🏷️ Likely Rental
8315 Wrigley Dr · Pasco, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MLS# 250846 Perfect starter home located in West Pasco. This beautiful home features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathroom, 1,092 sq ft. The back yard is fully fenced with a garden area, amped for a hot tub and a HUGE covered patio. Perfect for your family! Located in a quiet neighborhood, near shopping and dinning.
Key facts
- Extra storage
- Ensuite bathroom
- 8,276 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered spaces; 2-car garage
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built on owned lot; One-story / single level; New construction
- Construction: Built as site-built construction
- Exterior features: Lot in Island Estates 3 subdivision; Lot approximately 0.19 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $2k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
- Cap rate 970.0% vs local median 3.0% in Pasco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#104 in WA, #1,999 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Pasco School District (suburban): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #242 of 291 in WA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Maya Angelou Elementary (594 students, 65% FRL); Mcloughlin Middle School (1,078 students, 64% FRL); Chiawana Senior High School (2,999 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 711 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 981 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (517 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $60 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $559 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 102.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 970.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3441.99%
- DSCR
- 154.15
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $360,360
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8212 Whidbey Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,096 (+0%) | 1mo | $369,000 | $337 | 90 |
| 8203 Whidbey Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (0%) | 3mo | $371,000 | $340 | 88 |
| 7904 Redonda Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (0%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $334 | 85 |
| 7611 Thetis Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (0%) | 4mo | $355,000 | $325 | 76 |
| 4441 Galway Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (0%) | 5mo | $354,900 | $325 | 74 |
| 4507 Muris Ln | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,076 (-2%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $335 | 72 |
| 5008 Oxford Ln | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-5%) | 9mo | $342,550 | $329 | 72 |
| 5320 Westminster Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+8%) | 7mo | $359,700 | $306 | 68 |
| 4601 Muris Ln | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,076 (-2%) | 8mo | $355,000 | $330 | 68 |
| 5308 Westminster Ln | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (+8%) | 8mo | $354,900 | $301 | 68 |
| 4311 Brahman Ln | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,076 (-2%) | 2mo | $371,000 | $345 | 61 |
| 8707 Overland Ct | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (+6%) | 5mo | $369,900 | $319 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 179.48×
- Total profit
- $99,697
- Equity at exit
- $297
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 377.06×
- Total profit
- $210,067
- Equity at exit
- $172
Cash invested: $559 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99301
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 711
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,046 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$10
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$2 /mo · $30/yr
- Insurance
- −$1
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $1,602
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,604 | -5% $1,603 | +0% $1,602 | +5% $1,602 | +10% $1,601 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,441 | -5% $1,521 | +0% $1,602 | +5% $1,683 | +10% $1,764 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,603 | -0.5pp $1,603 | base $1,602 | +0.5pp $1,602 | +1.0pp $1,601 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $499
- Closing costs
- $60
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8011 Hudson Dr Pasco, WA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,200 | $1.49 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 7820 Three Rivers Dr Pasco, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,300 | $1.60 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5801 Road 92 Pasco, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1449 | $2,250 | $1.55 | 15d | 4 | 0.60mi |
| 9315 Chapel Hill Blvd Pasco, WA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1015 | $1,507 | $1.48 | 15d | 10 | 0.68mi |
| 5651 Midland Ln Pasco, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 782 | $1,570 | $2.01 | 22d | 5 | 0.74mi |
| 6102 Road 68 Pasco, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,548 | $1.54 | 15d | 4 | 0.76mi |
| 4119 Bond Ln Pasco, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $2,300 | $1.66 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6212 Road 68 Pasco, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 953 | $1,546 | $1.62 | 15d | 20 | 0.81mi |
| 10305 Chapel Hill Blvd Pasco, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1045 | $1,810 | $1.73 | 15d | 8 | 1.27mi |
| 10181 Burns Rd Pasco, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 986 | $3,019 | $3.06 | 15d | 30 | 1.42mi |
| 6626 Chapel Hill Blvd Pasco, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1191 | $2,100 | $1.76 | 15d | 19 | 1.47mi |
| 6405N Chapel Hill Blvd Unit N102 Pasco, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,750 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,995 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,995 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,995 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $1,995 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$1,995 Active
-
2021-04-01soldstatus $270,500 307-char remark
Show marketing remark (307 chars)
MLS# 250846 Perfect starter home located in West Pasco. This beautiful home features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathroom, 1,092 sq ft. The back yard is fully fenced with a garden area, amped for a hot tub and a HUGE covered patio. Perfect for your family! Located in a quiet neighborhood, near shopping and dinning.
-
2021-01-09$255,000 307-char remark
Show marketing remark (307 chars)
MLS# 250846 Perfect starter home located in West Pasco. This beautiful home features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathroom, 1,092 sq ft. The back yard is fully fenced with a garden area, amped for a hot tub and a HUGE covered patio. Perfect for your family! Located in a quiet neighborhood, near shopping and dinning.
-
2009-08-28soldstatus $135,000
-
2008-04-24soldstatus $128,900
-
2008-04-22soldstatus $128,900
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Better then new, 3 bedroom 2 bath with vaulted ceilings, fresh paint, french doors to the huge beautifully manicured yard. Extensive concrete patio, curbing, UGTS, fully fenced and a matching storage shed. The Hot Tub does not stay don't ask for it it's only 5 months old and is going with the sellers.
-
2008-04-22soldstatus $128,900 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Better then new, 3 bedroom 2 bath with vaulted ceilings, fresh paint, french doors to the huge beautifully manicured yard. Extensive concrete patio, curbing, UGTS, fully fenced and a matching storage shed. The Hot Tub does not stay don't ask for it it's only 5 months old and is going with the sellers.
-
2008-02-26$128,900
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Better then new, 3 bedroom 2 bath with vaulted ceilings, fresh paint, french doors to the huge beautifully manicured yard. Extensive concrete patio, curbing, UGTS, fully fenced and a matching storage shed. The Hot Tub does not stay don't ask for it it's only 5 months old and is going with the sellers.
-
2008-02-26$128,900 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Better then new, 3 bedroom 2 bath with vaulted ceilings, fresh paint, french doors to the huge beautifully manicured yard. Extensive concrete patio, curbing, UGTS, fully fenced and a matching storage shed. The Hot Tub does not stay don't ask for it it's only 5 months old and is going with the sellers.
-
2002-04-30soldstatus $108,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,547
- − Mortgage interest
- −$112
- − Property taxes
- −$30
- − Insurance
- −$10
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,964
- − Management
- −$1,964
- − Depreciation
- −$58
- Taxable income
- $20,410
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,898
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,329/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306570
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,454
- Composite
- 33.78/100
- National rank
- #10401
- State rank
- #242 of 291 in WA
Livability — Pasco
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #1999
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pasco, WA
- County
- Franklin County · 87,044 people
- City population
- 87,044
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 87,044
- Household income
- $87,951
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1556.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 108,530 people
- By 2030
- 118,705 · +9.4%
- By 2040
- 140,053 · +29.0%
- By 2050
- 162,360 · +49.6%
- By 2075
- 217,667 · +100.6%
- By 2100
- 264,533 · +143.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% White 37% Two or more races 22% Black 2% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 49% English-only · Spanish 47% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.7) · D 37.4% · R 60.1% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.0pp toward D · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -22.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.7 2020: R+14.5 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+23.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -331.74%
- Current HPI
- 284.481
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.99%
- Metro
- Kennewick-Richland, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-98.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $1,995 PACMLS
- 2021-04-01 Sold (MLS) $270,500 PACMLS
- 2021-01-09 Listed $255,000 PACMLS
- 2009-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2008-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $128,900 Public Records
- 2008-04-22 Sold (MLS) $128,900 PACMLS
- 2008-04-22 Sold (MLS) $128,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-26 Listed $128,900 PACMLS
- 2008-02-26 Listed $128,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2026): $3,033 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…