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192 Eloise Rd
C+ Composite 62.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$135,500

192 Eloise Rd · Louisa, KY 41230
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured · 179 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 0.59 ac lot $86/sqft · 18% below area Est $166k · 18% under ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Built in 2022, this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern construction, a functional layout, and room to spread out on .59 acres. Inside, you'll find two large living areas, providing flexibility for everyday living, entertaining, or creating separate spaces for work, relaxation, or guests. The kitchen features ample cabinetry, generous counter space, and a center island that anchors the open living area. The split-bedroom floor plan offers privacy, with a spacious primary suite that includes a full bath and plenty of storage. Recent upgrades include a brand-new back deck, perfect for outdoor enjoyment, along with a storage building in the backyard for tools, equipment, or seasonal items. The level lot provides usable outdoor space while maintaining a sense of privacy. With its newer construction, practical floor plan, and move-in-ready condition, this home offers a strong combination of space, value, and modern comfort in a peaceful setting.

Key facts

  • Ample cabinetry
  • Primary suite
  • Large living areas

Tags

LARGE LIVING AREASAMPLE CABINETRYGENEROUS COUNTER SPACECENTER ISLANDSPLIT-BEDROOM FLOOR PLANPRIMARY SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $136k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($438/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (8.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.0% in Louisa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#381 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lawrence County (town): math 23% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #95 of 165 in KY (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($937 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
  • Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.26%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$166,096
List price
$135,500
Delta
-18.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
118 Dove Ln 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (0%) 9mo $98,000 $63 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$51,051
Equity at exit
$95,369
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
4.86×
Total profit
$146,573
Equity at exit
$182,505

Cash invested: $37,940 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41230

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,247 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$711
Tax from tax record
$115 /mo · $1,382/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,201
Max offer price $135,500
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $113 -5% $75 +0% $37 +5% $-2 +10% $-40
Rent -10% $-62 -5% $-13 +0% $37 +5% $86 +10% $135
Rate -1.0pp $105 -0.5pp $71 base $37 +0.5pp $1 +1.0pp $-34

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,875
Closing costs
$4,065
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,500 Active 179 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,500 Active 177 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,500 Active 176 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,500 Active 175 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,500 Active 174 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,500 Active 172 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $135,500 Active 171 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,500 Active 168 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,500 Active 167 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,500 Active 166 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,500 Active 165 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,500 Active 162 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,500 Active 161 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,500 Active 160 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,500 Active 159 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,500 Active 158 DOM
  17. 2026-05-20
    price $135,500 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    Built in 2022, this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern construction, a functional layout, and room to spread out on .59 acres. Inside, you'll find two large living areas, providing flexibility for everyday living, entertaining, or creating separate spaces for work, relaxation, or guests. The kitchen features ample cabinetry, generous counter space, and a center island that anchors the open living area. The split-bedroom floor plan offers privacy, with a spacious primary suite that includes a full bath and plenty of storage. Recent upgrades include a brand-new back deck, perfect for outdoor enjoyment, along with a storage building in the backyard for tools, equipment, or seasonal items. The level lot provides usable outdoor space while maintaining a sense of privacy. With its newer construction, practical floor plan, and move-in-ready condition, this home offers a strong combination of space, value, and modern comfort in a peaceful setting.

  18. 2026-04-26
    price $137,500 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    Built in 2022, this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern construction, a functional layout, and room to spread out on .59 acres. Inside, you'll find two large living areas, providing flexibility for everyday living, entertaining, or creating separate spaces for work, relaxation, or guests. The kitchen features ample cabinetry, generous counter space, and a center island that anchors the open living area. The split-bedroom floor plan offers privacy, with a spacious primary suite that includes a full bath and plenty of storage. Recent upgrades include a brand-new back deck, perfect for outdoor enjoyment, along with a storage building in the backyard for tools, equipment, or seasonal items. The level lot provides usable outdoor space while maintaining a sense of privacy. With its newer construction, practical floor plan, and move-in-ready condition, this home offers a strong combination of space, value, and modern comfort in a peaceful setting.

  19. 2026-03-10
    price $139,900 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    Built in 2022, this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern construction, a functional layout, and room to spread out on .59 acres. Inside, you'll find two large living areas, providing flexibility for everyday living, entertaining, or creating separate spaces for work, relaxation, or guests. The kitchen features ample cabinetry, generous counter space, and a center island that anchors the open living area. The split-bedroom floor plan offers privacy, with a spacious primary suite that includes a full bath and plenty of storage. Recent upgrades include a brand-new back deck, perfect for outdoor enjoyment, along with a storage building in the backyard for tools, equipment, or seasonal items. The level lot provides usable outdoor space while maintaining a sense of privacy. With its newer construction, practical floor plan, and move-in-ready condition, this home offers a strong combination of space, value, and modern comfort in a peaceful setting.

  20. 2026-02-02
    price $143,500 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    Built in 2022, this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern construction, a functional layout, and room to spread out on .59 acres. Inside, you'll find two large living areas, providing flexibility for everyday living, entertaining, or creating separate spaces for work, relaxation, or guests. The kitchen features ample cabinetry, generous counter space, and a center island that anchors the open living area. The split-bedroom floor plan offers privacy, with a spacious primary suite that includes a full bath and plenty of storage. Recent upgrades include a brand-new back deck, perfect for outdoor enjoyment, along with a storage building in the backyard for tools, equipment, or seasonal items. The level lot provides usable outdoor space while maintaining a sense of privacy. With its newer construction, practical floor plan, and move-in-ready condition, this home offers a strong combination of space, value, and modern comfort in a peaceful setting.

  21. 2026-01-12
    price $146,900 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    Built in 2022, this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern construction, a functional layout, and room to spread out on .59 acres. Inside, you'll find two large living areas, providing flexibility for everyday living, entertaining, or creating separate spaces for work, relaxation, or guests. The kitchen features ample cabinetry, generous counter space, and a center island that anchors the open living area. The split-bedroom floor plan offers privacy, with a spacious primary suite that includes a full bath and plenty of storage. Recent upgrades include a brand-new back deck, perfect for outdoor enjoyment, along with a storage building in the backyard for tools, equipment, or seasonal items. The level lot provides usable outdoor space while maintaining a sense of privacy. With its newer construction, practical floor plan, and move-in-ready condition, this home offers a strong combination of space, value, and modern comfort in a peaceful setting.

  22. 2025-12-23
    listed $149,900 Active 974-char remark
    Show marketing remark (974 chars)

    Built in 2022, this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers modern construction, a functional layout, and room to spread out on .59 acres. Inside, you'll find two large living areas, providing flexibility for everyday living, entertaining, or creating separate spaces for work, relaxation, or guests. The kitchen features ample cabinetry, generous counter space, and a center island that anchors the open living area. The split-bedroom floor plan offers privacy, with a spacious primary suite that includes a full bath and plenty of storage. Recent upgrades include a brand-new back deck, perfect for outdoor enjoyment, along with a storage building in the backyard for tools, equipment, or seasonal items. The level lot provides usable outdoor space while maintaining a sense of privacy. With its newer construction, practical floor plan, and move-in-ready condition, this home offers a strong combination of space, value, and modern comfort in a peaceful setting.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,382 · $115/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,382 · $115/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,965
− Mortgage interest
−$7,590
− Property taxes
−$1,382
− Insurance
−$1,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,197
− Management
−$1,197
− Depreciation
−$3,942
Taxable loss
−$1,819
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$436
After-tax cash flow
$875/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained 2022 manufactured home offers a good condition with modern features and a good ROI potential for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Resale trim around windows — improves home's appearance
  • Both install new flooring in bathrooms — improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both install new countertops in kitchen — enhances functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Resale trim around windows — improves home's appearance
  • Both install new flooring in bathrooms — improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both install new countertops in kitchen — enhances functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawrence County
NCES district ID
2103240
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$32,668
Composite
26.55/100
National rank
#7189
State rank
#95 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisa

Score
61/100
State rank
#381
US rank
#18153

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisa, KY
Population (ZIP)
12,399

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,462 people
By 2030
15,038 · -2.7%
By 2040
14,142 · -8.5%
By 2050
13,292 · -14.0%
By 2075
11,353 · -26.6%
By 2100
9,417 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Asian 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.2) · D 15.9% · R 83.1%
2008→2024 swing
-41.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -67.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.2 2020: R+63.2 2016: R+62.5 2012: R+44.3 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.17%
Current HPI
177.9918
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $135,500 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Price Changed $137,500 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $139,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $143,500 ImagineMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $146,900 ImagineMLS
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $149,900 ImagineMLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,382 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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