24927 Staghorn Coral · San Benito, TX 78586

$125,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,162 sqft · Condo · 11 Days on market

Built 1995

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.3/30.0
• DSCR +8.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.6/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.6/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Mobile home with 3 bedrooms plus an additional bedroom outside the main home.

Key facts

• 6,625 sq ft lot
• Built 1995
• Listed 11 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located in the Bent Tree subdivision; Directions: 24927 Staghorn Coral, close to the expressway

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
• Construction: Metal roof
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch

Interior

• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Electric water heater; Crawl space basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $125k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
• Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.7% in San Benito — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#621 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
• San Benito CISD (suburban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #782 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Angela Gerusa Leal El (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,180 of 4,322 statewide, top 97%, 384 students, 94% FRL); Miller Jordan Middle (math 9% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,543 of 1,662 statewide, top 94%, 640 students, 91% FRL); San Benito H S (math 32% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,460 of 1,632 statewide, top 91%, 2,012 students, 80% FRL).
• Market conditions: 440 active listings in the ZIP; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.06% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.03%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.78%
• DSCR: 1.44
• GRM: 7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.94×
• Total profit: $-2,137
• Equity at exit: $18,638

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.61×
• Total profit: $21,345
• Equity at exit: $10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78586

• Home prices YoY: -24.9%
• Active inventory: 440
• Price-to-rent: 7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,321 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$656
• Tax from tax record: −$51 /mo · $608/yr
• Insurance: −$52
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$277
• Net cashflow: $285

Break-even live

Break-even rent $960

Max offer price $125,000

Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $356	-5% $321	+0% $285	+5% $250	+10% $214
Rent	-10% $181	-5% $233	+0% $285	+5% $337	+10% $390
Rate	-1.0pp $348	-0.5pp $317	base $285	+0.5pp $253	+1.0pp $220

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $31,250
• Closing costs: $3,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-22
   days on market $125,000 Active 11 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $125,000 Active 8 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   remarks 77-char remark
7. 2026-06-14
   listed $125,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $608 · $51/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,288 · $191/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,680/yr (+$140/mo · 276.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,849
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,002
• − Property taxes: −$608
• − Insurance: −$625
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,268
• − Management: −$1,268
• − Depreciation: −$3,636
• Taxable income: $1,443
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$346
• After-tax cash flow: $3,076/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: San Benito CISD
• NCES district ID: 4838790
• Math proficiency: 14% ▼ -31.00%
• Reading proficiency: 27% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $29,403
• Composite: 16.31/100
• National rank: #9212
• State rank: #782 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Benito

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #621
• US rank: #11846

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 49,103

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 441,603 people
• By 2030: 448,113 · +1.5%
• By 2040: 456,385 · +3.3%
• By 2050: 456,294 · +3.3%
• By 2075: 423,851 · -4.0%
• By 2100: 342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (93%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 93% Two or more races 42% White 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 90%
• Foreign-born: 23% · Canada
• Languages at home: 29% English-only · Spanish 70%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -62.37%
• Current HPI: 188.147
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Listed $125,000 RGVMLS

Property tax history

+11.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $608 · +14.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.