607 Miller Ave · Greenwood, MS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid four-sided brick home on a desirable corner lot. The interior is a true blank canvas—perfect for a full renovation and value-add strategy. Prime opportunity for investors or rehab specialists.
Key facts
- Desirable corner lot
- Value-add strategy
- Full renovation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($996 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 4.9% in Greenwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#31 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Leflore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Leflore County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.09%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $28,348
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- 111.66%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $14,445
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.60×
- Total profit
- $43,729
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38930
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $996 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $818/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $379
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-09status $60,000 Pending 119 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $60,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $60,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $52,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-03-20price $52,000 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Solid four-sided brick home on a desirable corner lot. The interior is a true blank canvas—perfect for a full renovation and value-add strategy. Prime opportunity for investors or rehab specialists.
-
2026-02-07$60,000 Active 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Solid four-sided brick home on a desirable corner lot. The interior is a true blank canvas—perfect for a full renovation and value-add strategy. Prime opportunity for investors or rehab specialists.
-
2026-02-05$60,000 Active 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Solid four-sided brick home on a desirable corner lot. The interior is a true blank canvas—perfect for a full renovation and value-add strategy. Prime opportunity for investors or rehab specialists.
-
2005-03-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $818 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $818 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,956
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$818
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$956
- − Management
- −$956
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $3,819
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$916
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,635/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Greenwood
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #6625
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greenwood, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,326
Population outlook (Leflore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,008 people
- By 2030
- 25,362 · -6.1%
- By 2040
- 22,049 · -18.4%
- By 2050
- 19,188 · -29.0%
- By 2075
- 13,543 · -49.9%
- By 2100
- 8,913 · -67.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 70% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Leflore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.7% · R 30.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.7pp toward D · 2008: 36.8pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+41.5 2016: D+41.0 2012: D+45.8 2008: D+36.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.32%
- Current HPI
- 150.2668
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-13.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $52,000 NCMBR
- 2026-02-07 Listed $60,000 NCMBR
- 2026-02-05 Listed $60,000 MLSU
- 2005-03-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $818 · +24.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…