54 Spruce St · Newport, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this wonderful opportunity. This cape cod offers 3-bedroom, 1-bath with a one-car garage and a nice-sized yard. As you walk in your greeted by living room, dining room and kitchen. Full unfinished basement. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, restaurants. A great opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor alike. Offered in as-is condition.
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1920
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached built-in garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public septic
- Home design: Detached property; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,100 (estimated)
- Construction: Foundation: Other; Other structures above and below grade
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heat; Oil-fired heating and hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#609 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Greater Nanticoke Area SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #479 of 539 in PA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.77%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $126,214
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -45.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 Kirmar Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (-6%) | 5mo | $117,000 | $104 | 70 |
| 1116 Chestnut St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,187 (-1%) | 19mo | $50,000 | $42 | 62 |
| 1118 Chestnut St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,136 (-5%) | 17mo | $92,500 | $81 | 56 |
| 51 Kirmar Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (+6%) | 21mo | $62,000 | $49 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $30,661
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 43.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.18×
- Total profit
- $80,680
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18634
- Home prices YoY
- -29.1%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,465 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,324/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$308
- Net cashflow
- $656
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11$69,000 Active 371-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,324 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,324 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,579
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,324
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,406
- − Management
- −$1,406
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $7,225
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,734
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,142/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greater Nanticoke Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4216290
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,990
- Composite
- 20.1/100
- National rank
- #8647
- State rank
- #479 of 539 in PA
Livability — Newport
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #609
- US rank
- #5859
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,638
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 31% Polish 3% Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.20%
- Current HPI
- 246.8063
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $69,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,324 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…