2245 W Frank Scott Pkwy · Belleville, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This two bedroom home is ready for you to finish. It has good bones. Full bath, washer/dryer hookups. Kitchen (eat in) and large living room and front porch. Carport and storage area are conveniently located as you enter the lot. There is a lofted area which you could use for anything. Water/sewer available, needs hooked into the city.
Key facts
- Eat in kitchen
- Front porch
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-space carport
- Utilities: Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: City lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.0% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 169 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 169 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.01%
- DSCR
- 3.18
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $145,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 S 51st St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 940 (+4%) | 6mo | $110,000 | $117 | 70 |
| 4619 Ruth St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (+6%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $137 | 68 |
| 309 Southgate Dr | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 872 (-3%) | 19mo | $155,000 | $178 | 65 |
| 6100 N Belt W | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 974 (+8%) | 2mo | $169,900 | $174 | 61 |
| 905 Brentmoor Dr | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (0%) | 18mo | $154,900 | $172 | 60 |
| 5908 Wilson Dr | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 | 857 (-5%) | 22mo | $143,000 | $167 | 53 |
| 6 S 51st St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (+8%) | 21mo | $89,000 | $92 | 52 |
| 305 Longview Dr | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 939 (+4%) | 23mo | $153,900 | $164 | 51 |
| 124 Chevy Chase Dr | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (+10%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $162 | 47 |
| 110 Elizabeth Dr | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 944 (+5%) | 16mo | $147,500 | $156 | 45 |
| 105 Barrington Dr | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (+12%) | 19mo | $135,000 | $134 | 41 |
| 1005 Brentmoor Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,001 (+11%) | 13mo | $145,000 | $145 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.43×
- Total profit
- $55,766
- Equity at exit
- $38,907
- IRR
- 56.1%
- Equity multiple
- 11.96×
- Total profit
- $138,109
- Equity at exit
- $82,227
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62223
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,045 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $515
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $546 | -5% $530 | +0% $515 | +5% $499 | +10% $484 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $432 | -5% $473 | +0% $515 | +5% $556 | +10% $597 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $537 | -0.5pp $526 | base $515 | +0.5pp $503 | +1.0pp $491 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6105 W Washington St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,575 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 236-M Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $730 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-Q Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $895 | $0.96 | 18d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 219-U Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $730 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-G Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $895 | $0.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit C-05 Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $795 | $1.30 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit G-10 Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $795 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-P Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $970 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-B Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $895 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 56 Friendly Dr Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4516 W Main St Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 607 | $850 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7235 Westfield Plaza Dr Belleville, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $975 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 18 S 44th St Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 18 S 44th St Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5784 Brett Michael Ln Belleville, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 801 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 8d | 7 | 1.06mi |
| 109 N 74th St Belleville, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $972 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 654 N 39th St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $1,400 | $1.42 | 18d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1000 Royal Heights Rd Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,345 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 169 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 160 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-02price $45,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-05-05price $50,000
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2026-04-29price $55,000
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2026-04-06price $60,000
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2026-03-13price $65,000
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2026-02-05price $72,000
-
2025-12-31$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,541
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,003
- − Management
- −$1,003
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $5,804
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,393
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,782/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belleville, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,269
- Household income
- $73,700
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 656.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.50%
- Current HPI
- 259.15
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
-37.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $55,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $60,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $72,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-31 Listed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…