Duplex
122 Water St · Edinboro, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Charming multi-unit property located at 122 Water St in the heart of Edinboro. This fully-occupied duplex offers spacious layouts, strong rental history, and a convenient location near shopping, dining, and less than a mile from PennWest University. New boiler 2024. An excellent opportunity for investors or owner-occupants looking to maximize income.
Key facts
- New boiler
- Convenient location
- Multi-unit property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $159/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.4% in Edinboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#316 in PA, #2,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment D-.
- General Mclane SD (rural): math 50% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #85 of 539 in PA (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 268 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $103k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 268 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.72%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $169,430
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -17.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Ontario St | 0.37mi | 6/2.0 | 2,150 (+3%) | 22mo | $149,000 | $69 | 59 |
| 109 E Normal St | 0.21mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,806 (-14%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $91 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,382
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $24,265
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16412
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 13.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,731 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$258 /mo · $3,099/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $317
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $397 | -5% $357 | +0% $317 | +5% $278 | +10% $238 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $181 | -5% $249 | +0% $317 | +5% $386 | +10% $454 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $388 | -0.5pp $353 | base $317 | +0.5pp $281 | +1.0pp $244 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $1,732 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $866 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $866 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,731 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,900 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,900 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-03-29status Active 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Charming multi-unit property located at 122 Water St in the heart of Edinboro. This fully-occupied duplex offers spacious layouts, strong rental history, and a convenient location near shopping, dining, and less than a mile from PennWest University. New boiler 2024. An excellent opportunity for investors or owner-occupants looking to maximize income.
-
2026-03-15status Pending 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Charming multi-unit property located at 122 Water St in the heart of Edinboro. This fully-occupied duplex offers spacious layouts, strong rental history, and a convenient location near shopping, dining, and less than a mile from PennWest University. New boiler 2024. An excellent opportunity for investors or owner-occupants looking to maximize income.
-
2026-02-06price $155,000 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Charming multi-unit property located at 122 Water St in the heart of Edinboro. This fully-occupied duplex offers spacious layouts, strong rental history, and a convenient location near shopping, dining, and less than a mile from PennWest University. New boiler 2024. An excellent opportunity for investors or owner-occupants looking to maximize income.
-
2025-09-11$164,900 Active 352-char remark
Show marketing remark (352 chars)
Charming multi-unit property located at 122 Water St in the heart of Edinboro. This fully-occupied duplex offers spacious layouts, strong rental history, and a convenient location near shopping, dining, and less than a mile from PennWest University. New boiler 2024. An excellent opportunity for investors or owner-occupants looking to maximize income.
-
2023-06-15soldstatus $103,000
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2023-06-13soldstatus $103,000 Closed
-
2023-05-24status Pending
-
2023-04-24$111,000 Active
-
2022-10-31price $119,900
-
2022-02-09$136,500
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2022-02-09$136,500 Active
-
2021-02-10$149,900
-
2021-02-10$149,900
-
1995-06-15soldstatus $73,500
-
1984-10-17soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,099 · $258/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,099 · $258/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,772
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$3,099
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,662
- − Management
- −$1,662
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $1,744
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$419
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- General Mclane SD
- NCES district ID
- 4210650
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,384
- Composite
- 49.68/100
- National rank
- #1971
- State rank
- #85 of 539 in PA
Livability — Edinboro
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #316
- US rank
- #2814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edinboro, PA
- City population
- 1,104
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,726
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 272,159 people
- By 2030
- 266,299 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 250,987 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 234,925 · -13.7%
- By 2075
- 199,164 · -26.8%
- By 2100
- 162,985 · -40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 50.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.9pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -1.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.0 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+16.9 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.34%
- Current HPI
- 240.8752
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+573.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Relisted — GEBOR
- 2026-03-15 Pending — GEBOR
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $155,000 GEBOR
- 2025-09-11 Listed $164,900 GEBOR
- 2023-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-13 Sold (MLS) $103,000 GEBOR
- 2023-05-24 Pending — GEBOR
- 2023-04-24 Listed $111,000 GEBOR
- 2022-10-31 Price Changed $119,900 GEBOR
- 2022-02-09 Listed $136,500 GEBOR
- 2022-02-09 Listed $136,500 GEBOR
- 2021-02-10 Listed $149,900 GEBOR
- 2021-02-10 Listed $149,900 GEBOR
- 1995-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $73,500 Public Records
- 1984-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $3,099 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…