114 Lindencrest Ct · Sugar Land, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +8.1/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$330,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Gorgeously updated home w/ so much new!Island kitchen redone w/ new granite countertops, appliances, fixtures including stainless vent hood & 36 inch cabinets!WOW!!All new:Vinyl energy efficient windows, A/C compressor for the upstairs, toilets & redesigned fireplace & mantle--so pretty!!Quiet cul-de-sac lot w/ 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths + formals & den. Tile in kitchen, brkfast & bathrooms, engineered wood floors in den & formals. Gameroom/Media room up. Large master & bath w/ updated shower & bath area!Must see!
Key facts
- Rich wood cabinetry
- Cozy fireplace
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Municipal Utility District disclosure available; Seller disclosure available
- HOA & community: HOA with annual fee of $1,080; Community pool; Curbs and gutters
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway
- Security: Security gate; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Faces east
- Construction: Built in 1994; Brick and cement siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Tennis court(s); Cul-de-sac lot; Located in a subdivision; Concrete road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Microwave; Disposal; Granite counters
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Double vanity; Granite counters; High ceilings; Separate shower; Open living/dining area; Gas fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $330k).
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.6% in Sugar Land — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#38 in TX, #1,758 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, commute F.
- Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Brazos Bend El (math 47% / reading 54%, grade D+, #833 of 4,322 statewide, top 20%, 739 students, 44% FRL); Sartartia Middle (math 69% / reading 71%, grade A, #58 of 1,662 statewide, top 4%, 1,440 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 553 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.80%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $334,476
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Lissa Ln | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,950 (-5%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $162 | 86 |
| 102 Lindencrest Ct | 0.03mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,273 (+11%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $154 | 73 |
| 126 Selkirk Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 2,286 (+11%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $153 | 68 |
| 4222 W Meadows Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,910 (-7%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $183 | 68 |
| 4211 Margate Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 2,286 (+11%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $160 | 63 |
| 4211 W Meadows Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 | 2,286 (+11%) | 3mo | $339,500 | $149 | 62 |
| 214 Indian Summer Ct | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,813 (-12%) | 4mo | $337,000 | $186 | 62 |
| 4106 N New Meadows Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,896 (-8%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $171 | 58 |
| 818 Presley Way | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 2,049 (-0%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $163 | 56 |
| 546 Ivy Cross Ln | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,236 (+9%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $163 | 41 |
| 542 Ivy Cross Ln | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,336 (+14%) | 1mo | $445,000 | $190 | 36 |
| 4415 Casey Cir | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,336 (+14%) | 4mo | $388,000 | $166 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-47,040
- Equity at exit
- $49,204
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-51,905
- Equity at exit
- $28,532
Cash invested: $92,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77479
- Home prices YoY
- -34.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 553
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,499 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,731
- Tax from tax record
- −$590 /mo · $7,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$90
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$735
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,500
- Closing costs
- $9,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 High Meadows Dr Sugar Land, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2619 | $2,600 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4315 Trailwood Dr Sugar Land, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $5,800 | $2.58 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $90 · $1,080/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $330,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $330,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $330,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $330,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $330,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08$330,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,085 · $590/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,085 · $590/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,985
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,485
- − Property taxes
- −$7,085
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,359
- − Management
- −$3,359
- − HOA
- −$1,080
- − Depreciation
- −$9,600
- Taxable loss
- −$2,633
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$632
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,218/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Bend ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819650
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,360
- Composite
- 44.61/100
- National rank
- #2779
- State rank
- #140 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sugar Land
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #1758
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sugar Land, TX
- County
- Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
- City population
- 168,209
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 92,221
- Household income
- $156,735
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1207.0
Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,004,526 people
- By 2030
- 1,153,104 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 1,453,718 · +44.7%
- By 2050
- 1,753,781 · +74.6%
- By 2075
- 2,455,772 · +144.5%
- By 2100
- 2,930,528 · +191.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 47% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 8% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Other Indo-European 16% Chinese 13% Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.96%
- Current HPI
- 227.7544
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.82%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+106.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $330,000 HARMLS
- 2014-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-04-30 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2014-04-07 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-04-01 Price Changed $254,900 HARMLS
- 2014-03-28 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-03-25 Listed $224,900 HARMLS
- 2006-02-21 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2005-12-09 Listed $159,909 HARMLS
- 1994-06-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $7,085 · +14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…