🏷️ Likely Rental
1489 Maria St · Flint, MI
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.48%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This inviting two-bedroom offers comfort, space, and exciting potential for the right tenant or investor. Featuring a practical layout with generously sized bedrooms and a welcoming living area, the home provides a cozy atmosphere perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen and bath are fully functional and offer a great opportunity for a little TLC to truly make the space shine. With a touch of updating and a personal flair, this property could easily transform into a standout home. One of the highlights is the spacious two car garage, providing ample room for parking, storage, or even a workshop setup. Adding to its value and peace of mind, the home boasts a brand new roof-an important upgrade that ensures durability and protection for years to come. Comfortable, solid, and full of potential, this occupied rental is ideal for anyone looking for a well-located home with great bones and room to make it their own.
Key facts
- Brand new roof
- 0.28 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $251 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($960 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Carman-Ainsworth Community Schools (suburban): math 12% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #468 of 540 in MI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $65k implies a 251% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.59%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $144,303
- List price
- $64,900
- Delta
- -55.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1496 Maria St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (0%) | 0mo | $61,000 | $71 | 93 |
| 4243 Moulton Dr | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (0%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $179 | 84 |
| 1451 Mark St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (0%) | 21mo | $80,000 | $93 | 72 |
| 1446 Stephens Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (+2%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $124 | 63 |
| 4076 Carmanwood Dr | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 925 (+7%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $135 | 57 |
| 4238 Carmanwood Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (+3%) | 20mo | $155,500 | $175 | 55 |
| 2029 Gerard St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 980 (+13%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $179 | 50 |
| 4208 Bristolwood Dr | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 925 (+7%) | 20mo | $94,900 | $103 | 49 |
| 1097 W Buder Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 760 (-12%) | 0mo | $67,500 | $89 | 45 |
| 1122 W Scottwood Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (+3%) | 15mo | $77,500 | $87 | 45 |
| 1096 W Buder Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 906 (+5%) | 10mo | $80,000 | $88 | 44 |
| 4489 Old Colony Dr | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (+10%) | 19mo | $167,000 | $176 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $2,720
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $12,304
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48507
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $960 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,675/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $251
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $288 | -5% $270 | +0% $251 | +5% $233 | +10% $214 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $175 | -5% $213 | +0% $251 | +5% $289 | +10% $327 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $284 | -0.5pp $268 | base $251 | +0.5pp $234 | +1.0pp $217 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4400 Kings Ln Burton, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 666 | $960 | $1.44 | 14d | 19 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $64,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $64,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $64,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 70 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 69 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $64,900 Active 68 DOM
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2026-04-20status Active 932-char remark
Show marketing remark (932 chars)
This inviting two-bedroom offers comfort, space, and exciting potential for the right tenant or investor. Featuring a practical layout with generously sized bedrooms and a welcoming living area, the home provides a cozy atmosphere perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen and bath are fully functional and offer a great opportunity for a little TLC to truly make the space shine. With a touch of updating and a personal flair, this property could easily transform into a standout home. One of the highlights is the spacious two car garage, providing ample room for parking, storage, or even a workshop setup. Adding to its value and peace of mind, the home boasts a brand new roof-an important upgrade that ensures durability and protection for years to come. Comfortable, solid, and full of potential, this occupied rental is ideal for anyone looking for a well-located home with great bones and room to make it their own.
-
2026-04-20status Active 932-char remark
Show marketing remark (932 chars)
This inviting two-bedroom offers comfort, space, and exciting potential for the right tenant or investor. Featuring a practical layout with generously sized bedrooms and a welcoming living area, the home provides a cozy atmosphere perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen and bath are fully functional and offer a great opportunity for a little TLC to truly make the space shine. With a touch of updating and a personal flair, this property could easily transform into a standout home. One of the highlights is the spacious two car garage, providing ample room for parking, storage, or even a workshop setup. Adding to its value and peace of mind, the home boasts a brand new roof-an important upgrade that ensures durability and protection for years to come. Comfortable, solid, and full of potential, this occupied rental is ideal for anyone looking for a well-located home with great bones and room to make it their own.
-
2026-03-20status Pending 932-char remark
Show marketing remark (932 chars)
This inviting two-bedroom offers comfort, space, and exciting potential for the right tenant or investor. Featuring a practical layout with generously sized bedrooms and a welcoming living area, the home provides a cozy atmosphere perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen and bath are fully functional and offer a great opportunity for a little TLC to truly make the space shine. With a touch of updating and a personal flair, this property could easily transform into a standout home. One of the highlights is the spacious two car garage, providing ample room for parking, storage, or even a workshop setup. Adding to its value and peace of mind, the home boasts a brand new roof-an important upgrade that ensures durability and protection for years to come. Comfortable, solid, and full of potential, this occupied rental is ideal for anyone looking for a well-located home with great bones and room to make it their own.
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2026-03-20status Pending 932-char remark
Show marketing remark (932 chars)
This inviting two-bedroom offers comfort, space, and exciting potential for the right tenant or investor. Featuring a practical layout with generously sized bedrooms and a welcoming living area, the home provides a cozy atmosphere perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen and bath are fully functional and offer a great opportunity for a little TLC to truly make the space shine. With a touch of updating and a personal flair, this property could easily transform into a standout home. One of the highlights is the spacious two car garage, providing ample room for parking, storage, or even a workshop setup. Adding to its value and peace of mind, the home boasts a brand new roof-an important upgrade that ensures durability and protection for years to come. Comfortable, solid, and full of potential, this occupied rental is ideal for anyone looking for a well-located home with great bones and room to make it their own.
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2026-02-20$64,900 Active 932-char remark
Show marketing remark (932 chars)
This inviting two-bedroom offers comfort, space, and exciting potential for the right tenant or investor. Featuring a practical layout with generously sized bedrooms and a welcoming living area, the home provides a cozy atmosphere perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen and bath are fully functional and offer a great opportunity for a little TLC to truly make the space shine. With a touch of updating and a personal flair, this property could easily transform into a standout home. One of the highlights is the spacious two car garage, providing ample room for parking, storage, or even a workshop setup. Adding to its value and peace of mind, the home boasts a brand new roof-an important upgrade that ensures durability and protection for years to come. Comfortable, solid, and full of potential, this occupied rental is ideal for anyone looking for a well-located home with great bones and room to make it their own.
-
2026-02-20$64,900 Active 932-char remark
Show marketing remark (932 chars)
This inviting two-bedroom offers comfort, space, and exciting potential for the right tenant or investor. Featuring a practical layout with generously sized bedrooms and a welcoming living area, the home provides a cozy atmosphere perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen and bath are fully functional and offer a great opportunity for a little TLC to truly make the space shine. With a touch of updating and a personal flair, this property could easily transform into a standout home. One of the highlights is the spacious two car garage, providing ample room for parking, storage, or even a workshop setup. Adding to its value and peace of mind, the home boasts a brand new roof-an important upgrade that ensures durability and protection for years to come. Comfortable, solid, and full of potential, this occupied rental is ideal for anyone looking for a well-located home with great bones and room to make it their own.
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2024-11-24historical
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2024-11-23historical
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2024-08-22$85,000 Active
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2024-08-22$85,000 Active
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1993-04-01soldstatus $18,500
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1993-04-01soldstatus $18,500
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1993-03-29historical
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1993-03-25$18,500
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1993-03-25$18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,675 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,675 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,516
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$1,675
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$921
- − Management
- −$921
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $2,151
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$516
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,498/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carman-Ainsworth Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2607890
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,394
- Composite
- 16.84/100
- National rank
- #9149
- State rank
- #468 of 540 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,723
- Household income
- $46,554
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1534.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.90%
- Current HPI
- 132.3632
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.04%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+250.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-20 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-20 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-08-22 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-08-22 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 1993-04-01 Sold (MLS) $18,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1993-04-01 Sold (MLS) $18,500 REALCOMP
- 1993-03-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1993-03-25 Listed $18,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1993-03-25 Listed $18,500 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,675 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…