5601 W Missouri Ave #161 · Glendale, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Don't miss this Beautiful home has been updated with Roof and Stucco! 3 Car Covered Carport and Huge Patio with a Shed! Ready to move into a great community with a pool, basketball court, playground, laundry, etc. Close to Westgate and Drive In Theatre.
Key facts
- Stucco
- Shed
- Huge patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Community features include pool and paths; Directions: From I-10 go north to Missouri Ave, east to 56th Ave, then to Belaire; all the way to back row to East #161.
- HOA & community: Monthly land lease of $895; Land lease includes grounds maintenance; Community pool; Playground; Biking/walking path
Exterior
- Parking: 3 covered parking spaces; 3 carport spaces
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured/Mobile home; Leasehold ownership
- Construction: Stucco and wood frame construction; Foam roof
- Exterior features: Shed(s); No fencing; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate counters; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Built-in gas oven
- Bedrooms: Up to 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Heat pump cooling; Central air
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Vaulted ceilings; Full bathroom in master bedroom; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup only; Community laundry and coin-operated laundry available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $517 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.5% in Glendale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#12 in AZ, #3,235 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F.
- Phoenix Union High School District (4286) (urban): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #224 of 249 in AZ (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: James W. Rice Elementary School (math 8% / reading 14%, grade F, #980 of 1,109 statewide, top 89%, 739 students, 68% FRL); Maryvale High School (math 8% / reading 14%, grade F, #292 of 381 statewide, top 77%, 2,795 students, 88% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.32%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $62,524
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5601 W Missouri Ave #254 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-2%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $43 | 85 |
| 5601 W Missouri Ave #242 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,012 (-6%) | 11mo | $78,000 | $77 | 76 |
| 5601 W Missouri Ave #309 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,024 (-5%) | 18mo | $59,900 | $58 | 71 |
| 5601 W Missouri Ave #197 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 980 (-9%) | 19mo | $35,000 | $36 | 65 |
| 5747 W Missouri Ave #122 | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-7%) | 9mo | $43,900 | $44 | 64 |
| 5747 W Missouri Ave #171 | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,150 (+7%) | 15mo | $99,700 | $87 | 57 |
| 5201 W Camelback Rd Unit A187 | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-11%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $26 | 44 |
| 5950 W Missouri Ave #68 | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 23mo | $115,000 | $115 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $13,203
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $37,165
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85301
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,485 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $517
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $583 | -5% $550 | +0% $517 | +5% $484 | +10% $451 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $400 | -5% $458 | +0% $517 | +5% $576 | +10% $634 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $565 | -0.5pp $541 | base $517 | +0.5pp $492 | +1.0pp $467 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5601 W Missouri Ave Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,500 | $1.48 | 0d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 5631 W Colter St Glendale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,599 | $1.81 | 0d | 5 | 0.22mi |
| 5190 N 55th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 708 | $1,560 | $2.20 | 0d | 15 | 0.23mi |
| 5039 N 57th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $2,403 | $3.00 | 0d | 14 | 0.29mi |
| 5045 N 58th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $1,399 | $1.70 | 0d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 5755 N 59th Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 878 | $1,593 | $1.81 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5755 N 59th Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 878 | $1,393 | $1.59 | 0d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 6024 W Oregon Ave Unit C Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,249 | $1.31 | 0d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6012 W Oregon Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,249 | $1.31 | 0d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5750 N 59th Ave Unit 2 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,242 | $1.38 | 0d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5740 N 59th Ave Unit 2 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 926 | $1,320 | $1.43 | 0d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5819 N 59th Dr Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,100 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 6033 W Bethany Home Rd Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,208 | $1.73 | 6d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6077 N 60th Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,798 | $1.91 | 26d | 2 | 0.88mi |
| 6141 N 59th Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 796 | $1,300 | $1.63 | 0d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6231 N 59th Ave Unit 51 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4429 N 53rd Ln Unit 3 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4429 N 53rd Ln Unit 4 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 4424 N 53rd Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5947 W Rose Ln Unit 5947-17 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,275 | $1.70 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5947 W Rose Ln Unit 5947-21 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,170 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5926 W Rose Ln Unit A Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,435 | $1.91 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4418 N 53rd Ln Apt 3 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 0d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 4337 N 53rd Ln Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 16d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4337 N 53rd Ln Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,468 | $1.57 | 0d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4337 N 53rd Ln Unit B1 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,310 | $1.40 | 0d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 6240 N 63rd Ave Glendale, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 758 | $1,978 | $2.61 | 0d | 7 | 1.32mi |
| 5044 W Maryland Ave Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,295 | $1.22 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6251 N 48th Ave Apt 4 Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $925 | $1.09 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6320 N 63rd Ave Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,249 | $1.67 | 0d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 6301 N 64th Dr Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 853 | $915 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 6301 N 64th Dr Glendale, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 796 | $1,499 | $1.88 | 0d | 3 | 1.37mi |
| 6541 W Keim Dr Glendale, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,499 | $1.67 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5047 W Tuckey Ln Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,765 | $1.26 | 0d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 4545 N 67th Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1339 | $2,300 | $1.72 | 11d | 2 | 1.45mi |
| 5046 W Tuckey Ln Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1321 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 18d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 4436 N 47th Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,510 | $1.17 | 20d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5012 W McLellan Rd Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $1,595 | $1.51 | 19d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5421 W Indian School Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,724 | $1.70 | 0d | 24 | 1.46mi |
| 6346 N 47th Ave Glendale, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,495 | $1.30 | 0d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $94,999 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,999 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,999 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,999 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $94,999 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,999 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,999 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,999 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,999 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-09$99,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥112°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,826
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,426
- − Management
- −$1,426
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $4,989
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,197
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,007/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The home is in average condition with moderate rehab needed. It has a good location with a pool and community amenities.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Paint — Yellow walls in living area
- Minor Bathroom walls — Red walls in one bathroom
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the overall appearance and value
- Both Replace worn-out flooring in living area — New flooring can enhance the living space and increase value
- Both Replace worn-out flooring in bathrooms — New flooring can enhance the bathrooms and increase value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Paint · Yellow walls in living area | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom walls · Red walls in one bathroom | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the overall appearance and value ↑
- Both Replace worn-out flooring in living area — New flooring can enhance the living space and increase value ↑
- Both Replace worn-out flooring in bathrooms — New flooring can enhance the bathrooms and increase value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phoenix Union High School District (4286)
- NCES district ID
- 0406330
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,055
- Composite
- 10.63/100
- National rank
- #9773
- State rank
- #224 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Glendale
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #3235
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glendale, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 294,586
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 68,178
- Household income
- $53,827
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3741.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 63% Two or more races 37% White 22% Black 8% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 57% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 46% English-only · Spanish 48% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.49%
- Current HPI
- 427.3069
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.98%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $99,999 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…