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401 Warner St
B Composite 72.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$109,900

401 Warner St · Poteau, OK 74953
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 138 Days on market
Built 1993 9,583 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This remodeled double-wide mobile home is truly move-in ready! With 1,344 sq ft of living space, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom property boasts a complete transformation. Every major system and feature has been updated, including: •New HVAC system, roof, hot water heater, and plumbing for modern comfort and reliability. •Updated flooring, windows, doors, and fresh paint on the interior and exterior for a stylish and fresh aesthetic. •An open-concept layout seamlessly connecting the living room, dining area, and kitchen, perfect for entertaining or family living. The kitchen is a standout, featuring: •New granite countertops and modern cabinetry for a sleek look. •Brand-

Key facts

  • New plumbing
  • Updated windows
  • New hot water heater

Tags

NEW HVAC SYSTEMNEW ROOFNEW HOT WATER HEATERNEW PLUMBINGUPDATED FLOORINGUPDATED WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story (one level)
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Partial wire fencing; Open lot; Paved, public-maintained road

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace (1); Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.8% in Poteau — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#485 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Poteau (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #68 of 270 in OK (top 25%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Poteau Upper Es (math 45% / reading 36%, grade F, #98 of 845 statewide, top 12%, 471 students, 0% FRL); Poteau Hs (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 636 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Le Flore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Le Flore County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $110k implies a 450% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.92%
Cash-on-cash
16.53%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.6%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$47,468
Equity at exit
$57,155
10-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
4.98×
Total profit
$122,568
Equity at exit
$94,644

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74953

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,354 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$23 /mo · $281/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $817
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 138 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 137 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 136 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 135 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $109,900 Active 132 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 127 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 126 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 120 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    price $109,900
  16. 2026-02-21
    price $123,500
  17. 2026-01-28
    listed $128,500 Active
  18. 2025-08-20
    price $128,500
  19. 2025-04-28
    price $137,000
  20. 2025-01-02
    listed $140,000 Active
  21. 2024-12-07
    historical
  22. 2024-03-12
    price $135,000
  23. 2023-12-08
    listed $140,000 Active
  24. 2020-10-05
    soldstatus $20,000
  25. 2020-08-26
    listed $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$281 · $23/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$989 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$708/yr (+$59/mo · 252.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,246
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$281
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,300
− Management
−$1,300
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$3,463
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$831
After-tax cash flow
$4,257/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Poteau
NCES district ID
4024870
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,165
Composite
25.05/100
National rank
#7546
State rank
#68 of 270 in OK

Livability — Poteau

Score
57/100
State rank
#485
US rank
#22172

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Poteau, OK
Population (ZIP)
12,284

Population outlook (Le Flore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,504 people
By 2030
47,474 · -2.1%
By 2040
44,914 · -7.4%
By 2050
42,239 · -12.9%
By 2075
35,071 · -27.7%
By 2100
25,949 · -46.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 12% Native American 10% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Le Flore

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.8) · D 17.0% · R 81.8% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: -38.6pp · 2024: -64.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+58.7 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+38.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.22%
Current HPI
252.3937
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+339.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $109,900 WRVBOR
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $123,500 WRVBOR
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $128,500 WRVBOR
  • 2025-08-20 Price Changed $128,500 WRVBOR
  • 2025-04-28 Price Changed $137,000 WRVBOR
  • 2025-01-02 Listed $140,000 WRVBOR
  • 2024-12-07 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2024-03-12 Price Changed $135,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2023-12-08 Listed $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2020-10-05 Sold (MLS) $20,000 WRVBOR
  • 2020-08-26 Listed $25,000 WRVBOR

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $281 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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