4073 Radiant Mountain Dr · Plant City, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$378,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Boasting two stories, the Concord is the largest single-family home in this collection. The first floor features a modern design with an open kitchen, living room and dining room, along with a versatile bedroom ideal for overnight guests. The second floor is home to four bedrooms, an adaptable loft and the spacious owner's suite.
Key facts
- Adaptable loft
- Versatile bedroom
- Open kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $379k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $447 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $358k (5.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $356k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#227 in FL, #3,587 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, commute F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 307 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,579/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 152% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($356k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.05%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-33,044
- Equity at exit
- $56,509
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $7,499
- Equity at exit
- $32,768
Cash invested: $106,117 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33565
- Home prices YoY
- -24.7%
- Active inventory
- 307
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,579 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,987
- Tax from tax record
- −$236 /mo · $2,826/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$752
- Net cashflow
- $447
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $94,748
- Closing costs
- $11,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2505 Victorious Falls Ave Plant City, FL | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2614 | $3,100 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3809 Sunny Spring St Plant City, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2964 | $2,800 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-18days on market $378,990 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $378,990 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $378,990 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $378,990 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $378,990 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $378,990 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $378,990 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-08pricedays on market $378,990 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $378,490 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $377,490 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $377,490 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $377,490 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-02price $376,490 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-01pricedays on market $375,990 Active 53 DOM
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2026-05-31pricedays on market $374,990 Active 52 DOM
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2026-05-14price $382,990 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Boasting two stories, the Concord is the largest single-family home in this collection. The first floor features a modern design with an open kitchen, living room and dining room, along with a versatile bedroom ideal for overnight guests. The second floor is home to four bedrooms, an adaptable loft and the spacious owner's suite.
-
2026-05-01price $382,490 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Boasting two stories, the Concord is the largest single-family home in this collection. The first floor features a modern design with an open kitchen, living room and dining room, along with a versatile bedroom ideal for overnight guests. The second floor is home to four bedrooms, an adaptable loft and the spacious owner's suite.
-
2026-04-22price $380,490 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Boasting two stories, the Concord is the largest single-family home in this collection. The first floor features a modern design with an open kitchen, living room and dining room, along with a versatile bedroom ideal for overnight guests. The second floor is home to four bedrooms, an adaptable loft and the spacious owner's suite.
-
2026-04-19price $379,990 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Boasting two stories, the Concord is the largest single-family home in this collection. The first floor features a modern design with an open kitchen, living room and dining room, along with a versatile bedroom ideal for overnight guests. The second floor is home to four bedrooms, an adaptable loft and the spacious owner's suite.
-
2026-04-10price $379,490 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Boasting two stories, the Concord is the largest single-family home in this collection. The first floor features a modern design with an open kitchen, living room and dining room, along with a versatile bedroom ideal for overnight guests. The second floor is home to four bedrooms, an adaptable loft and the spacious owner's suite.
-
2026-04-09$378,490 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Boasting two stories, the Concord is the largest single-family home in this collection. The first floor features a modern design with an open kitchen, living room and dining room, along with a versatile bedroom ideal for overnight guests. The second floor is home to four bedrooms, an adaptable loft and the spacious owner's suite.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,826 · $236/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,146 · $262/mo
- Expected delta
- +$319/yr (+$27/mo · 11.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,953
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,229
- − Property taxes
- −$2,826
- − Insurance
- −$1,895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,436
- − Management
- −$3,436
- − Depreciation
- −$11,025
- Taxable loss
- −$895
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$215
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,577/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Plant City
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #3587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plant City, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 68,525
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,108
- Household income
- $73,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 152.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 14% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 19%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.17%
- Current HPI
- 347.2475
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $382,990 Zillow
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $382,490 Zillow
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $380,490 Zillow
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $379,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $379,490 Zillow
- 2026-04-09 Listed $378,490 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…