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25 Horseshoe Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 65.55
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

25 Horseshoe Dr · Newark, OH 43055
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1986 Good condition 8,712 sqft lot $350/mo HOA · 31% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Affordable, updated, and move-in ready! This charming and well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home has been thoughtfully updated and meticulously cared for by its current owner. Inside, you'll find a bright and inviting living space, central HVAC for year-round comfort, and the convenience of an included washer and dryer. Outside, the property offers three dedicated parking spaces and low-maintenance living in a quiet community. Located within walking distance of Heritage Middle School and just minutes from shopping, restaurants, parks, healthcare, and all the everyday conveniences Newark has to offer, the location is hard to beat. With lot rent of just $350 per month, this is an

Key facts

  • Central hvac
  • Minutes from parks
  • 8,712 sq ft lot

Tags

CENTRAL HVACTHREE DEDICATED PARKING SPACESMINUTES FROM SHOPPINGMINUTES FROM RESTAURANTSMINUTES FROM PARKSMINUTES FROM HEALTHCARE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $350 monthly fee; Subdivision: Towns MHP; Township: Newark

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: One-story residence; Other residential without deeded land; No common walls; Built in 1986
  • Construction: Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Insulated windows throughout; Living area approximately 784

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $59,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$166,208) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.2% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#493 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Newark City (suburban): math 48% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #431 of 656 in OH (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Recommended offer $59,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.51%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,208
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
481 Oakwood Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 768 (-2%) 1mo $90,000 $117 79
493 Allston Ave 0.23mi 2/1.5 826 (+5%) 4mo $175,000 $212 75
9 Elcar 0.12mi 2/2.0 828 (+6%) 15mo $75,800 $92 68
855 Jones Ave 0.50mi 2/1.0 780 (-0%) 13mo $175,000 $224 65
98 Fairmont Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 810 (+3%) 8mo $155,000 $191 61
506 Lexington Ave 0.27mi 2/1.0 672 (-14%) 7mo $165,000 $246 58
460 Allston Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+10%) 8mo $185,000 $214 58
483 Allston Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 (+1) 888 (+13%) 6mo $208,000 $234 57
9324 NE Butler Rd 0.47mi 2/1.0 884 (+13%) 6mo $225,000 $255 52
368 N Cedar St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 868 (+11%) 10mo $180,000 $207 49
32 Magnolia Ave 0.75mi 2/1.0 843 (+8%) 15mo $147,000 $174 40
500 Manning St 0.69mi 2/1.0 891 (+14%) 13mo $175,000 $196 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-2,524
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$3,371
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43055

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,125 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax est. 1.5%
$74 /mo · $885/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$350
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$131

Break-even live

Break-even rent $959
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $172 -5% $151 +0% $131 +5% $110 +10% $90
Rent -10% $42 -5% $86 +0% $131 +5% $175 +10% $220
Rate -1.0pp $161 -0.5pp $146 base $131 +0.5pp $116 +1.0pp $100

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
494 Allston Ave Newark, OH 2.0 1.0 724 $1,150 $1.59 44d 1 0.24mi
420 Indiana St Newark, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $800 $1.07 2d 1 0.54mi
270 Everett Ave Newark, OH 3.0 1.0 864 $1,425 $1.65 2d 1 0.84mi
51 Mill St Newark, OH 2.0 1.0 1024 $1,200 $1.17 2d 1 0.89mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$350 · $4,200/yr

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $59,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,498
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$885
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,080
− Management
−$1,080
− HOA
−$4,200
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$937
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$225
After-tax cash flow
$1,345/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained and updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath manufactured home is move-in ready and offers a great location with low maintenance and ample parking.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Upgrading the flooring to hardwood or tile — Improves the overall aesthetic and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Upgrading the appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Upgrading the flooring to hardwood or tile — Improves the overall aesthetic and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Upgrading the appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and can increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newark City
NCES district ID
3904445
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$38,662
Composite
43.33/100
National rank
#3034
State rank
#431 of 656 in OH

Livability — Newark

Score
69/100
State rank
#493
US rank
#8263

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newark, OH
County
Licking County · 109,194 people
City population
63,281
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
63,281
Household income
$63,974
Rent vs Own
38.9% rent · 61.1% own
Severe rent burden
2269.0

Population outlook (Licking County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,210 people
By 2030
180,917 · +1.5%
By 2040
183,885 · +3.2%
By 2050
182,985 · +2.7%
By 2075
178,377 · +0.1%
By 2100
161,075 · -9.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Licking

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.5% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -30.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -253.54%
Current HPI
247.9425
Rent YoY
▲ 1.63%
Metro
Columbus, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Coming Soon $59,000 CBRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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