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DALTON Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 41.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$286,990

DALTON Plan · Fulshear, TX 77441
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,544 sqft · SingleFamily · 512 Days on market
Excellent condition ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Dalton at Tamarron is a 1,544 sq ft plan offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms located in Fulshear, Texas. Past the first bedroom and garage access, the entry opens up into the open concept living, dining, and kitchen area. This main living space features gorgeous granite countertops, a corner pantry, and stainless steel appliances. The view from the living room through the large windows looks out onto the covered patio and backyard, a space designed for both everyday use and entertaining guests. The remaining 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms are adjacent to the main living space. The Primary suite provides plenty of natural light and a spacious walk in closet, as well as a luxurious primary bathroom with a walk in shower and 2 sinks. All bedrooms feature carpeted floors and individual closets. This great one-story plan utilizes its space effectively to create an open and roomy feel throughout the home. Tamarron offers 2 gorgeous elevations for the Dalton plan, both with front facing brick as well as high quality siding. The 2-car garage is perfect for both storage and parking. Contact us today to find your dream home in Tamarron.

Key facts

  • Corner pantry
  • Covered patio
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

GORGEOUS GRANITE COUNTERTOPSCORNER PANTRYSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCOVERED PATIOSPACIOUS WALK IN CLOSETLUXURIOUS PRIMARY BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $286,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $296,810.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $287k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-821/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (0.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $251k (12.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $251k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Fulshear — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#430 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Huggins El (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B, #321 of 4,322 statewide, top 8%, 893 students, 23% FRL); Briscoe J H (math 59% / reading 60%, grade B, #166 of 1,662 statewide, top 11%, 1,914 students, 38% FRL); Foster H S (math 64% / reading 74%, grade B, #141 of 1,632 statewide, top 9%, 2,388 students, 34% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lamar CISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 1242 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($184k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 512 days — a 12% lower offer ($253k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $250,978 (12.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 512 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.99%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$296,810
List price
$286,990
Delta
-3.31%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3906 Langridge Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,575 (+2%) 3mo $309,990 $197 58
31138 Winchester Falls Ct 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,692 (+10%) 2mo $294,990 $174 54
31135 Royal Acres Ct 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,750 (+13%) 2mo $309,990 $177 49
31147 Warwick Coast Ct 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,748 (+13%) 4mo $334,990 $192 49
4270 Westbrook Park Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (+3%) 9mo $292,990 $184 49
31130 Warwick Coast Ct 0.59mi 4/2.0 1,748 (+13%) 4mo $300,000 $172 47
31266 Whistledown Ln 0.65mi 4/2.0 1,748 (+13%) 1mo $309,990 $177 47
31138 Brighton Mill Ct 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,748 (+13%) 4mo $321,990 $184 44
3723 Langridge Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,750 (+13%) 3mo $318,990 $182 43
3911 Langridge Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,750 (+13%) 5mo $304,990 $174 41
3815 Langridge Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,748 (+13%) 6mo $304,990 $174 40
31106 Brighton Mill Ct 0.73mi 4/2.0 1,750 (+13%) 5mo $321,990 $184 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.3%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-59,773
Equity at exit
$44,255
10-year hold
IRR
-24.1%
Equity multiple
-0.03×
Total profit
$-85,935
Equity at exit
$25,663

Cash invested: $83,107 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77441

Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
1242
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,510 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,557
Tax est. 1.5%
$371 /mo · $4,452/yr
Insurance
$124
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$527
Net cashflow
$-68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,596
Max offer price $286,904
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $137 -5% $34 +0% $-68 +5% $-171 +10% $-274
Rent -10% $-267 -5% $-168 +0% $-68 +5% $31 +10% $130
Rate -1.0pp $81 -0.5pp $7 base $-68 +0.5pp $-145 +1.0pp $-224

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,202
Closing costs
$8,904
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3714 Sloane Peak Ln Fulshear, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1713 $2,397 $1.40 0d 24 1.04mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $286,990 Active 512 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $286,990 Active 509 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $286,990 Active 508 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $286,990 Active 507 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $286,990 Active 506 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $286,990 Active 504 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $286,990 Active 500 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $286,990 Active 499 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $286,990 Active 498 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $286,990 Active 495 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $286,990 Active 494 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $286,990 Active 493 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $286,990 Active 492 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $286,990 Active 491 DOM
  15. 2026-04-28
    price $286,990 1149-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1149 chars)

    The Dalton at Tamarron is a 1,544 sq ft plan offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms located in Fulshear, Texas. Past the first bedroom and garage access, the entry opens up into the open concept living, dining, and kitchen area. This main living space features gorgeous granite countertops, a corner pantry, and stainless steel appliances. The view from the living room through the large windows looks out onto the covered patio and backyard, a space designed for both everyday use and entertaining guests. The remaining 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms are adjacent to the main living space. The Primary suite provides plenty of natural light and a spacious walk in closet, as well as a luxurious primary bathroom with a walk in shower and 2 sinks. All bedrooms feature carpeted floors and individual closets. This great one-story plan utilizes its space effectively to create an open and roomy feel throughout the home. Tamarron offers 2 gorgeous elevations for the Dalton plan, both with front facing brick as well as high quality siding. The 2-car garage is perfect for both storage and parking. Contact us today to find your dream home in Tamarron.

  16. 2025-07-12
    status Active 1149-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1149 chars)

    The Dalton at Tamarron is a 1,544 sq ft plan offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms located in Fulshear, Texas. Past the first bedroom and garage access, the entry opens up into the open concept living, dining, and kitchen area. This main living space features gorgeous granite countertops, a corner pantry, and stainless steel appliances. The view from the living room through the large windows looks out onto the covered patio and backyard, a space designed for both everyday use and entertaining guests. The remaining 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms are adjacent to the main living space. The Primary suite provides plenty of natural light and a spacious walk in closet, as well as a luxurious primary bathroom with a walk in shower and 2 sinks. All bedrooms feature carpeted floors and individual closets. This great one-story plan utilizes its space effectively to create an open and roomy feel throughout the home. Tamarron offers 2 gorgeous elevations for the Dalton plan, both with front facing brick as well as high quality siding. The 2-car garage is perfect for both storage and parking. Contact us today to find your dream home in Tamarron.

  17. 2025-06-25
    historical 1149-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1149 chars)

    The Dalton at Tamarron is a 1,544 sq ft plan offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms located in Fulshear, Texas. Past the first bedroom and garage access, the entry opens up into the open concept living, dining, and kitchen area. This main living space features gorgeous granite countertops, a corner pantry, and stainless steel appliances. The view from the living room through the large windows looks out onto the covered patio and backyard, a space designed for both everyday use and entertaining guests. The remaining 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms are adjacent to the main living space. The Primary suite provides plenty of natural light and a spacious walk in closet, as well as a luxurious primary bathroom with a walk in shower and 2 sinks. All bedrooms feature carpeted floors and individual closets. This great one-story plan utilizes its space effectively to create an open and roomy feel throughout the home. Tamarron offers 2 gorgeous elevations for the Dalton plan, both with front facing brick as well as high quality siding. The 2-car garage is perfect for both storage and parking. Contact us today to find your dream home in Tamarron.

  18. 2025-01-09
    listed $318,990 Active 1149-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1149 chars)

    The Dalton at Tamarron is a 1,544 sq ft plan offering 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms located in Fulshear, Texas. Past the first bedroom and garage access, the entry opens up into the open concept living, dining, and kitchen area. This main living space features gorgeous granite countertops, a corner pantry, and stainless steel appliances. The view from the living room through the large windows looks out onto the covered patio and backyard, a space designed for both everyday use and entertaining guests. The remaining 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms are adjacent to the main living space. The Primary suite provides plenty of natural light and a spacious walk in closet, as well as a luxurious primary bathroom with a walk in shower and 2 sinks. All bedrooms feature carpeted floors and individual closets. This great one-story plan utilizes its space effectively to create an open and roomy feel throughout the home. Tamarron offers 2 gorgeous elevations for the Dalton plan, both with front facing brick as well as high quality siding. The 2-car garage is perfect for both storage and parking. Contact us today to find your dream home in Tamarron.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,117
− Mortgage interest
−$16,626
− Property taxes
−$4,452
− Insurance
−$1,484
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,409
− Management
−$2,409
− Depreciation
−$8,634
Taxable loss
−$5,898
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,416
After-tax cash flow
$594/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This single-family home in Fulshear, Texas, is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It offers a well-maintained exterior, interior, and landscaping, making it an attractive property for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves appearance and reduces maintenance
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both New flooring in high-traffic areas — Improves appearance and reduces maintenance
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lamar CISD
NCES district ID
4826580
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$75,213
Composite
46.43/100
National rank
#2452
State rank
#116 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fulshear

Score
69/100
State rank
#430
US rank
#8901

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
City population
413,575
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
41,324
Household income
$184,390
Rent vs Own
8.0% rent · 92.0% own
Severe rent burden
301.0

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,004,526 people
By 2030
1,153,104 · +14.8%
By 2040
1,453,718 · +44.7%
By 2050
1,753,781 · +74.6%
By 2075
2,455,772 · +144.5%
By 2100
2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 15% Asian 12% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 17% German/W. Germanic 4% Chinese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.74%
Current HPI
275.8798
Rent YoY
▼ -1.63%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $286,990 Zillow
  • 2025-07-12 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-06-25 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-01-09 Listed $318,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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