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306 S Long St
D Composite 43.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

306 S Long St · Bonne Terre, MO 63628
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,599 sqft · Other public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1900 9,757 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath home with very tall ceilings and wood floors. Spacious rooms, dining room and living room are connected making it a great place to entertain.

Key facts

  • 10 ceilings
  • Built ins
  • Natural light

Tags

CORNER LOTORIGINAL WOOD FLOORS10 CEILINGSBUILT INSLOTS OF WINDOWSNATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No home warranty
  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-level home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 112x84x113x89

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (Main) 13x10
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level; Bedroom 1 (Main) 15x13; Bedroom 2 (Main) 13x13; Bedroom 3 (Main) 18x13
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Living room (Main) 19x15; Dining room (Main) 12x15; Den (Main) 14x7

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (14.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.4% in Bonne Terre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#721 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • North St. Francois County R-I (town): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #214 of 324 in MO (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North County Parkside Elem. (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 367 students, 62% FRL); North Co. Middle (math 23% / reading 39%, grade F, #279 of 391 statewide, top 72%, 396 students, 51% FRL); North Co. Sr. High (math 25% / reading 56%, grade F, #240 of 521 statewide, top 46%, 873 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in St. Francois County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $119,084 (14.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.79%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-16,927
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-7,495
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63628

Home prices YoY
-7.2%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,191 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $694/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$250
Net cashflow
$91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,076
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $170 -5% $131 +0% $91 +5% $51 +10% $12
Rent -10% $-3 -5% $44 +0% $91 +5% $138 +10% $185
Rate -1.0pp $161 -0.5pp $127 base $91 +0.5pp $55 +1.0pp $18

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Active
  2. 2026-03-23
    status Pending
  3. 2026-03-23
    price $139,900
  4. 2026-03-04
    status Active
  5. 2026-02-25
    status Pending
  6. 2026-02-24
    status Active
  7. 2026-02-19
    status Pending
  8. 2026-02-07
    listed $129,900 Active
  9. 2016-10-14
    listed $19,900 168-char remark
    Show marketing remark (168 chars)

    Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath home with very tall ceilings and wood floors. Spacious rooms, dining room and living room are connected making it a great place to entertain.

  10. 2016-10-07
    soldstatus Closed 168-char remark
    Show marketing remark (168 chars)

    Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath home with very tall ceilings and wood floors. Spacious rooms, dining room and living room are connected making it a great place to entertain.

  11. 2016-08-05
    price $19,900
  12. 2016-06-28
    price $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$694 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,357 · $113/mo
Expected delta
+$663/yr (+$55/mo · 95.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,290
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$694
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,143
− Management
−$1,143
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$1,296
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$311
After-tax cash flow
$1,403/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North St. Francois County R-I
NCES district ID
2905430
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,156
Composite
29.77/100
National rank
#6431
State rank
#214 of 324 in MO

Livability — Bonne Terre

Score
56/100
State rank
#721
US rank
#23087

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bonne Terre, MO
Population (ZIP)
15,864

Population outlook (St. Francois County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,683 people
By 2030
69,574 · +1.3%
By 2040
70,665 · +2.9%
By 2050
70,708 · +2.9%
By 2075
67,917 · -1.1%
By 2100
56,563 · -17.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Francois

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.8% · R 75.2%
2008→2024 swing
-46.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.6pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.15%
Current HPI
234.0946
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+367.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-04 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-25 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-24 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-14 Listed $19,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-10-07 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-05 Price Changed $19,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-28 Price Changed $29,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $694 · +10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…