🏷️ Likely Rental
26 Quarry Hl · Clarence, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity to own a property in Akron’s premium 55+ manufactured home community, Quarry Hill Estates. 26 Spruce St is a two bedroom home with one bathroom, a living room and dining room combination, and first floor laundry. The bedroom has a large closet and ample built in storage. All appliances are only one or two years old and are included. The Issac furnace and tankless hot water tank were installed in 2024. a large attached carport serves as a covered porch, entryway and shaded outdoor patio space to enjoy. a large storage shed is also included. Quarry Hill Estates has a community clubhouse with a kitchen available for rent, an enclosed mail room, planned community activities, R
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Attached carport
- Large closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Rectangular residential lot on a city street
- Financial info: Land lease
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Clubhouse; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-wide mobile home; 1 story; Existing/resale condition
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Copper plumbing; Asphalt roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Builder model: Kropf
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Shed(s) / storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Window treatments (drapes); Bedroom on main level
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($924 rent vs $25k).
- Cap rate 34.1% vs local median 1.3% in Clarence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#707 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Clarence Central School District (suburban): math 70% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #94 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $172 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $747 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 34.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 99.24%
- DSCR
- 5.42
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $36,400
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136 Quarry Hill Ests | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (+10%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $72 | 71 |
| 181 Quarry Hl | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (+8%) | 11mo | $38,900 | $40 | 70 |
| 110 Quarry Hl | 0.16mi | 2/1.5 | 980 (+8%) | 14mo | $12,500 | $13 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.69×
- Total profit
- $32,690
- Equity at exit
- $3,713
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.87×
- Total profit
- $75,761
- Equity at exit
- $2,153
Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14001
- Home prices YoY
- -7.1%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $924 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$12 /mo · $145/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $577
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $591 | -5% $584 | +0% $577 | +5% $570 | +10% $562 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $504 | -5% $540 | +0% $577 | +5% $613 | +10% $650 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $589 | -0.5pp $583 | base $577 | +0.5pp $570 | +1.0pp $564 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,225
- Closing costs
- $747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $24,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $24,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $24,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $24,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $24,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $24,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $24,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-10$24,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $145 · $12/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $283 · $24/mo
- Expected delta
- +$138/yr (+$11/mo · 95.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,083
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,395
- − Property taxes
- −$145
- − Insurance
- −$124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$887
- − Management
- −$887
- − Depreciation
- −$724
- Taxable income
- $6,921
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,661
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,258/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarence Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607590
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,568
- Composite
- 64.85/100
- National rank
- #514
- State rank
- #94 of 590 in NY
Livability — Clarence
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #707
- US rank
- #13415
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,122
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.68%
- Current HPI
- 322.1897
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $24,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
-1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $145 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…