🏷️ Likely Rental
1300 E Kercher Ave #99 · West Myerstown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
WELCOME TO COUNTRY ACRES GOLD, AN AGE 55+ PARK. THIS 14X77 SINGLE WIDE FEATURES AN ADDITION WHICH IS USED AS A SUNROOM & FOR STORAGE. THIS 1999 COLONIAL FEATURES 3 BEDROOMS & 1 FULL & 1 HALF BATH, LIVING ROOM WITH ELECTRIC FIREPLACE, COUNTRY KITCHEN WITH LOTS OF CABINETS, MASTER BEDROOM WITH FULL BATH THAT FEATURES A WALK-IN SHOWER & 6 JET WHIRLPOOL TUB. THE CENTRAL AIR WAS REPLACED IN 2024. THE ROOF WAS SEALED IN 2025 & ALSO THE DRIVEWAY. THE SUNROOM DOES HAVE HEAT FROM THE FURNACE. ROOF COVERED DECK WITH HANDICAP ACCESSIBLE RAMP. 8X10 STORAGE SHED. ALL OF THE APPLIANCES STAY. LOT RENT $516.50 /MONTH INCLUDES WASTER, SEWER & TRASH. ADDITIONAL FEE FOR PE
Key facts
- 6 jet whirlpool tub
- Sunroom
- Walk-in shower
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property manager present; Not in a federal flood zone; Property condition: good; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,428 (estimated)
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee (includes snow removal, trash, water, sewer); Park name: COUNTRY ACRES GOLD; Road maintained by borough/township; blacktop roads
Exterior
- Parking: Private asphalt driveway; Two off-street parking spaces (total 2)
- Security: Window screens; Insulated windows
- Utilities: Public sewer; Community water; 100 amp electrical service with circuit breakers; Cable TV available; Electric hot water
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide (model: COLONIAL); One-story structure; Entry features include a ramp to main level; Fee simple ownership; Located in a 55+ senior community
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built/estimated year: estimated
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Street lights; Roof deck; Awnings; Patio(s); Deck(s); Porch(es); Shed; Rented lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Microwave; Range hood; Dishwasher; Exhaust fan; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Sun/Florida room (additional living space)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bath on main level; One half bath on main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (natural gas)
- Interior features: Jetted tub in bathroom; Stall shower; Open traditional floor plan; Eat-in kitchen; Recessed lighting; Storm door(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit (main floor); Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.3% in West Myerstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Eastern Lebanon County SD (rural): math 27% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #360 of 539 in PA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Eastern Lebanon Co Shs (math 77% / reading 24%, grade D+, #125 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 757 students, 37% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 51% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Eastern Lebanon County SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 315 units permitted in Lebanon County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lebanon County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.42%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $232,764
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1300 E Kercher Ave #3 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+2%) | 1mo | $149,000 | $102 | 90 |
| 1300 E Kercher Ave Lot 137 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,268 (-11%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $71 | 70 |
| 141 Arbor Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (0%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $172 | 66 |
| 14 Lakeview Dr | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,475 (+3%) | 10mo | $237,500 | $161 | 61 |
| 137 Arbor Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (-1%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $167 | 60 |
| 1300 E Kercher Ave #68 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,216 (-15%) | 8mo | $79,000 | $65 | 58 |
| 5 Springhouse Dr | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,366 (-4%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $176 | 56 |
| 12 Springhouse Dr | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,450 (+2%) | 14mo | $240,000 | $166 | 53 |
| 32 Scenic Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,577 (+10%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $171 | 50 |
| 12 Thorndale Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,608 (+13%) | 11mo | $253,000 | $157 | 40 |
| 45 Springhouse Dr | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,636 (+15%) | 10mo | $245,000 | $150 | 39 |
| 132 Arbor Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,624 (+14%) | 11mo | $264,000 | $163 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $9,270
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.68×
- Total profit
- $37,635
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17067
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,787 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$516
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $343
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $399 | -5% $371 | +0% $343 | +5% $316 | +10% $288 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $202 | -5% $273 | +0% $343 | +5% $414 | +10% $485 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $384 | -0.5pp $364 | base $343 | +0.5pp $323 | +1.0pp $302 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $516 · $6,192/yr
- Likely covers
- sewertrashelectricpool
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 675-char remark
-
2026-06-10$79,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,442
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,198
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,715
- − Management
- −$1,715
- − HOA
- −$6,192
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $3,421
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$821
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,300/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Eastern Lebanon County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208460
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,026
- Composite
- 33.74/100
- National rank
- #5371
- State rank
- #360 of 539 in PA
Livability — West Myerstown
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,985
Population outlook (Lebanon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,806 people
- By 2030
- 147,534 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 152,952 · +5.6%
- By 2050
- 159,406 · +10.1%
- By 2075
- 181,736 · +25.5%
- By 2100
- 198,402 · +37.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lebanon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.0) · D 33.6% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.1pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -32.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.0 2020: R+31.7 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+18.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -178.88%
- Current HPI
- 252.0994
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+66.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-12-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-05-25 Listed $48,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…