738 S 1st St · Huntington, TX 75949

$95,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,288 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market

Built 1930 Est $134k · 29% under

---

Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.5/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +4.8/10.0
• 1% rule +3.9/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Nice neighborhood with grocery store nearby

Key facts

• Built 1930
• Listed 20 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($460/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (10.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $85k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.0% in Huntington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#808 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Huntington ISD (rural): math 46% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #303 of 826 in TX (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 120 units permitted in Angelina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 5→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $85,000 (10.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.89% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.78%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.73%
• DSCR: 1.08
• GRM: 9.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $133,952
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
129 Arizona St	0.72mi	3/1.5	1,201 (-7%)	13mo	$125,000	$104	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 25.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.04×
• Total profit: $54,179
• Equity at exit: $85,584

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.5%
• Equity multiple: 6.93×
• Total profit: $157,626
• Equity at exit: $184,564

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75949

• Home prices YoY: 19.1%
• Active inventory: 113
• Price-to-rent: 9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $850 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$498
• Tax from tax record: −$95 /mo · $1,145/yr
• Insurance: −$40
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$178
• Net cashflow: $38

Break-even live

Break-even rent $801

Max offer price $95,000

Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $23,750
• Closing costs: $2,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
281 S 2nd St Huntington, TX	2.0	1.0	1000	$850	$0.85	43d	1	0.28mi

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $95,000 Active 21 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $95,000 Active 20 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $95,000 Active 19 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $95,000 Active 18 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $95,000 Active 17 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $95,000 Active 15 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $95,000 Active 14 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $95,000 Active 12 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 10 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 9 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 4 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 3 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 2 DOM
16. 2026-05-25
    listed $95,000 Active
17. 2014-12-05
    soldstatus
18. 1996-03-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,145 · $95/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,738 · $145/mo
• Expected delta: +$594/yr (+$49/mo · 51.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 5 d/yr ≥111°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,200
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,321
• − Property taxes: −$1,145
• − Insurance: −$475
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$816
• − Management: −$816
• − Depreciation: −$2,764
• Taxable loss: −$1,137
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$273
• After-tax cash flow: $733/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Huntington ISD
• NCES district ID: 4824000
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $39,651
• Composite: 36.85/100
• National rank: #4554
• State rank: #303 of 826 in TX

Livability — Huntington

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #808
• US rank: #14708

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Huntington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 9,041

Population outlook (Angelina County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 90,174 people
• By 2030: 90,697 · +0.6%
• By 2040: 91,291 · +1.2%
• By 2050: 91,168 · +1.1%
• By 2075: 88,961 · -1.3%
• By 2100: 80,590 · -10.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 0% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Angelina

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.7% · R 75.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -52.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+47.3 2012: R+43.9 2008: R+35.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 48.97%
• Current HPI: 304.757
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-25 Listed $95,000 FSBO.com
• 2014-12-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1996-03-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,145 · +51.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.