210 Whitewater Dr · Newport News, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$207,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 3 bedroom, 2.5 bathroom end unit townhouse in upper Newport News near Ft. Eustis and Newport News park. Living room, dining room and spacious kitchen with all appliances conveying. 3 bedrooms upstairs to include a large master bedroom with attached full bath. 2 other bedrooms and full bath upstairs as well. Fenced backyard, concrete patio, and vinyl siding.
Key facts
- Concrete patio
- Vinyl siding
- End unit townhouse
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Neighborhood: Brookside Townhomes; City view
- HOA & community: Has HOA (Brookside Townhomes Owner Association, monthly fee $125); Ground maintenance provided; Playgrounds in community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned/reserved parking (2 spaces)
- Security: Community security
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
- Home design: Attached townhouse; 2 stories; Slab foundation; Simple ownership
- Construction: Vinyl and wood siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot location; Patio; Full backyard fence (back fenced)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Pantry
- Bedrooms: One bedroom with ensuite; Master bedroom with bath; Attic (additional room)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced hot air heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace (wood); Ceiling fan; Cable hookup; Pull-down attic stairs; Scuttle access; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $207k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-898/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (6.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (11.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.2% in Newport News — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in VA, #4,018 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Newport News City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #112 of 131 in VA (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Oliver C. Greenwood Elementary (math 22% / reading 48%, grade F, #960 of 1,108 statewide, top 87%, 552 students, 90% FRL); Woodside High (math 54% / reading 86%, grade B+, #151 of 319 statewide, top 49%, 1,807 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 55% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 522 units permitted in Newport News city in 2024 (458 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Newport News County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.55%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $249,637
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Whitewater Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,307 (0%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $191 | 96 |
| 220 Whitewater Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,307 (0%) | 5mo | $252,500 | $193 | 95 |
| 121 Whitewater Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,307 (0%) | 4mo | $209,895 | $161 | 94 |
| 235 Whitewater Dr | 0.04mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,307 (0%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $187 | 89 |
| 144 Whitewater Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,307 (0%) | 9mo | $244,200 | $187 | 88 |
| 150 Whitewater Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,307 (0%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $180 | 83 |
| 225 Whitewater Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 | 1,307 (0%) | 22mo | $226,000 | $173 | 80 |
| 918 Woodcreek Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,253 (-4%) | 0mo | $280,000 | $223 | 76 |
| 820 Pine Tree Ct | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,362 (+4%) | 11mo | $286,000 | $210 | 69 |
| 908 Woodcreek Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (+4%) | 16mo | $280,000 | $206 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-30,799
- Equity at exit
- $30,864
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $383
- Equity at exit
- $17,898
Cash invested: $57,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23608
- Home prices YoY
- -10.5%
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 214
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,835 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,086
- Tax from tax record
- −$228 /mo · $2,731/yr
- Insurance
- −$86
- HOA
- −$125
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $-75
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,750
- Closing costs
- $6,210
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13409 Oakleaf Ct Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1454 | $1,975 | $1.36 | 1d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 800 Skelton Way Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1710 | $2,195 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3900 Woodbridge Dr Unit 00 1604 Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1121 | $1,499 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3900 Woodbridge Dr Unit 00 1808 Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1235 | $1,599 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3900 Woodbridge Dr Unit 00 2106 Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1121 | $1,499 | $1.34 | 20d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3900 Woodbridge Dr Unit 00 1402 Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,649 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3900 Woodbridge Dr Unit 00 2006 Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1121 | $1,499 | $1.34 | 16d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 718 Halyard Dr Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1472 | $2,300 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 573 Old Colonial Way Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $1,985 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 826 Maywood Cir Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $2,100 | $1.80 | 1d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 461 Revolution Ln Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,000 | $1.34 | 7d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 329 Boulder Dr Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,482 | $1.54 | 2d | 13 | 1.05mi |
| 401 Jester Ct Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 949 | $1,462 | $1.54 | 1d | 3 | 1.06mi |
| 23 Williamson Park Dr Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,990 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 713 Emerald Ct Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1455 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 722 Emerald Ct Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $2,400 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 100 Banbury Ct Unit 00 103308 Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,799 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 100 Banbury Ct Unit 00 201302 Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,799 | $1.47 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 100 Banbury Ct Unit 00 202207 Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $1,909 | $1.56 | 7d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 372 Rivers Ridge Cir Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1296 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 106 Woodhaven Rd Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,450 | $1.25 | 20d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 436 Lee's Ml Dr #436 Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,750 | $1.56 | 7d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 399 Hickory Point Blvd Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 984 | $1,594 | $1.62 | 1d | 10 | 1.24mi |
| 581 Calla Ct Newport News, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $1,575 | $1.59 | 1d | 11 | 1.34mi |
| 572 Candle Ln Apt 302 Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,395 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 568 Candle Ln Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,395 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 203 Quarter Trl Unit F Newport News, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1167 | $1,375 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 91 River Palms Rd Newport News, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 871 | $2,179 | $2.50 | 1d | 49 | 1.41mi |
| 418 Cox Lndg Newport News, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 975 | $1,625 | $1.67 | 2d | 9 | 1.45mi |
| 215 Old Bridge Ct Newport News, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $2,100 | $1.46 | 20d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 55 Rexford Dr Newport News, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,000 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $125 · $1,500/yr
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-15pricestatusdays on market $207,000 Under Contract 239 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $208,000 Active Under Contract 238 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $208,000 Active Under Contract 237 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $208,000 Active Under Contract 236 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $208,000 Active Under Contract 232 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $208,000 Active Under Contract 231 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $208,000 Active Under Contract 230 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $208,000 Active Under Contract 229 DOM
-
2025-11-28historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-11-16price $208,000
-
2025-10-24price $228,000
-
2025-10-13$248,000 Active
-
2024-03-07soldstatus $231,000
-
2024-02-14status Under Contract
-
2024-02-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-01-23status Active
-
2024-01-18historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-01-04status Active
-
2023-12-18historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-12-15$219,900 Active
-
2018-04-23status Under Contract
-
2018-02-28$101,000 Active
-
2017-11-21historical
-
2017-11-09price $105,000
-
2017-10-20$120,000 Active
-
2008-12-22soldstatus $142,500
-
2005-01-12soldstatus $79,000
-
2003-07-28soldstatus $74,900
-
1988-10-04soldstatus $64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,731 · $228/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,731 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,019
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,595
- − Property taxes
- −$2,731
- − Insurance
- −$1,035
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,762
- − Management
- −$1,762
- − HOA
- −$1,500
- − Depreciation
- −$6,022
- Taxable loss
- −$4,387
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,053
- After-tax cash flow
- $155/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport News City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102640
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -37.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,644
- Composite
- 37.7/100
- National rank
- #4360
- State rank
- #112 of 131 in VA
Livability — Newport News
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #4018
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newport News, VA
- County
- Newport News City · 178,950 people
- City population
- 178,950
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,641
- Household income
- $71,126
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2094.0
Population outlook (Newport News County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 181,076 people
- By 2030
- 179,683 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 174,649 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 167,407 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 147,597 · -18.5%
- By 2100
- 122,144 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 40% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Newport News
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.8) · D 63.7% · R 34.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.1pp no change · 2008: 28.7pp · 2024: 28.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.8 2020: D+32.9 2016: D+25.4 2012: D+30.0 2008: D+28.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.79%
- Current HPI
- 297.7465
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.87%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+220.5% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-28 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2025-11-16 Price Changed $208,000 REINMLS
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $228,000 REINMLS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $248,000 REINMLS
- 2024-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $231,000 Public Records
- 2024-02-14 Pending — REINMLS
- 2024-02-06 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2024-01-23 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2024-01-18 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2024-01-04 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2023-12-18 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2023-12-15 Listed $219,900 REINMLS
- 2018-04-23 Pending — REINMLS
- 2018-02-28 Listed $101,000 REINMLS
- 2017-11-21 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2017-11-09 Price Changed $105,000 REINMLS
- 2017-10-20 Listed $120,000 REINMLS
- 2008-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $142,500 Public Records
- 2005-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
- 2003-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
- 1988-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2026): $2,731 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…