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2986 Cadillac Blvd
B Composite 71.44
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

2986 Cadillac Blvd · Detroit, MI 48214
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 676 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 160 Days on market
Built 1910 6,098 sqft lot $146/sqft · 131% above area Est $109k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity to renovate an American four square home in Detroit's East Village. Home has been demo'd and ready for a complete rehab. This floor plan has become very popular in this area and has proven to bring high return. Lots of development happening in the area and walkable to some of West Villages best retail on Kercheval corridor.

Key facts

  • Complete rehab
  • Walkable to retail
  • 6,098 sq ft lot

Tags

AMERICAN FOUR SQUARE HOMECOMPLETE REHABWALKABLE TO RETAIL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,557/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1364% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 160 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $225; list at $99k implies a 43900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 160 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
13.94%
Cash-on-cash
27.31%
DSCR
2.22
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$108,605
List price
$99,000
Delta
-8.84%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.3%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$24,114
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
3.62×
Total profit
$72,627
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48214

Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,557 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $467/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$327
Net cashflow
$631

Break-even live

Break-even rent $759
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $687 -5% $659 +0% $631 +5% $603 +10% $575
Rent -10% $508 -5% $569 +0% $631 +5% $692 +10% $754
Rate -1.0pp $681 -0.5pp $656 base $631 +0.5pp $605 +1.0pp $579

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1130 Holcomb St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 550 $1,095 $1.99 2d 18 0.82mi
8925 E Jefferson Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $1,945 $1.85 44d 9 0.86mi
8001 Kercheval Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 984 $2,270 $2.31 0d 3 0.97mi
1000 Van Dyke St Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 751 $1,295 $1.72 44d 4 1.21mi
8100 E Jefferson Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0–3.0 1089 $2,210 $2.03 20d 20 1.33mi
320 E Grand Blvd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 534 $1,345 $2.52 44d 4 1.46mi
7800 E Jefferson Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 625 $899 $1.44 18d 1 1.47mi
7700 E Jefferson Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 877 $1,795 $2.05 44d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 160 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 159 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 157 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 155 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 154 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 151 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 150 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 149 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 146 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 145 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 143 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 142 DOM
  13. 2026-01-09
    listed $99,000 Active 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    Opportunity to renovate an American four square home in Detroit's East Village. Home has been demo'd and ready for a complete rehab. This floor plan has become very popular in this area and has proven to bring high return. Lots of development happening in the area and walkable to some of West Villages best retail on Kercheval corridor.

  14. 2026-01-09
    listed $99,000 Active 337-char remark
    Show marketing remark (337 chars)

    Opportunity to renovate an American four square home in Detroit's East Village. Home has been demo'd and ready for a complete rehab. This floor plan has become very popular in this area and has proven to bring high return. Lots of development happening in the area and walkable to some of West Villages best retail on Kercheval corridor.

  15. 2025-12-03
    historical
  16. 2025-09-24
    price $115,000
  17. 2025-09-23
    price $115,000
  18. 2025-08-11
    price $123,000
  19. 2025-08-11
    price $123,000
  20. 2025-06-10
    listed $130,000 Active
  21. 2025-06-10
    listed $130,000 Active
  22. 2025-06-01
    historical
  23. 2025-06-01
    historical
  24. 2025-01-10
    price $129,900
  25. 2025-01-09
    price $129,900
  26. 2024-10-01
    price $139,900
  27. 2024-09-30
    price $139,900
  28. 2024-09-12
    listed $150,000 Active
  29. 2024-09-12
    listed $150,000 Active
  30. 2012-09-27
    soldstatus $225
  31. 2012-09-27
    soldstatus $225
  32. 2012-08-17
    historical
  33. 2012-07-19
    listed $225
  34. 2012-07-09
    historical
  35. 2012-07-09
    historical
  36. 2012-03-21
    historical
  37. 2012-03-21
    listed $225
  38. 2012-03-21
    listed $225
  39. 2012-03-21
    listed $225
  40. 2012-03-20
    historical
  41. 2011-12-28
    listed $2,900
  42. 2011-12-22
    listed $2,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$467 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$996 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$529/yr (+$44/mo · 113.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,688
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$467
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,495
− Management
−$1,495
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$6,310
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,514
After-tax cash flow
$6,057/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,595
Household income
$33,544
Rent vs Own
59.0% rent · 41.0% own
Severe rent burden
1364.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% White 16% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -367.43%
Current HPI
102.0969
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3313.8% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-11 Price Changed $123,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-11 Price Changed $123,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-10 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-10 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-10 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-09 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-10-01 Price Changed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-09-30 Price Changed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-09-12 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-09-12 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-09-27 Sold (MLS) $225 REALCOMP
  • 2012-09-27 Sold (MLS) $225 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-08-17 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-07-19 Listed $225 REALCOMP
  • 2012-07-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-07-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-03-21 Listed $225 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-03-21 Listed $225 REALCOMP
  • 2012-03-21 Listed $225 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-03-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-03-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2011-12-28 Listed $2,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-12-22 Listed $2,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $467 · -52.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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