1437 17th St SW · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment for rental property. 2 Bed and 1 Bath home with great upside potential! RENT READY!
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 99 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.02%
- DSCR
- 2.07
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,892
- List price
- $64,900
- Delta
- -1.51%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1813 Jefferson Ave SW | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+2%) | 1mo | $47,500 | $58 | 76 |
| 1141 15th St SW | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 804 (0%) | 12mo | $85,000 | $106 | 61 |
| 1545 17th Pl SW | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 920 (+14%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $38 | 59 |
| 1736 Jefferson Ave SW | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 871 (+8%) | 12mo | $116,000 | $133 | 59 |
| 1541 Dennison Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+8%) | 11mo | $55,000 | $64 | 52 |
| 1324 19th St SW | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 864 (+8%) | 6mo | $83,500 | $97 | 48 |
| 1776 Alemeda Ave SW | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 702 (-13%) | 12mo | $46,000 | $66 | 48 |
| 1549 Dennison Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 913 (+14%) | 18mo | $15,000 | $16 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $9,690
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $26,823
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35211
- Rents YoY
- -0.0%
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,014 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $840/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $364
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $401 | -5% $382 | +0% $364 | +5% $345 | +10% $327 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $284 | -5% $324 | +0% $364 | +5% $404 | +10% $444 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $396 | -0.5pp $380 | base $364 | +0.5pp $347 | +1.0pp $330 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1233 15th Way SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1119 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1520 17th Way SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1520 17th Way SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1252 18th Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1332 15th Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $950 | $0.85 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1508 Dennison Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $890 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1537 18th St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1049 | $1,130 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1544 18th St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,130 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1209 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1228 19th Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $1,195 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 914 21st St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,200 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 914 14th St SW Unit B Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 577 | $700 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 914 14th St SW Unit A Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 577 | $600 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 914 14th St SW Unit B Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $600 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 916 14th St SW Unit F Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 916 14th St SW Unit F Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $800 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 916 14th St SW Unit A Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $800 | $0.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 521 16th St SW Unit 523 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 224 E Ann Dr SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,050 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 249 Gloria Rd SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $800 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 407 S Park Rd SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2216 Lee Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $900 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2028 Lee Ter SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $695 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1845 Henry Crumpton Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 208 22nd St SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 5d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1933 Saint Charles Ct SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1106 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 612 26th St SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $825 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2519 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $975 | $0.98 | 46d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 132 17th St SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $945 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1228 Fulton Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 46d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1100 Cotton Ave SW Unit b Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 816 | $988 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 700 Aspen Dr Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,045 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 218 Olympia Dr Homewood, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 958 | $1,190 | $1.24 | 3d | 33 | 1.27mi |
| 2709 Powderly Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $950 | $0.90 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2432 Ishkooda Rd SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 401 Skyview Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 405 11th St SW Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $800 | $0.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4929 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $950 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4813 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,125 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $64,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $64,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-03-19historical $850
-
2026-03-14$69,900 Active 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Great investment for rental property. 2 Bed and 1 Bath home with great upside potential! RENT READY!
-
2026-02-25$850
-
2026-02-25historical $850
-
2026-02-14price $850
-
2026-01-15price $795
-
2025-12-16price $850
-
2025-11-20price $890
-
2025-11-06price $900
-
2025-09-09$950
-
2021-04-30soldstatus $975,000
-
2009-02-10soldstatus $21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $840 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $840 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,169
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$840
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$974
- − Management
- −$974
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $3,535
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$848
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,517/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,924
- Household income
- $34,884
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2161.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.29%
- Current HPI
- 91.2903
- Rent YoY
- ▬ -0.01%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+232.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Rental Removed $850 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-03-14 Listed $69,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed for Rent $850 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-02-25 Rental Removed $850 APPFOLIO
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $850 APPFOLIO
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $795 APPFOLIO
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $850 APPFOLIO
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $890 APPFOLIO
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $900 APPFOLIO
- 2025-09-09 Listed for Rent $950 APPFOLIO
- 2021-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $975,000 Public Records
- 2009-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $840 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…