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120 Saint Paul Ln
B- Composite 66.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

120 Saint Paul Ln · Ligonier, PA 15658
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · Other · 22 Days on market
1.50 ac lot $56/sqft · 80% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Here is a house that was built in 1763 with the addition built in 1858. Now, it needs A LOT of work so whether you're up for a total over-haul or building new on this beautiful 1.5 acre lot, it's worth looking into! This property has Public Water & Public Sewage and sits on Private Lane off of Darlington Road. There is also a tiny cottage that is believed to have come from Idlewild Park that dates back to 1895! So many possibilities! To Remodel or Build a brand new home. .. it all depends what you are up for!

Key facts

  • Private lane
  • 1.5 acre lot
  • Public sewage

Tags

1.5 ACRE LOTPUBLIC WATERPUBLIC SEWAGEPRIVATE LANE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Garage with garage door opener; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story frame house; Asphalt roof; Resale property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Approximately 1.5-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wood heating
  • Interior features: Unfinished walk-out basement; Has basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 1.1% in Ligonier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#267 in PA, #2,344 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Ligonier Valley SD (rural): math 28% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #310 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $98,401 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.18%
Cash-on-cash
13.88%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$489,353
List price
$99,900
Delta
-79.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$4,430
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$30,444
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15658

Home prices YoY
-26.4%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,272 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,389/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$324

Break-even live

Break-even rent $862
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 521-char remark
  2. 2026-04-26
    listed $99,900 Active 521-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,389 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,484 · $124/mo
Expected delta
+$94/yr (+$8/mo · 6.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,263
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,389
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,221
− Management
−$1,221
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$2,430
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$583
After-tax cash flow
$3,299/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ligonier Valley SD
NCES district ID
4213710
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,879
Composite
36.25/100
National rank
#4714
State rank
#310 of 539 in PA

Livability — Ligonier

Score
79/100
State rank
#267
US rank
#2344

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,114

Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
342,555 people
By 2030
331,717 · -3.2%
By 2040
304,976 · -11.0%
By 2050
277,444 · -19.0%
By 2075
224,607 · -34.4%
By 2100
171,084 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 5% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.70%
Current HPI
155.4857
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $99,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,389 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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