4670 Broadway · Depew, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4670 Broadway is a 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom two-story home on the corner of Broadway and Bryant. The property has vinyl windows throughout an updated kitchen with appliances and updated bathrooms. 1 Car attached garage, partial basement and a large attic which could be finished space.
Key facts
- Vinyl windows
- Updated bathrooms
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($235/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.7% in Depew — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#408 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Depew Union Free School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #461 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $150k implies a 500% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1865 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1865 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.56%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $278,102
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -46.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Lackawanna Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,682 (+1%) | 9mo | $277,000 | $165 | 88 |
| 100 Lackawanna Ave | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,749 (+5%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $177 | 75 |
| 635 Rowley Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,665 (-0%) | 10mo | $310,000 | $186 | 64 |
| 41 Freemont Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,584 (-5%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $164 | 62 |
| 324 River St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,465 (-12%) | 1mo | $186,000 | $127 | 62 |
| 1534 Como Park Blvd | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,734 (+4%) | 2mo | $307,000 | $177 | 56 |
| 14 Autumn Ln | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,534 (-8%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $183 | 55 |
| 126 Chateau Ct | 0.36mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,840 (+10%) | 10mo | $375,000 | $204 | 53 |
| 22 Vanderbilt Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,700 (+2%) | 9mo | $231,000 | $136 | 50 |
| 190 West Ave | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,890 (+13%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $146 | 50 |
| 37 Rossiter Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (-10%) | 5mo | $275,000 | $182 | 43 |
| 27 Autumn Ln | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,476 (-12%) | 10mo | $355,000 | $241 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-17,923
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $8,169
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14043
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,725 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$495 /mo · $5,939/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $20
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1331 Borden Rd Unit R Depew, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1175 | $1,595 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5050 Transit Rd Apt 306 Depew, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,999 | $1.67 | 2d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| Cowing St Lancaster, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-15pricedays on market $149,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $169,900 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
4670 Broadway is a 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom two-story home on the corner of Broadway and Bryant. The property has vinyl windows throughout an updated kitchen with appliances and updated bathrooms. 1 Car attached garage, partial basement and a large attic which could be finished space.
-
2026-03-31price $174,900 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
4670 Broadway is a 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom two-story home on the corner of Broadway and Bryant. The property has vinyl windows throughout an updated kitchen with appliances and updated bathrooms. 1 Car attached garage, partial basement and a large attic which could be finished space.
-
2026-03-07price $182,900 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
4670 Broadway is a 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom two-story home on the corner of Broadway and Bryant. The property has vinyl windows throughout an updated kitchen with appliances and updated bathrooms. 1 Car attached garage, partial basement and a large attic which could be finished space.
-
2026-02-10price $189,900 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
4670 Broadway is a 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom two-story home on the corner of Broadway and Bryant. The property has vinyl windows throughout an updated kitchen with appliances and updated bathrooms. 1 Car attached garage, partial basement and a large attic which could be finished space.
-
2026-01-17historical
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2026-01-16$199,900 Active 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
4670 Broadway is a 4 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom two-story home on the corner of Broadway and Bryant. The property has vinyl windows throughout an updated kitchen with appliances and updated bathrooms. 1 Car attached garage, partial basement and a large attic which could be finished space.
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2026-01-15price $199,900
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2025-12-16price $204,900
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2025-11-11price $209,900
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2025-10-16price $219,900
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2025-09-13price $229,900
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2025-08-15$239,900 Active
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2016-10-21historical
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2016-02-09price $74,900
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2015-09-14price $83,900
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2015-05-13$59,900 Active
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2015-04-23historical
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2014-11-03$59,900
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1997-07-11soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,939 · $495/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,939 · $495/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,704
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$5,939
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,656
- − Management
- −$1,656
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$2,054
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$493
- After-tax cash flow
- $728/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Depew Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609030
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,488
- Composite
- 38.33/100
- National rank
- #4224
- State rank
- #461 of 590 in NY
Livability — Depew
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #408
- US rank
- #7016
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Depew, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 25,098
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,098
- Household income
- $74,112
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 854.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 30% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Arabic 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.13%
- Current HPI
- 292.1082
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.75%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+579.6% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $169,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $174,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $182,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $189,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-01-17 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $199,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $199,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $204,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $209,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $219,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-09-13 Price Changed $229,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $239,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-10-21 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2016-02-09 Price Changed $74,900 WNYREIS
- 2015-09-14 Price Changed $83,900 WNYREIS
- 2015-05-13 Listed $59,900 WNYREIS
- 2015-04-23 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2014-11-03 Listed $59,900 WNYREIS
- 1997-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,939 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…