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300 Ash Ave NE
D Composite 41.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.7/30.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$350,000

300 Ash Ave NE · St. Michael, MN 55376
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1969 10,367 sqft lot $306/sqft · 70% above area Est $401k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Right in the heart of Saint Michael, this 3 bedroom rambler has beautiful hardwood floors and updated kitchen with granite countertops and white cabinets . Enjoy the large heated 2 car garage. Ready to move right in with a new roof, new water heater, owned water softener and newer washer and dryer. Large family room in the basement perfect for movies. Extra space can be finished in the basement to add bedroom, office or workout room. Great location near shopping, restaurants and city park. Sought after STMA School District.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1969

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.238 acre (dimensions ~120 x 40)
  • Financial info: FHA financing indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached heated garage with garage door opener; Gravel and asphalt driveway/parking; 2-car garage (approximately 23.1 x 25.6)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Natural gas service; Electric service with circuit breakers (60A and 100A listed); Xcel Energy power provider
  • Home design: Residential single-story home (one level with finished lower level); Main floor primary bedroom; Property faces unspecified direction
  • Construction: Block foundation; Asphalt shingle pitched roof (age 8 years or less); Built with typical residential construction materials
  • Exterior features: Deck; Full chain-link fence; Street with curbs, paved streets, sidewalks and street lights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (main floor primary; 3 bedrooms on one level)
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: Main floor full bath; Basement 3/4 bath
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Hardwood floors; Finished lower level with daylight/lookout windows and egress windows; Drain-tiled basement with sump pump; Humidifier; Water softener (owned); Kitchen window; Informal dining area / eat-in kitchen with breakfast bar
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas dryer hookup; Laundry sink; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-229 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $310k (11.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $254k (27.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $254k (27.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.2% in St. Michael — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Michael-Albertville School District (rural): math 62% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #17 of 301 in MN (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Big Woods Elementary (math 71% / reading 66%, grade B+, #91 of 857 statewide, top 11%, 660 students, 16% FRL); St. Michael-Albertville Middle West (math 55% / reading 62%, grade B, #29 of 258 statewide, top 12%, 1,047 students, 21% FRL); St. Michael-Albertville Senior High (math 60% / reading 71%, grade B, #27 of 471 statewide, top 6%, 2,240 students, 17% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 356 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $300k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $254,361 (27.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.51%
Cash-on-cash
-2.81%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$401,318
List price
$350,000
Delta
-12.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.0%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-71,382
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-81,245
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55376

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Active inventory
356
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,544 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$257 /mo · $3,088/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$534
Net cashflow
$-229

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,834
Max offer price $309,519
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-31 -5% $-130 +0% $-229 +5% $-328 +10% $-427
Rent -10% $-430 -5% $-330 +0% $-229 +5% $-129 +10% $-28
Rate -1.0pp $-53 -0.5pp $-140 base $-229 +0.5pp $-320 +1.0pp $-412

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11910 Town Center Dr NE Saint Michael, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 912 $2,364 $2.59 0d 8 0.59mi
11811 Frankfort Pkwy NE Saint Michael, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $2,500 $2.46 0d 13 0.66mi
5055 Lander Ave NE Albertville, MN 2.0–5.0 2.0–3.5 2067 $3,269 $1.58 0d 7 1.00mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 1302-char remark
  2. 2026-05-15
    listed $350,000 Active 1302-char remark
  3. 2026-05-13
    historical $350,000 1302-char remark
  4. 2022-03-04
    soldstatus $300,000
  5. 2022-02-24
    soldstatus $300,000 Sold 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Right in the heart of Saint Michael, this 3 bedroom rambler has beautiful hardwood floors and updated kitchen with granite countertops and white cabinets . Enjoy the large heated 2 car garage. Ready to move right in with a new roof, new water heater, owned water softener and newer washer and dryer. Large family room in the basement perfect for movies. Extra space can be finished in the basement to add bedroom, office or workout room. Great location near shopping, restaurants and city park. Sought after STMA School District.

  6. 2022-02-03
    price $2,090
  7. 2022-01-20
    status Pending 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Right in the heart of Saint Michael, this 3 bedroom rambler has beautiful hardwood floors and updated kitchen with granite countertops and white cabinets . Enjoy the large heated 2 car garage. Ready to move right in with a new roof, new water heater, owned water softener and newer washer and dryer. Large family room in the basement perfect for movies. Extra space can be finished in the basement to add bedroom, office or workout room. Great location near shopping, restaurants and city park. Sought after STMA School District.

  8. 2022-01-13
    historical Contingent - Inspection 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Right in the heart of Saint Michael, this 3 bedroom rambler has beautiful hardwood floors and updated kitchen with granite countertops and white cabinets . Enjoy the large heated 2 car garage. Ready to move right in with a new roof, new water heater, owned water softener and newer washer and dryer. Large family room in the basement perfect for movies. Extra space can be finished in the basement to add bedroom, office or workout room. Great location near shopping, restaurants and city park. Sought after STMA School District.

  9. 2022-01-07
    listed $300,000 Active 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Right in the heart of Saint Michael, this 3 bedroom rambler has beautiful hardwood floors and updated kitchen with granite countertops and white cabinets . Enjoy the large heated 2 car garage. Ready to move right in with a new roof, new water heater, owned water softener and newer washer and dryer. Large family room in the basement perfect for movies. Extra space can be finished in the basement to add bedroom, office or workout room. Great location near shopping, restaurants and city park. Sought after STMA School District.

  10. 2022-01-04
    historical $300,000 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Right in the heart of Saint Michael, this 3 bedroom rambler has beautiful hardwood floors and updated kitchen with granite countertops and white cabinets . Enjoy the large heated 2 car garage. Ready to move right in with a new roof, new water heater, owned water softener and newer washer and dryer. Large family room in the basement perfect for movies. Extra space can be finished in the basement to add bedroom, office or workout room. Great location near shopping, restaurants and city park. Sought after STMA School District.

  11. 2009-10-20
    soldstatus $129,000
    Show marketing remark (53 chars)

    Nice one story home close to everything. Corner lot.

  12. 2009-09-11
    historical
    Show marketing remark (53 chars)

    Nice one story home close to everything. Corner lot.

  13. 2009-08-10
    listed $129,000
    Show marketing remark (53 chars)

    Nice one story home close to everything. Corner lot.

  14. 2000-06-23
    soldstatus $128,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,088 · $257/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,504 · $292/mo
Expected delta
+$416/yr (+$35/mo · 13.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,523
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$3,088
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,442
− Management
−$2,442
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$8,986
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,157
After-tax cash flow
$-593/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Michael-Albertville School District
NCES district ID
2733790
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$86,897
Composite
57.91/100
National rank
#1042
State rank
#17 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Michael

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Michael, MN
County
Wright County · 79,164 people
City population
19,317
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
20,106
Household income
$131,266
Rent vs Own
9.3% rent · 90.7% own
Severe rent burden
132.0

Population outlook (Wright County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
142,526 people
By 2030
146,915 · +3.1%
By 2040
153,625 · +7.8%
By 2050
155,416 · +9.0%
By 2075
150,352 · +5.5%
By 2100
130,631 · -8.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 4% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 13% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wright

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.4% · R 63.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -29.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.4 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+33.2 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+17.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.03%
Current HPI
229.5977
Rent YoY
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+173.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $350,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Coming Soon $350,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
  • 2022-02-24 Sold (MLS) $300,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-03 Price Changed $2,090 RENT.
  • 2022-01-20 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-13 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-07 Listed $300,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-04 Coming Soon $300,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-10-20 Sold (MLS) $129,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-09-11 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-08-10 Listed $129,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,088 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…