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105 Stiles Dr
D Composite 40.7
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$284,900

105 Stiles Dr · Midlothian, TX 76065
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,613 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 155 Days on market
Built 1972 0.26 ac lot $177/sqft · 13% below area Est $329k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home within walking distance of Midlothian High School and JR Irvin Elementary. This move-in-ready home features a bright, inviting main living area with a stacked-stone fireplace and double doors opening to a covered patio—perfect for indoor-outdoor living. Recent updates include a replaced HVAC system, both water heaters, fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, smooth ceilings with no popcorn, and tastefully updated bathrooms. A rear-entry two-car garage offers convenient alley access, while the large fenced backyard provides ample space for pets, play, or entertaining. Mature trees in both the front and back yards add shade and curb appeal. Don’t miss this opportunity to own an updated home in a highly desirable location with excellent schools just steps away.

Key facts

  • Covered patio
  • Replaced hvac system
  • Updated bathrooms

Tags

STACKED-STONE FIREPLACECOVERED PATIOREPLACED HVAC SYSTEMUPDATED BATHROOMSLARGE FENCED BACKYARDMATURE TREES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-286 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (17.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (23.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $218k (23.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.5% in Midlothian — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#371 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Midlothian ISD (suburban): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #94 of 826 in TX (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 1112 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,016 units permitted in Ellis County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ellis County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 13151% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $217,791 (23.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.09%
Cash-on-cash
-4.30%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$328,985
List price
$284,900
Delta
-13.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1624 S 5th St 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,628 (+1%) 2mo $355,000 $218 83
1632 Greenway Ct 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,582 (-2%) 2mo $319,999 $202 83
106 Hillcrest Dr 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,802 (+12%) 0mo $395,000 $219 79
309 Stiles Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,750 (+8%) 5mo $325,000 $186 76
1418 Ridge Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,535 (-5%) 4mo $294,900 $192 73
506 Whitney Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,474 (-9%) 1mo $315,000 $214 70
321 Garrett Way 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,731 (+7%) 1mo $479,000 $277 70
207 W Alabama Ave 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,585 (-2%) 5mo $255,000 $161 61
1422 S 3rd St 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,784 (+11%) 1mo $313,000 $175 61
502 Reindeer Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,748 (+8%) 1mo $350,000 $200 56
1631 Ross Dr 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,851 (+15%) 1mo $369,900 $200 48
316 S 5th St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,448 (-10%) 3mo $265,000 $183 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.32% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.1%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-61,406
Equity at exit
$42,480
10-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-64,360
Equity at exit
$24,633

Cash invested: $79,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76065

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
1112
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,178 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,494
Tax from tax record
$394 /mo · $4,728/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$457
Net cashflow
$-286

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,540
Max offer price $234,345
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,225
Closing costs
$8,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
913 Sierra Vista Ct Midlothian, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,795 $1.50 1d 1 0.62mi
999 Walter Stephenson Rd Midlothian, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 901 $1,925 $2.14 1d 36 0.65mi
1007 Sierra Vista Ct Midlothian, TX 3.0 2.5 1412 $2,300 $1.63 24d 1 0.65mi
925 Chaparral Trl Midlothian, TX 3.0 2.5 1307 $1,950 $1.49 4d 1 0.72mi
2617 Grouse Hollow Way Midlothian, TX 4.0 3.0 2211 $3,300 $1.49 7d 1 0.93mi
101 W Maple Ridge Ct Unit 155E Midlothian, TX 3.0 2.5 1608 $1,995 $1.24 15d 1 0.96mi
401 East Avenue G Unit G Midlothian, TX 2.0 1.0 1501 $1,700 $1.13 2d 1 0.97mi
411 E Avenue G Midlothian, TX 3.0 2.0 1526 $1,975 $1.29 44d 1 0.98mi
315 E Avenue F Midlothian, TX 3.0 2.0 2014 $2,525 $1.25 7d 1 1.03mi
721 Eastridge Dr Midlothian, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 992 $1,668 $1.68 2d 22 1.04mi
900 W Avenue F Midlothian, TX 2.0 1.0 1419 $1,950 $1.37 21d 1 1.11mi
403 N 6th St Unit B Midlothian, TX 2.0 2.0 1224 $2,150 $1.76 44d 1 1.15mi
616 N 7th St Midlothian, TX 4.0 2.0 1152 $1,950 $1.69 24d 1 1.33mi
510 Overlook Dr Midlothian, TX 3.0 1.0 1176 $2,100 $1.79 24d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $284,900 Active 155 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $284,900 Active 154 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $284,900 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $284,900 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $284,900 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $292,500 Active 146 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $292,500 Active 145 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $292,500 Active 144 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $292,500 Active 141 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $292,500 Active 140 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $292,500 Active 139 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $292,500 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $292,500 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-05-14
    price $292,500 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Spacious and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home within walking distance of Midlothian High School and JR Irvin Elementary. This move-in-ready home features a bright, inviting main living area with a stacked-stone fireplace and double doors opening to a covered patio—perfect for indoor-outdoor living. Recent updates include a replaced HVAC system, both water heaters, fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, smooth ceilings with no popcorn, and tastefully updated bathrooms. A rear-entry two-car garage offers convenient alley access, while the large fenced backyard provides ample space for pets, play, or entertaining. Mature trees in both the front and back yards add shade and curb appeal. Don’t miss this opportunity to own an updated home in a highly desirable location with excellent schools just steps away.

  15. 2026-05-13
    price $295,500 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Spacious and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home within walking distance of Midlothian High School and JR Irvin Elementary. This move-in-ready home features a bright, inviting main living area with a stacked-stone fireplace and double doors opening to a covered patio—perfect for indoor-outdoor living. Recent updates include a replaced HVAC system, both water heaters, fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, smooth ceilings with no popcorn, and tastefully updated bathrooms. A rear-entry two-car garage offers convenient alley access, while the large fenced backyard provides ample space for pets, play, or entertaining. Mature trees in both the front and back yards add shade and curb appeal. Don’t miss this opportunity to own an updated home in a highly desirable location with excellent schools just steps away.

  16. 2026-05-12
    price $319,999 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Spacious and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home within walking distance of Midlothian High School and JR Irvin Elementary. This move-in-ready home features a bright, inviting main living area with a stacked-stone fireplace and double doors opening to a covered patio—perfect for indoor-outdoor living. Recent updates include a replaced HVAC system, both water heaters, fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, smooth ceilings with no popcorn, and tastefully updated bathrooms. A rear-entry two-car garage offers convenient alley access, while the large fenced backyard provides ample space for pets, play, or entertaining. Mature trees in both the front and back yards add shade and curb appeal. Don’t miss this opportunity to own an updated home in a highly desirable location with excellent schools just steps away.

  17. 2026-05-12
    price $292,500 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Spacious and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home within walking distance of Midlothian High School and JR Irvin Elementary. This move-in-ready home features a bright, inviting main living area with a stacked-stone fireplace and double doors opening to a covered patio—perfect for indoor-outdoor living. Recent updates include a replaced HVAC system, both water heaters, fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, smooth ceilings with no popcorn, and tastefully updated bathrooms. A rear-entry two-car garage offers convenient alley access, while the large fenced backyard provides ample space for pets, play, or entertaining. Mature trees in both the front and back yards add shade and curb appeal. Don’t miss this opportunity to own an updated home in a highly desirable location with excellent schools just steps away.

  18. 2026-02-26
    historical $2,150
  19. 2026-02-25
    listed $2,150
  20. 2026-01-20
    historical $2,150
  21. 2026-01-19
    status Active 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Spacious and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home within walking distance of Midlothian High School and JR Irvin Elementary. This move-in-ready home features a bright, inviting main living area with a stacked-stone fireplace and double doors opening to a covered patio—perfect for indoor-outdoor living. Recent updates include a replaced HVAC system, both water heaters, fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, smooth ceilings with no popcorn, and tastefully updated bathrooms. A rear-entry two-car garage offers convenient alley access, while the large fenced backyard provides ample space for pets, play, or entertaining. Mature trees in both the front and back yards add shade and curb appeal. Don’t miss this opportunity to own an updated home in a highly desirable location with excellent schools just steps away.

  22. 2026-01-19
    historical 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Spacious and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home within walking distance of Midlothian High School and JR Irvin Elementary. This move-in-ready home features a bright, inviting main living area with a stacked-stone fireplace and double doors opening to a covered patio—perfect for indoor-outdoor living. Recent updates include a replaced HVAC system, both water heaters, fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, smooth ceilings with no popcorn, and tastefully updated bathrooms. A rear-entry two-car garage offers convenient alley access, while the large fenced backyard provides ample space for pets, play, or entertaining. Mature trees in both the front and back yards add shade and curb appeal. Don’t miss this opportunity to own an updated home in a highly desirable location with excellent schools just steps away.

  23. 2026-01-14
    listed $319,999 Active 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    Spacious and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home within walking distance of Midlothian High School and JR Irvin Elementary. This move-in-ready home features a bright, inviting main living area with a stacked-stone fireplace and double doors opening to a covered patio—perfect for indoor-outdoor living. Recent updates include a replaced HVAC system, both water heaters, fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring throughout, smooth ceilings with no popcorn, and tastefully updated bathrooms. A rear-entry two-car garage offers convenient alley access, while the large fenced backyard provides ample space for pets, play, or entertaining. Mature trees in both the front and back yards add shade and curb appeal. Don’t miss this opportunity to own an updated home in a highly desirable location with excellent schools just steps away.

  24. 2025-09-13
    listed $2,150
  25. 2023-08-24
    soldstatus
  26. 2021-11-02
    soldstatus
  27. 2021-10-21
    soldstatus Sold 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Great Investments Property!!! Bring all offers!!! Sellers ready to sell!! Located in great neighborhood!!! This three bedroom two full bath home with two car attached garage is within walking distance to Midlothian High School and J. R. Irvin Elementary School! Main living area has stacked stone fireplace and double doors to covered back patio. Great backyard with chain link fence. Rear entry garage with easy access from alley. Mature trees in front and back yard. Ready to move-in! Do Not miss out!!

  28. 2021-10-18
    status Pending 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Great Investments Property!!! Bring all offers!!! Sellers ready to sell!! Located in great neighborhood!!! This three bedroom two full bath home with two car attached garage is within walking distance to Midlothian High School and J. R. Irvin Elementary School! Main living area has stacked stone fireplace and double doors to covered back patio. Great backyard with chain link fence. Rear entry garage with easy access from alley. Mature trees in front and back yard. Ready to move-in! Do Not miss out!!

  29. 2021-10-12
    historical Active Option Contract 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Great Investments Property!!! Bring all offers!!! Sellers ready to sell!! Located in great neighborhood!!! This three bedroom two full bath home with two car attached garage is within walking distance to Midlothian High School and J. R. Irvin Elementary School! Main living area has stacked stone fireplace and double doors to covered back patio. Great backyard with chain link fence. Rear entry garage with easy access from alley. Mature trees in front and back yard. Ready to move-in! Do Not miss out!!

  30. 2021-10-06
    price $249,000 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Great Investments Property!!! Bring all offers!!! Sellers ready to sell!! Located in great neighborhood!!! This three bedroom two full bath home with two car attached garage is within walking distance to Midlothian High School and J. R. Irvin Elementary School! Main living area has stacked stone fireplace and double doors to covered back patio. Great backyard with chain link fence. Rear entry garage with easy access from alley. Mature trees in front and back yard. Ready to move-in! Do Not miss out!!

  31. 2021-10-04
    price $249,900 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Great Investments Property!!! Bring all offers!!! Sellers ready to sell!! Located in great neighborhood!!! This three bedroom two full bath home with two car attached garage is within walking distance to Midlothian High School and J. R. Irvin Elementary School! Main living area has stacked stone fireplace and double doors to covered back patio. Great backyard with chain link fence. Rear entry garage with easy access from alley. Mature trees in front and back yard. Ready to move-in! Do Not miss out!!

  32. 2021-10-04
    status Active 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Great Investments Property!!! Bring all offers!!! Sellers ready to sell!! Located in great neighborhood!!! This three bedroom two full bath home with two car attached garage is within walking distance to Midlothian High School and J. R. Irvin Elementary School! Main living area has stacked stone fireplace and double doors to covered back patio. Great backyard with chain link fence. Rear entry garage with easy access from alley. Mature trees in front and back yard. Ready to move-in! Do Not miss out!!

  33. 2021-09-28
    historical Active Option Contract 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Great Investments Property!!! Bring all offers!!! Sellers ready to sell!! Located in great neighborhood!!! This three bedroom two full bath home with two car attached garage is within walking distance to Midlothian High School and J. R. Irvin Elementary School! Main living area has stacked stone fireplace and double doors to covered back patio. Great backyard with chain link fence. Rear entry garage with easy access from alley. Mature trees in front and back yard. Ready to move-in! Do Not miss out!!

  34. 2021-09-21
    listed $275,000 Active 507-char remark
    Show marketing remark (507 chars)

    Great Investments Property!!! Bring all offers!!! Sellers ready to sell!! Located in great neighborhood!!! This three bedroom two full bath home with two car attached garage is within walking distance to Midlothian High School and J. R. Irvin Elementary School! Main living area has stacked stone fireplace and double doors to covered back patio. Great backyard with chain link fence. Rear entry garage with easy access from alley. Mature trees in front and back yard. Ready to move-in! Do Not miss out!!

  35. 1988-02-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,728 · $394/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,214 · $434/mo
Expected delta
+$486/yr (+$41/mo · 10.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,135
− Mortgage interest
−$15,959
− Property taxes
−$4,728
− Insurance
−$1,424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,091
− Management
−$2,091
− Depreciation
−$8,288
Taxable loss
−$8,446
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,027
After-tax cash flow
$-1,407/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Midlothian ISD
NCES district ID
4830600
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$85,068
Composite
48.22/100
National rank
#2165
State rank
#94 of 826 in TX

Livability — Midlothian

Score
70/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#7851

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Midlothian, TX
County
Ellis County · 199,237 people
City population
47,438
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
47,438
Household income
$127,756
Rent vs Own
18.3% rent · 81.7% own
Severe rent burden
811.0

Population outlook (Ellis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
194,556 people
By 2030
209,679 · +7.8%
By 2040
238,837 · +22.8%
By 2050
265,451 · +36.4%
By 2075
326,571 · +67.9%
By 2100
362,156 · +86.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ellis

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.0% · R 65.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.2pp toward D · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -31.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.1 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+47.5 2008: R+42.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.85%
Current HPI
243.5953
Rent YoY
▲ 4.32%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.4% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $292,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $295,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $319,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $292,500 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-26 Rental Removed $2,150 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed for Rent $2,150 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-20 Rental Removed $2,150 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-19 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-01-19 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $319,999 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-13 Listed for Rent $2,150 NTREIS
  • 2023-08-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-11-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-10-21 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2021-10-18 Pending NTREIS
  • 2021-10-12 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2021-10-06 Price Changed $249,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-10-04 Price Changed $249,900 NTREIS
  • 2021-10-04 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2021-09-28 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2021-09-21 Listed $275,000 NTREIS
  • 1988-02-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,728 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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