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7767 Fm 349
D Composite 42.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

7767 Fm 349 · Kilgore, TX 75662
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1990 0.66 ac lot $92/sqft · 59% below area ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Finisher-Upper special with potential on approximately . 66 acres in Kilgore ISD! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers around 1,900 square feet and has already seen some updates started, making it a great opportunity for a buyer unafraid to finish out a project and looking build equity. The home features an open layout, large rooms, updated bathroom finishes, central heat and air, and a spacious lot with room to spread out. Outside, you’ll find a covered parking area, fenced sections, and a quiet rural setting with easy access to Longview and Kilgore and i20. The property still needs a little work but the major upside and potential are there. Whether you’re looking for your next r

Key facts

  • Fenced sections
  • Central heat and air
  • Open layout

Tags

OPEN LAYOUTUPDATED BATHROOM FINISHESCENTRAL HEAT AND AIRSPACIOUS LOTCOVERED PARKING AREAFENCED SECTIONS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Has carport
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Wood and barbed wire fencing; No pool

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-164/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (1.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $151k (13.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $151k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#257 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Longview ISD (urban): math 49% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #244 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 193 units permitted in Gregg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,939 (13.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.33%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$427,772
List price
$175,000
Delta
-59.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-21,229
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$16,786
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75662

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Rents YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
283
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,509 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$215 /mo · $2,585/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$-14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,527
Max offer price $172,590
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $175,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $175,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $175,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $175,000 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 22 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    price $175,000 Active 21 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $184,500 Active 21 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $184,500 Active 20 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $184,500 Active 19 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $184,500 Active 18 DOM
  19. 2026-05-11
    listed $184,500 Active 878-char remark
  20. 2021-12-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,585 · $215/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,202 · $267/mo
Expected delta
+$617/yr (+$51/mo · 23.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,113
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,585
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,449
− Management
−$1,449
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$3,139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$753
After-tax cash flow
$590/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Longview ISD
NCES district ID
4828110
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,837
Composite
39.76/100
National rank
#3889
State rank
#244 of 826 in TX

Livability — Kilgore

Score
72/100
State rank
#257
US rank
#6044

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Gregg County · 128,826 people
City population
25,034
Metro
Longview, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,034
Household income
$70,096
Rent vs Own
21.9% rent · 78.1% own
Severe rent burden
486.0

Population outlook (Gregg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
125,947 people
By 2030
126,542 · +0.5%
By 2040
127,311 · +1.1%
By 2050
127,289 · +1.1%
By 2075
124,954 · -0.8%
By 2100
113,737 · -9.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 22% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Gregg

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.5% · R 70.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+36.9 2016: R+41.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+37.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.09%
Current HPI
247.1337
Rent YoY
▲ 8.89%
Metro
Longview, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-5.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $175,000 LAAR
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $184,500 LAAR
  • 2021-12-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,585 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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