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1139 US Highway 12
B+ Composite 78.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

1139 US Highway 12 · Ortonville, MN 56278
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1979 0.40 ac lot $52/sqft · 36% below area Est $93k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a great opportunity for budget-conscious buyers looking for a comfortable and affordable place to call home. Situated in a convenient location, the property features a spacious living room and the layout offers everyday ease. While there are some repairs that are necessary, the home has solid potential to give it your own personal touch over time. Exterior is finished with low-maintenance vinyl siding. Whether you're looking to build equity in your rental portfolio or simply find an affordable home in a competitive market, this property is worth a look. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Spacious living room
  • 0.4 acre lot
  • Built 1979

Tags

SPACIOUS LIVING ROOMLOW MAINTENANCE VINYL SIDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual taxes listed (see broker) — tax details provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; No carport
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Electric fuel
  • Home design: Residential property; One level
  • Construction: Frame construction; Wood foundation; Foundation dimensions approximately 44 x 26; Built area above grade 1,144; below grade 1,144 (total building area 2,288)
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot approximately 0.404 acres (150 x 120)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range, Refrigerator, Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dryer, Washer, Range, Refrigerator; Unfinished basement; Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($932 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#278 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Big Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Big Stone County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
12.78%
Cash-on-cash
23.16%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,139
List price
$60,000
Delta
-35.58%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$10,938
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
24.8%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$36,162
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56278

Home prices YoY
-17.4%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$932 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $868/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$324

Break-even live

Break-even rent $521
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $358 -5% $341 +0% $324 +5% $307 +10% $290
Rent -10% $251 -5% $287 +0% $324 +5% $361 +10% $398
Rate -1.0pp $354 -0.5pp $339 base $324 +0.5pp $309 +1.0pp $293

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $60,000 Pending 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Contingent - Inspection 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Contingent - Inspection 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    days on market $60,000 Contingent - Inspection 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $60,000 Contingent - Inspection 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Contingent - Inspection 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Contingent - Inspection 26 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Contingent - Inspection 25 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Contingent - Inspection 24 DOM
  10. 2026-05-04
    listed $60,000 Active 623-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$868 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$868 · $72/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,182
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$868
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$895
− Management
−$895
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$3,119
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$749
After-tax cash flow
$3,142/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Ortonville

Score
72/100
State rank
#278
US rank
#6074

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ortonville, MN
Population (ZIP)
2,685

Population outlook (Big Stone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,608 people
By 2030
4,380 · -4.9%
By 2040
3,941 · -14.5%
By 2050
3,551 · -22.9%
By 2075
2,917 · -36.7%
By 2100
2,284 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 22% Romanian 4% Scottish 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Big Stone

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.6) · D 34.2% · R 63.8% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-35.9pp toward R · 2008: 6.4pp · 2024: -29.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.6 2020: R+27.2 2016: R+25.1 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+6.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.28%
Current HPI
205.2834
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-26 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $868 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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