816 Ridgeway Ave · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great 2 bedroom investment property on the south side of Evansville. Rents for $425/mo As Is
Key facts
- 5,489 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1944
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached off-street garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One story
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 100
Interior
- Kitchen: Includes refrigerator and electric range
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (bedrooms included)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Refrigerator; Electric range
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on the main level; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($882 rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Glenwood Leadership Academy (math 10% / reading 12%, grade F, #909 of 994 statewide, top 92%, 416 students, 88% FRL); New Tech Institute (math 34% / reading 74%, grade C-, #79 of 369 statewide, top 26%, 275 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $79k implies a 558% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.65%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $82,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 820 Ridgeway Ave | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-8%) | 10mo | $90,000 | $136 | 78 |
| 2013 S New York Ave | 0.40mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 700 (-3%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $50 | 70 |
| 1608 S Kerth Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-3%) | 11mo | $72,000 | $103 | 69 |
| 1254 Maple Ct | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 725 (+1%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $159 | 67 |
| 327 Ridgeway Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 767 (+6%) | 3mo | $82,500 | $108 | 66 |
| 1919 S Fares Ave | 0.45mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 729 (+1%) | 7mo | $21,000 | $29 | 66 |
| 1663 S Elliott St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 783 (+9%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $115 | 62 |
| 637 Jackson Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 | 800 (+11%) | 1mo | $119,900 | $150 | 60 |
| 1771 Judson St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 800 (+11%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $63 | 51 |
| 1350 Taylor Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 775 (+8%) | 7mo | $106,000 | $137 | 46 |
| 1012 Jefferson Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 810 (+12%) | 6mo | $72,500 | $90 | 45 |
| 2304 Herbert Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 825 (+15%) | 4mo | $130,500 | $158 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $4,345
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.86×
- Total profit
- $41,033
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47713
- Home prices YoY
- -34.1%
- Rents YoY
- 9.9%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $882 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $639/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$185
- Net cashflow
- $196
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $241 | -5% $219 | +0% $196 | +5% $174 | +10% $152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $127 | -5% $161 | +0% $196 | +5% $231 | +10% $266 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $236 | -0.5pp $216 | base $196 | +0.5pp $176 | +1.0pp $155 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1500 S Harlan Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $900 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1231 Culver Dr Unit C Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $625 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1407 Howard St Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 483 | $725 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8 E Blackford Ave Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2210-104 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 631 | $785 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1909 Taylor Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 507 S Evans Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $79,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 511-char remark
-
2026-06-02$79,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $639 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $655 · $55/mo
- Expected delta
- +$16/yr (+$1/mo · 2.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,583
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$639
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$847
- − Management
- −$847
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $1,132
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$272
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,083/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,988
- Household income
- $40,873
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 735.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 39% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.22%
- Current HPI
- 229.9312
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.87%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+430.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $79,000 IRMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $89,000 IRMLS
- 2014-09-12 Sold (MLS) $12,000 IRMLS
- 2014-01-08 Listed $14,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2024): $639 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…