69433 Parkside Dr · Desert Edge, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Best view of the whole community. This has not been available for 20 years. Sits on the golf course. Land owned so the 150 dollars park fee includes use of pool, hot tubs, weight room, golf, and club house. The main house has 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. Has a separate entrance guest room with bathroom. The guest area includes a sitting room or office. Extra large 2 car garage with workbench area. Lots of storage. The house had all new flooring installed 5 years ago. The kitchen is large with custom cabinets and granite countertops. Very beautiful home with exceptional view. Must be over 55 to own in Desert Crest County Club.
Key facts
- Custom cabinets
- Granite countertops
- Built 1974
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($-5/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (0.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (21.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (21.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 14.6% in Desert Edge — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#297 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute D-, employment F.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Julius Corsini Elementary (409 students, 98% FRL); Desert Springs Middle (803 students, 99% FRL); Desert Hot Springs High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #532 of 1,170 statewide, top 48%, 1,742 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 73% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $195k implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.01%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69300 Fairway Dr | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-4%) | 1mo | $109,000 | $95 | 84 |
| 16725 Camino Mirasol Dr | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+4%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $132 | 81 |
| 69525 Dillon Rd #88 | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+4%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $144 | 69 |
| 69280 Fairway Dr | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (+10%) | 8mo | $148,000 | $112 | 68 |
| 69285 Midpark | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,048 (-13%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $91 | 67 |
| 69303 Golden Dr W | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+12%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $119 | 65 |
| 16821 Lakeside Ct | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (+14%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $124 | 64 |
| 69601 Country Club Dr | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-13%) | 4mo | $166,500 | $160 | 63 |
| 69525 Dillon Rd #85 | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,050 (-12%) | 7mo | $119,000 | $113 | 59 |
| 17555 Corkill Rd #53 | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-12%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $66 | 42 |
| 17555 Corkill Rd | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+12%) | 7mo | $105,000 | $78 | 42 |
| 17555 Corkill Rd #57 | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (-13%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $82 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-31,690
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-27,891
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92241
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,526 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,229/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $-0
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $110 | -5% $55 | +0% $0 | +5% $-56 | +10% $-111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-121 | -5% $-61 | +0% $0 | +5% $60 | +10% $120 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $98 | -0.5pp $49 | base $0 | +0.5pp $-51 | +1.0pp $-102 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69470 Midpark Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1298 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 69510 Parkside Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 18070 Langlois Rd Dsrt Hot Spgs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 26d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 18070 Langlois Rd Dsrt Hot Spgs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 1d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 18070 Langlois Rd #257 Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,850 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 70875 Dillon Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $2,200 | $3.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $195,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 632-char remark
-
2026-06-15$195,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,229 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,482 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$253/yr (+$21/mo · 20.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥109°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,317
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$1,229
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,465
- − Management
- −$1,465
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$3,414
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$819
- After-tax cash flow
- $814/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Desert Edge
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #9953
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Desert Edge, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,624
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 38% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.23%
- Current HPI
- 400.5663
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+225.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $195,000 FSBO.com
- 2005-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,229 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…