35.3pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.0 2016: D+16.9 2012: D+35.0 2008: D+35.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -47.50%
- Current HPI
- 164.4902
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+1150.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $100,000 Fizber.com
- 2026-05-14 Listed $100,000 FSBO.com
- 2016-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1993-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $42,700 Public Records
- 1993-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,885 · +17.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…