🏗️ New Construction
Ballard Plan · Plainfield, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.5/30.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$330,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Ballard plan available at The Villas at Lockley is a versatile and stylish single-story home, offering 1,620 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space. With 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a 2-car garage, this layout blends functionality and comfort, making it ideal for a variety of lifestyles.
Key facts
- Single-story home
- $298 HOA
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $331k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-859 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $279k (15.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $282k (14.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $279k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#496 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Plainfield SD 202 (suburban): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #213 of 620 in IL (top 34%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #503 of 2,056 statewide, top 25%, 532 students, 0% FRL); Richard Ira Jones Middle School (math 30% / reading 42%, grade F, #182 of 665 statewide, top 28%, 837 students, 0% FRL); Plainfield North High School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #85 of 693 statewide, top 12%, 2,377 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 17% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 278 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 30d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($108k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 662 days — a 12% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 662 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.12%
- DSCR
- 0.59
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $403,820
- List price
- $330,990
- Delta
- -18.04%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25535 W Alabaster Cir | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,620 (0%) | 0mo | $359,990 | $222 | 97 |
| 25525 W Alabaster Cir | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,620 (0%) | 0mo | $349,990 | $216 | 96 |
| 25531 W Alabaster Cir | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,620 (0%) | 2mo | $369,990 | $228 | 96 |
| 25443 W Alabaster Cir | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 1,668 (+3%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $231 | 88 |
| 25501 W Alabaster Cir | 0.10mi | 2/2.5 | 1,668 (+3%) | 1mo | $399,985 | $240 | 88 |
| 25505 W Alabaster Cir | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,668 (+3%) | 1mo | $389,990 | $234 | 85 |
| 25449 W Alabaster Cir | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,668 (+3%) | 1mo | $379,990 | $228 | 84 |
| 25533 W Alabaster Cir | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,462 (-10%) | 2mo | $339,990 | $233 | 80 |
| 25503 W Alabaster Cir | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,462 (-10%) | 1mo | $349,990 | $239 | 78 |
| 25447 W Alabaster Cir | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,462 (-10%) | 2mo | $356,520 | $244 | 77 |
| 25532 W Emory Ln | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,781 (+10%) | 0mo | $379,990 | $213 | 72 |
| 14343 S Charlton Pl | 0.13mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,781 (+10%) | 2mo | $399,990 | $225 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-119,946
- Equity at exit
- $60,211
- IRR
- -37.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.54×
- Total profit
- $-174,011
- Equity at exit
- $34,915
Cash invested: $113,070 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 21 active · 44 under contract
- Months of supply
- 2.6 mo (38%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $379,990 ($213/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 39 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +16.8% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 60544
- Home prices YoY
- -30.8%
- Active inventory
- 278
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,822 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,118
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$505 /mo · $6,057/yr
- Insurance
- −$168
- HOA
- −$298
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$593
- Net cashflow
- $-859
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-580 | -5% $-720 | +0% $-859 | +5% $-999 | +10% $-1,138 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,082 | -5% $-971 | +0% $-859 | +5% $-748 | +10% $-636 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-656 | -0.5pp $-757 | base $-859 | +0.5pp $-964 | +1.0pp $-1,070 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $100,955
- Closing costs
- $12,115
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14729 S Greenbriar Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1956 | $3,600 | $1.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 14729 S Greenbriar Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1956 | $3,300 | $1.69 | 36d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 25704 W Wakefield Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $2,900 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 14514 Thomas Jefferson Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $2,200 | $1.57 | 30d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 25706 W Wakefield Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1767 | $2,800 | $1.58 | 29d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 14940 S McCarthy Cir Unit 1 Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2175 | $3,000 | $1.38 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 14942 S McCarthy Cir Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,900 | $1.64 | 12d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 14934 S McCarthy Cir Unit 14934 Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,700 | $1.53 | 66d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 14936 S McCarthy Cir Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,900 | $1.64 | 68d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 24708 George Washington Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $2,495 | $1.86 | 73d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 25736 W Yorkshire Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,800 | $1.59 | 93d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 25750 W Yorkshire Dr Unit 25750 Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,800 | $1.59 | 0d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 25752 W Yorkshire Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,950 | $1.67 | 7d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 14951 S McCarthy Cir Unit 14951 Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,850 | $1.62 | 46d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 25732 W Wakefield Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1767 | $3,100 | $1.75 | 93d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 25720 W Yorkshire Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,800 | $1.59 | 62d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 14750 Wallin Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1092 | $2,505 | $2.29 | 0d | 20 | 1.13mi |
| 14946 S Dyer LN Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2039 | $3,000 | $1.47 | 30d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 14946 S Dyer LN Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2039 | $3,000 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 24617 Patriot Square Dr S Unit 24617 Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1757 | $2,700 | $1.54 | 1d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 24617 Patriot Square Dr S Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1757 | $2,700 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 14525 Samuel Adams Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1757 | $2,500 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 24463 John Adams Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1759 | $2,650 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 24463 John Adams Dr Plainfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1759 | $2,650 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $330,990 Active 662 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $330,990 Active 660 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $330,990 Active 659 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $330,990 Active 658 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $330,990 Active 657 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $330,990 Active 654 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $330,990 Active 652 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $330,990 Active 651 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $330,990 Active 649 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $330,990 Active 647 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $330,990 Active 646 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $330,990 Active 645 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $330,990 Active 644 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $330,990 Active 643 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $330,990 Active 641 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $330,990 Active 640 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $330,990 Active 639 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $330,990 Active 638 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $330,990 Active 637 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $330,990 Active 636 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $330,990 Active 635 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $330,990 Active 634 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $330,990 Active 633 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $330,990 Active 632 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $330,990 Active 630 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $330,990 Active 629 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $330,990 Active 628 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $330,990 Active 627 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $330,990 Active 626 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $330,990 Active 625 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $330,990 Active 624 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $330,990 Active 623 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $330,990 Active 622 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $330,990 Active 621 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $330,990 Active 620 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $330,990 Active 619 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $330,990 Active 617 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $330,990 Active 615 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $330,990 Active 614 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $330,990 Active 611 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $330,990 Active 610 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $330,990 Active 609 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $330,990 Active 608 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $330,990 Active 606 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $330,990 Active 605 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $330,990 Active 602 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $330,990 Active 601 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $330,990 Active 600 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $330,990 Active 597 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $330,990 Active 596 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,863
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,620
- − Property taxes
- −$6,057
- − Insurance
- −$2,019
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,709
- − Management
- −$2,709
- − HOA
- −$3,576
- − Depreciation
- −$11,747
- Taxable loss
- −$17,575
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,218
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,095/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This Ballard plan townhouse is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good balance of functionality and comfort, making it ideal for a variety of lifestyles.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers. ↑
- Both Interior updates (e.g., new flooring, paint, and furniture) — Fresh updates can make the home more appealing and increase its value for both resale and rental purposes. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Plainfield SD 202
- NCES district ID
- 1731740
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,706
- Composite
- 28.83/100
- National rank
- #6653
- State rank
- #213 of 620 in IL
Livability — Plainfield
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #496
- US rank
- #10260
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plainfield, IL
- County
- Will County · 705,368 people
- City population
- 75,140
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,306
- Household income
- $108,304
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3% of renters
Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 705,368 people
- By 2030
- 708,154 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 702,692 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 680,249 · -3.6%
- By 2075
- 611,990 · -13.2%
- By 2100
- 516,215 · -26.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Black 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Subsaharan African 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Will
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.39%
- Current HPI
- 191.7581
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-11.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $328,990 Zillow
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $327,990 Zillow
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $377,990 Zillow
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $375,990 Zillow
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $365,990 Zillow
- 2025-06-17 Price Changed $362,990 Zillow
- 2025-06-09 Price Changed $361,990 Zillow
- 2025-05-01 Price Changed $359,990 Zillow
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $356,990 Zillow
- 2025-03-11 Price Changed $351,990 Zillow
- 2025-03-06 Price Changed $349,990 Zillow
- 2024-10-15 Listed $369,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…