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36698 Spanish Rose Dr
D Composite 40.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$271,000

36698 Spanish Rose Dr · Dade City, FL 33525
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,942 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 187 Days on market
Built 2023 Good condition 4,404 sqft lot 2-car garage $140/sqft · 15% below area Est $319k · 15% under $75/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. Under Construction. Nestled amongst the beautiful rolling hills of Dade City, Heritage Hills is located right off US-52 and Adair Road. Historic Downtown Dade City, located only 5 minutes away, is filled with an array of antique shops, boutiques, art, and unique restaurants, set within historic buildings. This quiet community offers a rural feel yet is close to retail and only 40 minutes from Downtown Tampa. Heritage Hills features our D. R. Horton Express series homes that include a stainless-steel appliance package, granite countertops in the kitchen, all concrete block construction on the 1st and 2nd stories, and Home is Connected; D. R. Horton’s Smart Home system. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information, including pricing, included features, terms, availability, and amenities, are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. Materials may vary based on availability. D. R. Horton Reserves all Rights.

Key facts

  • 4,404 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2023

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $271k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-366 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (23.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (16.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $206k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#307 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Pasco Elementary School (math 29% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 586 students, 89% FRL); Pasco Middle School (math 38% / reading 38%, grade F, #388 of 571 statewide, top 69%, 903 students, 73% FRL); Pasco High School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,639 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 1219 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 90d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,383 (23.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84% ✗
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.78%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$318,662
List price
$271,000
Delta
-14.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
36727 Spanish Rose Dr 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,942 (0%) 4mo $318,500 $164 92
13008 Kent Bradley St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,970 (+1%) 4mo $344,850 $175 60
36115 Markree Castle Ave 0.58mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,962 (+1%) 5mo $279,000 $142 60
13072 Kent Bradley St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,970 (+1%) 6mo $363,850 $185 59
13064 Kent Bradley St 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,820 (-6%) 3mo $345,830 $190 49
13386 Ogden Glade Rd 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,720 (-11%) 2mo $338,000 $197 48
13022 Kent Bradley St 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,820 (-6%) 6mo $356,500 $196 45
12976 Kent Bradley St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,720 (-11%) 2mo $349,350 $203 43
13170 Kent Bradley ST Rd 0.56mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,200 (+13%) 6mo $366,500 $167 42
36159 Welsh Glade Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,720 (-11%) 7mo $304,900 $177 42
13034 Kent Bradley ST Rd 0.64mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,200 (+13%) 4mo $370,000 $168 40
13307 Ogden Glade Rd 0.64mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,200 (+13%) 6mo $365,750 $166 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.02% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.1%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-66,952
Equity at exit
$40,407
10-year hold
IRR
-22.5%
Equity multiple
-0.15×
Total profit
$-87,245
Equity at exit
$23,431

Cash invested: $75,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
35 active · 25 under contract
Months of supply
8.8 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$348,000 ($179/sqft)
Median days on market
160 d
This list price
9% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-8.3% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33525

Home prices YoY
-15.4%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
1219
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,276 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,421
Tax from tax record
−$555 /mo · $6,656/yr
Insurance
−$113
HOA
−$75
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$478
Net cashflow
$-366

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,739
Max offer price $206,383
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-212 -5% $-289 +0% $-366 +5% $-442 +10% $-519
Rent -10% $-546 -5% $-456 +0% $-366 +5% $-276 +10% $-186
Rate -1.0pp $-229 -0.5pp $-297 base $-366 +0.5pp $-436 +1.0pp $-507

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,750
Closing costs
$8,130
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
36711 Spanish Rose Dr Dade City, FL 4.0 2.5 2238 $2,350 $1.05 6d 1 0.05mi
13576 Whiskey Daisy Dr Dade City, FL 4.0 2.5 2238 $2,300 $1.03 118d 1 0.13mi
36558 Spanish Rose Dr Dade City, FL 3.0 2.5 1988 $2,500 $1.26 77d 1 0.14mi
13649 Whiskey Daisy Dr Dade City, FL 4.0 2.5 2238 $2,200 $0.98 2d 1 0.20mi
36350 Spanish Rose Dr Dade City, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,149 $1.18 145d 1 0.32mi
13748 Wineberry Dr Dade City, FL 4.0 2.0 1827 $2,200 $1.20 53d 1 0.35mi
13748 Wineberry Dr Dade City, FL 4.0 2.0 1827 $2,550 $1.40 10d 1 0.35mi
13911 19th St Dade City, FL 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,495 $0.93 145d 1 0.60mi
13911 19th St Dade City, FL 2.0 1.0 1600 $1,200 $0.75 77d 1 0.60mi
37207 Marlu Ln Dade City, FL 2.0 1.0 1344 $1,100 $0.82 75d 1 0.60mi
13022 Kent Bradley St Dade City, FL 4.0 2.0 1820 $2,200 $1.21 115d 1 0.63mi
13235 Waterford Castle Dr Dade City, FL 3.0 2.0 1312 $1,659 $1.26 3d 1 0.64mi
36169 Trinity Glade Rd Dade City, FL 4.0 2.5 2181 $2,600 $1.19 152d 1 0.65mi
12964 Ogden Glade Rd Dade City, FL 4.0 2.5 2405 $2,850 $1.19 129d 1 0.69mi
12945 Ogden Glade Rd Dade City, FL 4.0 2.0 1815 $2,195 $1.21 158d 1 0.69mi
36132 Trinity Glade Rd Dade City, FL 3.0 2.0 1515 $2,295 $1.51 109d 1 0.70mi
36109 Trinity Glade Rd Dade City, FL 3.0 2.0 1418 $1,950 $1.38 10d 1 0.70mi
12806 Judy St Dade City, FL 3.0 2.0 2336 $2,600 $1.11 127d 1 0.74mi
13085 Ogden Glade Rd Dade City, FL 4.0 2.0 1815 $2,300 $1.27 10d 1 0.80mi
37017 Meridian Ave Dade City, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,700 $1.31 109d 1 0.82mi
37150 Highland Bluff Cir Dade City, FL 3.0 2.0 1345 $1,350 $1.00 90d 1 1.01mi
37011 Bear Branch Dr Dade City, FL 3.0–4.0 2.0–3.0 2014 $2,169 $1.08 0d 1 1.14mi
37848 Bougainvillea Ave Unit The Carriage House Dade City, FL 2.0 2.0 2000 $2,800 $1.40 162d 1 1.18mi
35515 Mahwah Ave Dade City, FL 4.0 3.0 2371 $2,650 $1.12 55d 1 1.20mi
35514 Mahwah Ave Dade City, FL 4.0 3.0 2020 $2,400 $1.19 161d 1 1.21mi
35477 Brick Church Loop Dade City, FL 4.0 2.5 2305 $2,295 $1.00 90d 1 1.23mi
14613 Italy Ave Dade City, FL 4.0 3.0 2164 $2,195 $1.01 45d 1 1.28mi
37015 Waldo Dr Dade City, FL 4.0 2.0 1480 $3,750 $2.53 165d 1 1.28mi
35364 Spruce Knob Ct Dade City, FL 3.0 2.0 1560 $1,850 $1.19 1d 1 1.36mi
35348 Spruce Knob Ct Dade City, FL 4.0 2.5 2364 $2,350 $0.99 77d 1 1.37mi
35348 Spruce Knob Ct Dade City, FL 4.0 3.0 2364 $2,500 $1.06 90d 1 1.37mi
36111 Canelli Way Dade City, FL 4.0 2.0 2008 $2,295 $1.14 143d 1 1.38mi
35288 Spruce Knob Ct Dade City, FL 4.0 2.5 2305 $2,300 $1.00 158d 1 1.42mi
35291 Spruce Knob Ct Dade City, FL 3.0 2.5 1961 $2,049 $1.04 10d 1 1.43mi
14851 Dade St Dade City, FL 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,600 $1.17 10d 1 1.49mi
14907 Lucca Way Unit 1 Dade City, FL 3.0 2.5 1386 $2,100 $1.52 165d 1 1.49mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Property type: Residential (Single Family Residence)Lot approx. 0.1 acre (0 to less than 1/4 acre)Living area ~1,942 sq ft (public records); total building area 2,466 sq ftDirections: From CR-52, North on Adair Rd, North on Southern Magnolia, East on Spanish Rose Dr
Financial info
Total annual fees $900
HOA & community
HOA required, $75 monthly (Association contact: Michael Pereira)Community features: Deed restrictions, playground, street lightsPets allowed

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garage
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewer (sewer connected)Electricity availableCable availablePhone availableBroadband/High-speed internet availableSprinkler meter present
Home design
Single Family ResidenceTwo storiesFaces NorthResidential zoning (PDH1)Homestead exempt
Construction
Block and stucco constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt by D.R. Horton (Darwin model)
Exterior features
SidewalkSliding doorsSprinkler meterVinyl fencingPaved road access

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherRangeMicrowaveRefrigeratorStone counters
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Flooring
CarpetTile
Bathrooms
2 full baths1 half bath
Heating & cooling
Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning
Interior features
Open floorplanSplit bedroom layoutStone countersThermostatWalk-in closets
Laundry & utility
Washer hookupWasher and Dryer includedLaundry room (upper level)Laundry inside

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-10-11
    days on market $271,000 Active 187 DOM
  2. 2026-10-10
    days on market $271,000 Active 186 DOM
  3. 2026-10-09
    days on market $271,000 Active 185 DOM
  4. 2026-10-08
    days on market $271,000 Active 184 DOM
  5. 2026-10-08
    days on market $271,000 Active 183 DOM
  6. 2026-10-06
    days on market $271,000 Active 182 DOM
  7. 2026-10-05
    days on market $271,000 Active 181 DOM
  8. 2026-10-04
    days on market $271,000 Active 180 DOM
  9. 2026-10-04
    days on market $271,000 Active 179 DOM
  10. 2026-10-02
    days on market $271,000 Active 178 DOM
  11. 2026-10-01
    days on market $271,000 Active 177 DOM
  12. 2026-09-30
    days on market $271,000 Active 176 DOM
  13. 2026-09-29
    days on market $271,000 Active 175 DOM
  14. 2026-09-28
    days on market $271,000 Active 174 DOM
  15. 2026-09-27
    days on market $271,000 Active 173 DOM
  16. 2026-09-25
    days on market $271,000 Active 171 DOM
  17. 2026-09-24
    days on market $271,000 Active 170 DOM
  18. 2026-09-23
    days on market $271,000 Active 169 DOM
  19. 2026-09-22
    days on market $271,000 Active 168 DOM
  20. 2026-09-21
    days on market $271,000 Active 167 DOM
  21. 2026-09-20
    days on market $271,000 Active 166 DOM
  22. 2026-09-19
    days on market $271,000 Active 165 DOM
  23. 2026-09-18
    days on market $271,000 Active 164 DOM
  24. 2026-09-16
    days on market $271,000 Active 162 DOM
  25. 2026-09-15
    days on market $271,000 Active 161 DOM
  26. 2026-09-13
    days on market $271,000 Active 159 DOM
  27. 2026-09-12
    days on market $271,000 Active 158 DOM
  28. 2026-09-11
    days on market $271,000 Active 157 DOM
  29. 2026-09-05
    days on market $271,000 Active 151 DOM
  30. 2026-09-04
    days on market $271,000 Active 150 DOM
  31. 2026-09-03
    days on market $271,000 Active 149 DOM
  32. 2026-08-31
    days on market $271,000 Active 146 DOM
  33. 2026-08-30
    days on market $271,000 Active 145 DOM
  34. 2026-08-29
    days on market $271,000 Active 144 DOM
  35. 2026-08-28
    days on market $271,000 Active 143 DOM
  36. 2026-08-26
    days on market $271,000 Active 141 DOM
  37. 2026-08-25
    days on market $271,000 Active 140 DOM
  38. 2026-08-24
    days on market $271,000 Active 139 DOM
  39. 2026-08-23
    days on market $271,000 Active 138 DOM
  40. 2026-08-22
    days on market $271,000 Active 137 DOM
  41. 2026-08-20
    days on market $271,000 Active 135 DOM
  42. 2026-08-19
    days on market $271,000 Active 134 DOM
  43. 2026-08-18
    days on market $271,000 Active 133 DOM
  44. 2026-08-17
    days on market $271,000 Active 132 DOM
  45. 2026-08-16
    days on market $271,000 Active 131 DOM
  46. 2026-08-15
    days on market $271,000 Active 130 DOM
  47. 2026-08-14
    days on market $271,000 Active 129 DOM
  48. 2026-08-13
    days on market $271,000 Active 128 DOM
  49. 2026-08-12
    days on market $271,000 Active 127 DOM
  50. 2026-08-11
    days on market $271,000 Active 126 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,656 · $555/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,656 · $555/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,310
− Mortgage interest
−$15,180
− Property taxes
−$6,656
− Insurance
−$1,355
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,185
− Management
−$2,185
− HOA
−$900
− Depreciation
−$7,884
Taxable loss
−$9,034
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,168
After-tax cash flow
$-2,221/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $9,710–$29,130 screening

This move-in ready two-story home in Heritage Hills, Dade City, offers a good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed for optimal resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal ↑
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood — Improves both resale and rental value ↑
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 36/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Pasco Elementary School F FL #1,896/2,144 Nat'l #26,716/41,679 Middle Pasco Middle School F FL #388/571 Nat'l #6,571/14,009 High Pasco High School F FL #296/667 Nat'l #8,112/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 73/100

Livability — Dade City

Score
73/100
State rank
#307
US rank
#5215

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dade City, FL
County
Pasco County · 570,045 people
City population
21,077
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
21,077
Household income
$69,068
Rent vs Own
26.0% rent · 74.0% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 7% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 3%
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-14.8% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-26 Price Changed $271,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $293,242 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $315,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-06 Rental Removed $2,050 STELLARMLS
  • 2024-06-29 Price Changed $2,050 STELLARMLS
  • 2024-05-06 Price Changed $2,150 STELLARMLS
  • 2024-04-06 Listed for Rent $2,250 STELLARMLS
  • 2023-03-29 Sold (MLS) $309,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-02 Price Changed $309,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-25 Price Changed $304,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-01-04 Price Changed $306,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-21 Price Changed $304,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-14 Price Changed $309,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-30 Listed $317,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+159.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,656 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…