CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
142 Ruggles St Duplex
A- Composite 83.62
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$95,000

142 Ruggles St · Dunkirk, NY 14048
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,952 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1903 10,000 sqft lot $49/sqft · 33% below area Est $141k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

This two-family residence has long term tenants who pay all utilities except trash pickup; new roof recently installed.

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Recently remodeled
  • Two family property

Tags

TWO FAMILY PROPERTYRECENTLY REMODELEDSEPARATE UTILITIESLAUNDRY HOOKUPSSTRONG RENTAL HISTORYMOVE IN READY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two-unit building with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Tenant(s) pay all utilities; Operating expenses include maintenance (structure and general) and professional management

Exterior

  • Parking: No driveway; parking available
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story multi-family property; Existing (resale) condition
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot with 100 x 100 dimensions; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dining area with kitchen (Unit 1); Eat-in kitchen (Unit 2)
  • Bedrooms: Two separate 3-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Luxury vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Radiator heating
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $862 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $431/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 7.4% in Dunkirk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#426 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dunkirk City School District (town): math 30% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #575 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.9% local appreciation)).
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $93,575 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
17.18%
Cash-on-cash
38.87%
DSCR
2.73
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$140,992
List price
$95,000
Delta
-32.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
77 E 7th St 0.33mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,230 (+14%) 21mo $130,000 $58 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.93% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.2%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$76,444
Equity at exit
$53,436
10-year hold
IRR
45.1%
Equity multiple
7.91×
Total profit
$183,937
Equity at exit
$91,896

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14048

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,960 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$149 /mo · $1,789/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$862

Break-even live

Break-even rent $869
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $915 -5% $888 +0% $862 +5% $835 +10% $808
Rent -10% $707 -5% $784 +0% $862 +5% $939 +10% $1,016
Rate -1.0pp $909 -0.5pp $886 base $862 +0.5pp $837 +1.0pp $812

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,960

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    listed $95,000 Active 425-char remark
  2. 2025-08-26
    status Active
  3. 2025-08-12
    status Pending
  4. 2025-07-17
    price $97,500
  5. 2025-06-01
    price $101,500
  6. 2025-02-05
    price $105,000
  7. 2024-12-22
    listed $109,999 Active
  8. 2022-11-03
    soldstatus $75,000
  9. 2022-10-25
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed Sale or Rented
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    This two-family residence has long term tenants who pay all utilities except trash pickup; new roof recently installed.

  10. 2022-09-02
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    This two-family residence has long term tenants who pay all utilities except trash pickup; new roof recently installed.

  11. 2022-08-19
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    This two-family residence has long term tenants who pay all utilities except trash pickup; new roof recently installed.

  12. 2022-07-25
    price $74,900
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    This two-family residence has long term tenants who pay all utilities except trash pickup; new roof recently installed.

  13. 2022-06-22
    price $79,900
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    This two-family residence has long term tenants who pay all utilities except trash pickup; new roof recently installed.

  14. 2022-04-28
    listed $85,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (119 chars)

    This two-family residence has long term tenants who pay all utilities except trash pickup; new roof recently installed.

  15. 2021-06-18
    historical
  16. 2021-05-05
    listed $79,900 Active
  17. 2016-07-18
    soldstatus $17,500
  18. 2016-07-18
    soldstatus $17,500
  19. 2016-05-20
    listed $17,500
  20. 2016-05-19
    listed $17,500
  21. 1996-08-22
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,789 · $149/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,789 · $149/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,520
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,789
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,882
− Management
−$1,882
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$9,408
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,258
After-tax cash flow
$8,081/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dunkirk City School District
NCES district ID
3609420
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$36,345
Composite
26.55/100
National rank
#7190
State rank
#575 of 590 in NY

Livability — Dunkirk

Score
70/100
State rank
#426
US rank
#7421

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dunkirk, NY
City population
14,949
Population (ZIP)
14,949

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 12% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 25% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 20% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.93%
Current HPI
325.9188
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.0% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $95,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-26 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-12 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2025-07-17 Price Changed $97,500 UNYREIS
  • 2025-06-01 Price Changed $101,500 UNYREIS
  • 2025-02-05 Price Changed $105,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-12-22 Listed $109,999 UNYREIS
  • 2022-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2022-10-25 Sold (MLS) $75,000 UNYREIS
  • 2022-09-02 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2022-08-19 Contingent UNYREIS
  • 2022-07-25 Price Changed $74,900 UNYREIS
  • 2022-06-22 Price Changed $79,900 UNYREIS
  • 2022-04-28 Listed $85,000 UNYREIS
  • 2021-06-18 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2021-05-05 Listed $79,900 UNYREIS
  • 2016-07-18 Sold (MLS) $17,500 UNYREIS
  • 2016-07-18 Sold (MLS) $17,500 WNYREIS
  • 2016-05-20 Listed $17,500 UNYREIS
  • 2016-05-19 Listed $17,500 WNYREIS
  • 1996-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,789 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…