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8315 Wrigley Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 45.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,995

8315 Wrigley Dr · Pasco, WA 99301
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 2000 8,276 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

MLS# 250846 Perfect starter home located in West Pasco. This beautiful home features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathroom, 1,092 sq ft. The back yard is fully fenced with a garden area, amped for a hot tub and a HUGE covered patio. Perfect for your family! Located in a quiet neighborhood, near shopping and dinning.

Key facts

  • Extra storage
  • Ensuite bathroom
  • 8,276 sq ft lot

Tags

FEATURE-FORWARD KITCHENEXTRA STORAGEENSUITE BATHROOMGLASS-ENCLOSED SHOWERFULLY FENCED BACKYARDOVERSIZED COVERED BACK PATIO

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered spaces; 2-car garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built on owned lot; One-story / single level; New construction
  • Construction: Built as site-built construction
  • Exterior features: Lot in Island Estates 3 subdivision; Lot approximately 0.19 acres

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $1,995 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$360,360) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $2k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
  • Cap rate 970.0% vs local median 3.0% in Pasco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#104 in WA, #1,999 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+.
  • Pasco School District (suburban): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #242 of 291 in WA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Maya Angelou Elementary (594 students, 65% FRL); Mcloughlin Middle School (1,078 students, 64% FRL); Chiawana Senior High School (2,999 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 711 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 981 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (517 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $60 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $559 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,995

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
102.54%
Cap rate
970.05%
Cash-on-cash
3441.99%
DSCR
154.15
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$360,360
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8212 Whidbey Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,096 (+0%) 1mo $369,000 $337 90
8203 Whidbey Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,092 (0%) 3mo $371,000 $340 88
7904 Redonda Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,092 (0%) 1mo $365,000 $334 85
7611 Thetis Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,092 (0%) 4mo $355,000 $325 76
4441 Galway Ln 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,092 (0%) 5mo $354,900 $325 74
4507 Muris Ln 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,076 (-2%) 2mo $360,000 $335 72
5008 Oxford Ln 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-5%) 9mo $342,550 $329 72
5320 Westminster Ln 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,176 (+8%) 7mo $359,700 $306 68
4601 Muris Ln 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,076 (-2%) 8mo $355,000 $330 68
5308 Westminster Ln 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,180 (+8%) 8mo $354,900 $301 68
4311 Brahman Ln 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,076 (-2%) 2mo $371,000 $345 61
8707 Overland Ct 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,160 (+6%) 5mo $369,900 $319 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
179.48×
Total profit
$99,697
Equity at exit
$297
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
377.06×
Total profit
$210,067
Equity at exit
$172

Cash invested: $559 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99301

Rents YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
711
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,046 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$10
Tax est. 1.5%
$2 /mo · $30/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$430
Net cashflow
$1,602

Break-even live

Break-even rent $17
Max offer price $1,995
Occupancy floor 17%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,604 -5% $1,603 +0% $1,602 +5% $1,602 +10% $1,601
Rent -10% $1,441 -5% $1,521 +0% $1,602 +5% $1,683 +10% $1,764
Rate -1.0pp $1,603 -0.5pp $1,603 base $1,602 +0.5pp $1,602 +1.0pp $1,601

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$499
Closing costs
$60
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8011 Hudson Dr Pasco, WA 4.0 2.0 1480 $2,200 $1.49 45d 1 0.48mi
7820 Three Rivers Dr Pasco, WA 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,300 $1.60 22d 1 0.50mi
5801 Road 92 Pasco, WA 3.0 2.5 1449 $2,250 $1.55 15d 4 0.60mi
9315 Chapel Hill Blvd Pasco, WA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1015 $1,507 $1.48 15d 10 0.68mi
5651 Midland Ln Pasco, WA 2.0 1.0 782 $1,570 $2.01 22d 5 0.74mi
6102 Road 68 Pasco, WA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,548 $1.54 15d 4 0.76mi
4119 Bond Ln Pasco, WA 3.0 2.0 1382 $2,300 $1.66 22d 1 0.77mi
6212 Road 68 Pasco, WA 2.0 2.0 953 $1,546 $1.62 15d 20 0.81mi
10305 Chapel Hill Blvd Pasco, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1045 $1,810 $1.73 15d 8 1.27mi
10181 Burns Rd Pasco, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 986 $3,019 $3.06 15d 30 1.42mi
6626 Chapel Hill Blvd Pasco, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1191 $2,100 $1.76 15d 19 1.47mi
6405N Chapel Hill Blvd Unit N102 Pasco, WA 3.0 2.0 1262 $1,750 $1.39 45d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,995 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,995 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,995 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $1,995 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-05-21
    listed $1,995 Active
  6. 2021-04-01
    soldstatus $270,500 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    MLS# 250846 Perfect starter home located in West Pasco. This beautiful home features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathroom, 1,092 sq ft. The back yard is fully fenced with a garden area, amped for a hot tub and a HUGE covered patio. Perfect for your family! Located in a quiet neighborhood, near shopping and dinning.

  7. 2021-01-09
    listed $255,000 307-char remark
    Show marketing remark (307 chars)

    MLS# 250846 Perfect starter home located in West Pasco. This beautiful home features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathroom, 1,092 sq ft. The back yard is fully fenced with a garden area, amped for a hot tub and a HUGE covered patio. Perfect for your family! Located in a quiet neighborhood, near shopping and dinning.

  8. 2009-08-28
    soldstatus $135,000
  9. 2008-04-24
    soldstatus $128,900
  10. 2008-04-22
    soldstatus $128,900
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Better then new, 3 bedroom 2 bath with vaulted ceilings, fresh paint, french doors to the huge beautifully manicured yard. Extensive concrete patio, curbing, UGTS, fully fenced and a matching storage shed. The Hot Tub does not stay don't ask for it it's only 5 months old and is going with the sellers.

  11. 2008-04-22
    soldstatus $128,900 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Better then new, 3 bedroom 2 bath with vaulted ceilings, fresh paint, french doors to the huge beautifully manicured yard. Extensive concrete patio, curbing, UGTS, fully fenced and a matching storage shed. The Hot Tub does not stay don't ask for it it's only 5 months old and is going with the sellers.

  12. 2008-02-26
    listed $128,900
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Better then new, 3 bedroom 2 bath with vaulted ceilings, fresh paint, french doors to the huge beautifully manicured yard. Extensive concrete patio, curbing, UGTS, fully fenced and a matching storage shed. The Hot Tub does not stay don't ask for it it's only 5 months old and is going with the sellers.

  13. 2008-02-26
    listed $128,900 302-char remark
    Show marketing remark (302 chars)

    Better then new, 3 bedroom 2 bath with vaulted ceilings, fresh paint, french doors to the huge beautifully manicured yard. Extensive concrete patio, curbing, UGTS, fully fenced and a matching storage shed. The Hot Tub does not stay don't ask for it it's only 5 months old and is going with the sellers.

  14. 2002-04-30
    soldstatus $108,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,547
− Mortgage interest
−$112
− Property taxes
−$30
− Insurance
−$10
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,964
− Management
−$1,964
− Depreciation
−$58
Taxable income
$20,410
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,898
After-tax cash flow
$14,329/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco School District
NCES district ID
5306570
Math proficiency
31% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,454
Composite
33.78/100
National rank
#10401
State rank
#242 of 291 in WA

Livability — Pasco

Score
79/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#1999

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living B Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pasco, WA
County
Franklin County · 87,044 people
City population
87,044
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
Population (ZIP)
87,044
Household income
$87,951
Rent vs Own
28.6% rent · 71.4% own
Severe rent burden
1556.0

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
108,530 people
By 2030
118,705 · +9.4%
By 2040
140,053 · +29.0%
By 2050
162,360 · +49.6%
By 2075
217,667 · +100.6%
By 2100
264,533 · +143.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 55% White 37% Two or more races 22% Black 2% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
49% English-only · Spanish 47% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.7) · D 37.4% · R 60.1% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.0pp toward D · 2008: -23.7pp · 2024: -22.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.7 2020: R+14.5 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+25.2 2008: R+23.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -331.74%
Current HPI
284.481
Rent YoY
▲ 1.99%
Metro
Kennewick-Richland, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $1,995 PACMLS
  • 2021-04-01 Sold (MLS) $270,500 PACMLS
  • 2021-01-09 Listed $255,000 PACMLS
  • 2009-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2008-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $128,900 Public Records
  • 2008-04-22 Sold (MLS) $128,900 PACMLS
  • 2008-04-22 Sold (MLS) $128,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-02-26 Listed $128,900 PACMLS
  • 2008-02-26 Listed $128,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $108,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,033 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…