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10303 Saint Patrick Dr
F Composite 30.04
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,900

10303 Saint Patrick Dr · Midwest City, OK 73130
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 624 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market
Built 1953 0.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The main home features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with a simple, functional layout designed for everyday living. Tucked behind the main house, you’ll find separate additional living quarters offering another 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom—perfect for multigenerational living, guest space, a private home office, hobby setup. Whether you're looking for extra flexibility, space for family, or a property with built-in versatility, this setup delivers options that are hard to find on a single lot. Sitting on a spacious . 3-acre lot with mature trees, the property feels established and inviting, with room to enjoy the outdoors and make it your own. There’s space to spread out, enterta

Key facts

  • Outdoor space
  • Mature trees
  • 0.3 acre lot

Tags

SEPARATE ACCESSORY UNITIN-GROUND STORM SHELTERMATURE TREESOUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Homestead exempt; Interior lot; Pointon City Add legal addition
  • Financial info: Loan financing allowed; Assumable: No
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public utilities; High-speed internet
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-level; Faces south; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Double-pane windows; Conventional foundation
  • Exterior features: Guest quarters; Storage; Chain link fencing; Below-ground outdoor storm shelter

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing electric range/oven; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Disposal; Water heater; Smoke alarm
  • Laundry & utility: Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-183 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (19.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (34.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (34.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Midwest City-Del City (suburban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #231 of 270 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Soldier Creek Es (math 17% / reading 20%, grade F, #530 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 910 students, 0% FRL); Carl Albert Hs (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 1,115 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $170k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,869 (34.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
5.00%
Cash-on-cash
-4.62%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
12.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.5%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-36,115
Equity at exit
$25,333
10-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-33,102
Equity at exit
$14,690

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73130

Home prices YoY
-21.0%
Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
12.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,109 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$97 /mo · $1,166/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$-183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,340
Max offer price $137,565
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-87 -5% $-135 +0% $-183 +5% $-231 +10% $-279
Rent -10% $-271 -5% $-227 +0% $-183 +5% $-139 +10% $-95
Rate -1.0pp $-97 -0.5pp $-140 base $-183 +0.5pp $-227 +1.0pp $-272

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9619 SE 4th St Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 640 $880 $1.38 24d 1 0.70mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $169,900 Pending 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-05-15
    status Active
  5. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  6. 2026-04-17
    price $169,900
  7. 2026-03-26
    price $179,900
  8. 2026-02-18
    listed $189,900 Active
  9. 2020-04-17
    soldstatus $52,000
  10. 2020-03-03
    soldstatus $40,000
  11. 2015-05-11
    historical
  12. 2015-04-02
    listed $78,000 Active
  13. 2005-02-11
    soldstatus $32,000
  14. 1986-08-01
    soldstatus $37,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,166 · $97/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,529 · $127/mo
Expected delta
+$363/yr (+$30/mo · 31.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,304
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$1,166
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,064
− Management
−$1,064
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$5,299
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,272
After-tax cash flow
$-925/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Midwest City-Del City
NCES district ID
4019950
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,724
Composite
12.09/100
National rank
#9658
State rank
#231 of 270 in OK

Livability — Midwest City

Score
71/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#6637

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Midwest City, OK
County
Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
City population
57,386
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
21,476
Household income
$71,189
Rent vs Own
23.7% rent · 76.3% own
Severe rent burden
378.0

Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
911,875 people
By 2030
982,413 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,130,468 · +24.0%
By 2050
1,288,422 · +41.3%
By 2075
1,711,482 · +87.7%
By 2100
2,088,448 · +129.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 18% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.22%
Current HPI
245.8385
Rent YoY
▲ 5.73%
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+353.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted MLSOK
  • 2026-04-29 Pending MLSOK
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $169,900 MLSOK
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $179,900 MLSOK
  • 2026-02-18 Listed $189,900 MLSOK
  • 2020-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
  • 2020-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
  • 2015-05-11 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2015-04-02 Listed $78,000 MLSOK
  • 2005-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 1986-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,166 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…