175 Margaret Rd · Eggertsville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 175 Margaret Road, a beautifully maintained 4-bedroom, 2 full bath home in one of Amherst's most convenient and sought-after locations. Offering a blend of character, comfort, and functionality, this home features hardwood floors, spacious living areas, and a well-appointed kitchen with solid wood cabinetry, gas range, microwave, dishwasher, and refrigerator included. The flexible floor plan provides room to accommodate a variety of needs, while thoughtful details throughout add charm and practicality. One of the upstairs bedrooms features a unique pull-out bookcase that reveals additional hidden storage space, creating both character and functionality. Glass block windows add st
Key facts
- Solid wood cabinetry
- Hardwood floors
- Gas range
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available; Cable available
- Home design: Single-story listed (multiple levels present); Existing construction; City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 46 x 112)
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt roof; Poured foundation; Resale condition
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Enclosed porch; Open porch; Partial fencing; Fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Range hood; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms; Two second-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varied flooring types
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Accessible doors; Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Has basement with full finish and sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (0.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $233k (0.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.5% in Eggertsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#34 in NY, #534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-.
- Sweet Home Central School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #342 of 590 in NY (top 58%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.0%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.03%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $288,736
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 Capen Blvd | 0.48mi | 4/1.0 | 1,260 (-2%) | 1mo | $260,504 | $207 | 69 |
| 12 Delta Rd | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,374 (+7%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $189 | 64 |
| 329 Springville Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,306 (+1%) | 0mo | $322,040 | $247 | 61 |
| 652 Moore Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,182 (-8%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $224 | 56 |
| 747 Sweet Home Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,354 (+5%) | 1mo | $332,150 | $245 | 51 |
| 4727 N Bailey Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+12%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $194 | 49 |
| 41 Rochelle Park | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,416 (+10%) | 2mo | $264,900 | $187 | 49 |
| 624 Moore Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,103 (-14%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $258 | 45 |
| 62 Conant Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,404 (+9%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $153 | 44 |
| 966 Parkhurst Blvd | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,482 (+15%) | 1mo | $342,000 | $231 | 35 |
| 414 Longmeadow Rd | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,111 (-14%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $243 | 33 |
| 51 Conant Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,097 (-15%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $205 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-15,118
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- 9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $56,821
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14226
- Rents YoY
- 9.0%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,332 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$346 /mo · $4,157/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $166
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $299 | -5% $232 | +0% $166 | +5% $99 | +10% $33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-18 | -5% $74 | +0% $166 | +5% $258 | +10% $350 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $284 | -0.5pp $226 | base $166 | +0.5pp $105 | +1.0pp $43 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 182 Woodcrest Dr Amherst, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $2,300 | $1.67 | 19d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 348 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1424 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 2d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 524 University Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1840 | $1,600 | $0.87 | 2d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1257 Brighton Rd Tonawanda, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $2,500 | $1.97 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1257 Brighton Rd Tonawanda, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $2,500 | $1.97 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 212 Dellwood Rd Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1209 | $3,400 | $2.81 | 2d | 2 | 1.01mi |
| 151 Lamson Rd Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $2,350 | $1.70 | 17d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 91 Springville Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $2,350 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 954 Brighton Rd Tonawanda, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,700 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2776 Eggert Rd #2 Tonawanda, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,600 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 33 Tillotson Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $2,095 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18$235,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,157 · $346/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,157 · $346/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,990
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$4,157
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,239
- − Management
- −$2,239
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$1,821
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$437
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,428/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sweet Home Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,509
- Composite
- 44.67/100
- National rank
- #2765
- State rank
- #342 of 590 in NY
Livability — Eggertsville
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #34
- US rank
- #534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eggertsville, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 29,482
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,159
- Household income
- $84,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 856.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 10% Asian 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, India
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -270.71%
- Current HPI
- 331.1929
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.01%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $235,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,157 · -20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…