Duplex
17-19 Bell St · Dayton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
This brick 2 unit building will require 100% rehab top to bottom. It is located in the Huffman Historic District and within the boundaries of a Community Reinvestment Area (CRA), making it exempt from real property tax that will be added due to remodeling of the structure for a period of ten (10) years (see CRA document in attachments). Included with the purchase is a full set of engineer-stamped blueprints to redevelop this building, each unit proposed as being 2 BR, 1 1/2 baths with first floor laundry rooms. After renovated rents projected at $1,500+/unit with all gas and electric seperate plus seperate water (2 water services exist now), sanitary sewer, storm sewer, trash and recycling
Key facts
- Sanitary sewer
- Storm sewer
- 6,599 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Bus service about 1 block away
- Home design: Brick construction; 2-story building; Cellar foundation
- Construction: Brick exterior; Cellar foundation; 2 stories
- Exterior features: Residential zoning; Lot approximately 0.15 acres (44 x 130)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (total across property)
- Interior features: Two-unit dwelling (multi-family)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $955 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $477/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 7.3% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kiser Elementary School (math 11% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,429 of 1,584 statewide, top 90%, 552 students, 0% FRL); Belmont High School (math 5% / reading 20%, grade F, #720 of 781 statewide, top 93%, 1,100 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 74% district-wide (74 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,967/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1071% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.97%
- DSCR
- 3.05
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $101,684
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -12.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2225 E 5th St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,466 (-1%) | 15mo | $50,000 | $20 | 66 |
| 127-129 E Linden Ave | 0.16mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,392 (-4%) | 13mo | $137,500 | $57 | 66 |
| 76-78 Huffman Ave Unit 76, 76 1/2, 78 | 0.18mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,815 (+13%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $99 | 63 |
| 24-26 S Philadelphia St | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 2,340 (-6%) | 12mo | $176,500 | $75 | 54 |
| 27 Huffman Ave #29 | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 2,143 (-14%) | 16mo | $109,000 | $51 | 50 |
| 26 N Philadelphia St #24 | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 2,340 (-6%) | 18mo | $173,500 | $74 | 48 |
| 2728 E Fourth St | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 2,412 (-3%) | 21mo | $182,000 | $75 | 46 |
| 1617-21 E 5th St #1617 | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,690 (+8%) | 16mo | $275,000 | $102 | 44 |
| 2628 E 2nd St #2626 | 0.47mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,720 (+9%) | 13mo | $186,500 | $69 | 44 |
| 311 Huffman Ave #309 | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 2,184 (-12%) | 23mo | $55,000 | $25 | 43 |
| 2821 E 5th St #2819 | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 2,128 (-15%) | 7mo | $157,000 | $74 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $47,819
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 50.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.05×
- Total profit
- $125,909
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45403
- Home prices YoY
- -3.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,967 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,145/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $955
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,005 | -5% $980 | +0% $955 | +5% $930 | +10% $904 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $799 | -5% $877 | +0% $955 | +5% $1,032 | +10% $1,110 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,000 | -0.5pp $977 | base $955 | +0.5pp $932 | +1.0pp $908 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $1,966 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $983 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $983 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,967 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 Parrot St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1618 | $1,100 | $0.68 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 438 Clover St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2156 | $1,025 | $0.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 115 Livingston Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1624 | $1,450 | $0.89 | 46d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 244 Quitman St Unit A Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1987 | $1,325 | $0.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 204 Sears St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1124 | $2,793 | $2.48 | 4d | 10 | 1.04mi |
| 321 Deeds Ave Unit 319 Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,100 | $0.61 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 228 James St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 227 James St Unit 1 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 229 James St Unit 228 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 320 Park Dr Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $2,400 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 531 Maryland Ave Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1962 | $1,700 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 218 Brown St Unit 218 Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1789 | $2,200 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 218 Brown St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $3,200 | $1.78 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1603 Manette Pl Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,695 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 32 Gebhart St Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 836 Wellmeier Ave Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2148 | $1,500 | $0.70 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 319 Wyoming St Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2064 | $2,000 | $0.97 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2114 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1723 | $1,595 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$99,000 Active 808-char remark
-
2005-06-13soldstatus $103,000
-
1997-04-04soldstatus $37,000
-
1997-04-03soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,145 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,267 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 10.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,604
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,145
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,888
- − Management
- −$1,888
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $10,663
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,559
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,897/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #12895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 164,387
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,608
- Household income
- $38,323
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1071.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.40%
- Current HPI
- 447.4034
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.71%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+140.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $89,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $99,000 Dayton MLS
- 2005-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 1997-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
- 1997-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,145 · -23.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…