306 S Long St · Bonne Terre, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath home with very tall ceilings and wood floors. Spacious rooms, dining room and living room are connected making it a great place to entertain.
Key facts
- 10 ceilings
- Built ins
- Natural light
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No home warranty
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One-level home
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot dimensions approximately 112x84x113x89
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (Main) 13x10
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level; Bedroom 1 (Main) 15x13; Bedroom 2 (Main) 13x13; Bedroom 3 (Main) 18x13
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Living room (Main) 19x15; Dining room (Main) 12x15; Den (Main) 14x7
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (14.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.4% in Bonne Terre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#721 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- North St. Francois County R-I (town): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #214 of 324 in MO (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North County Parkside Elem. (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 367 students, 62% FRL); North Co. Middle (math 23% / reading 39%, grade F, #279 of 391 statewide, top 72%, 396 students, 51% FRL); North Co. Sr. High (math 25% / reading 56%, grade F, #240 of 521 statewide, top 46%, 873 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in St. Francois County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 8% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.79%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-16,927
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-7,495
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63628
- Home prices YoY
- -7.2%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,191 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $694/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $91
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $170 | -5% $131 | +0% $91 | +5% $51 | +10% $12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-3 | -5% $44 | +0% $91 | +5% $138 | +10% $185 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $161 | -0.5pp $127 | base $91 | +0.5pp $55 | +1.0pp $18 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-24status Active
-
2026-03-23status Pending
-
2026-03-23price $139,900
-
2026-03-04status Active
-
2026-02-25status Pending
-
2026-02-24status Active
-
2026-02-19status Pending
-
2026-02-07$129,900 Active
-
2016-10-14$19,900 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath home with very tall ceilings and wood floors. Spacious rooms, dining room and living room are connected making it a great place to entertain.
-
2016-10-07soldstatus Closed 168-char remark
Show marketing remark (168 chars)
Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath home with very tall ceilings and wood floors. Spacious rooms, dining room and living room are connected making it a great place to entertain.
-
2016-08-05price $19,900
-
2016-06-28price $29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $694 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,357 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$663/yr (+$55/mo · 95.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,290
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$694
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,143
- − Management
- −$1,143
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$1,296
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$311
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,403/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North St. Francois County R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2905430
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,156
- Composite
- 29.77/100
- National rank
- #6431
- State rank
- #214 of 324 in MO
Livability — Bonne Terre
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #721
- US rank
- #23087
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bonne Terre, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,864
Population outlook (St. Francois County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,683 people
- By 2030
- 69,574 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 70,665 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 70,708 · +2.9%
- By 2075
- 67,917 · -1.1%
- By 2100
- 56,563 · -17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Francois
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.8% · R 75.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -46.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.6pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.15%
- Current HPI
- 234.0946
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+367.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-04 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-24 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-07 Listed $129,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-14 Listed $19,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-07 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-05 Price Changed $19,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-28 Price Changed $29,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $694 · +10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…