10303 Saint Patrick Dr · Midwest City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The main home features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with a simple, functional layout designed for everyday living. Tucked behind the main house, you’ll find separate additional living quarters offering another 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom—perfect for multigenerational living, guest space, a private home office, hobby setup. Whether you're looking for extra flexibility, space for family, or a property with built-in versatility, this setup delivers options that are hard to find on a single lot. Sitting on a spacious . 3-acre lot with mature trees, the property feels established and inviting, with room to enjoy the outdoors and make it your own. There’s space to spread out, enterta
Key facts
- Outdoor space
- Mature trees
- 0.3 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exempt; Interior lot; Pointon City Add legal addition
- Financial info: Loan financing allowed; Assumable: No
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public utilities; High-speed internet
- Home design: Single family residence; One-level; Faces south; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Double-pane windows; Conventional foundation
- Exterior features: Guest quarters; Storage; Chain link fencing; Below-ground outdoor storm shelter
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric range/oven; Disposal
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Disposal; Water heater; Smoke alarm
- Laundry & utility: Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-183 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (19.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (34.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $111k (34.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Midwest City-Del City (suburban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #231 of 270 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Soldier Creek Es (math 17% / reading 20%, grade F, #530 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 910 students, 0% FRL); Carl Albert Hs (math 16% / reading 33%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 1,115 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $170k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.62%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 12.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-36,115
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-33,102
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73130
- Home prices YoY
- -21.0%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 12.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,109 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,166/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $-183
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-87 | -5% $-135 | +0% $-183 | +5% $-231 | +10% $-279 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-271 | -5% $-227 | +0% $-183 | +5% $-139 | +10% $-95 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-97 | -0.5pp $-140 | base $-183 | +0.5pp $-227 | +1.0pp $-272 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9619 SE 4th St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $880 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-02status $169,900 Pending 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Active
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-17price $169,900
-
2026-03-26price $179,900
-
2026-02-18$189,900 Active
-
2020-04-17soldstatus $52,000
-
2020-03-03soldstatus $40,000
-
2015-05-11historical
-
2015-04-02$78,000 Active
-
2005-02-11soldstatus $32,000
-
1986-08-01soldstatus $37,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,166 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,529 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- +$363/yr (+$30/mo · 31.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,166
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,064
- − Management
- −$1,064
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$5,299
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,272
- After-tax cash flow
- $-925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midwest City-Del City
- NCES district ID
- 4019950
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,724
- Composite
- 12.09/100
- National rank
- #9658
- State rank
- #231 of 270 in OK
Livability — Midwest City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #6637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midwest City, OK
- County
- Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
- City population
- 57,386
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,476
- Household income
- $71,189
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 378.0
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 18% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.22%
- Current HPI
- 245.8385
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.73%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+353.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — MLSOK
- 2026-04-29 Pending — MLSOK
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $169,900 MLSOK
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $179,900 MLSOK
- 2026-02-18 Listed $189,900 MLSOK
- 2020-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-11 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2015-04-02 Listed $78,000 MLSOK
- 2005-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 1986-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,166 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…