42494 Lillie Babin Rd · Gonzales, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has been completely taken down to the frame and thoughtfully rebuilt using high-quality materials throughout. Offering over 2,000 square feet of living space, the property features 5 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living. Upgrades include hardwood floors, new sheetrock, classic Old Chicago brick accents, PEX plumbing, and a durable cast iron tub and sink. The kitchen offers timeless charm with oak cabinets, butcher block countertops, open shelving, and a functional island--perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A tankless water heater adds modern efficiency to this beautifully restored home. Situated in Flood Zone X, this property also offers a fully fenced yard, extra parking, and is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street--adding both privacy and peace of mind.
Key facts
- Pex plumbing
- Hardwood floors
- Open shelving
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 4 total parking spaces; Carport with 4 spaces; Driveway; Concrete and gravel surfaces; Other parking features
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured home (residential); Updated/remodeled
- Construction: Metal roof; Wood siding and other construction materials; Owner-built
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Storm doors; Fenced yard (full, wood and other); Shed(s); Spa/Hot tub
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven; Oven; Electric cooktop; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Ice maker; Stainless steel appliances
- Flooring: Tile; Wood; Brick; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; See remarks; Storm windows and screens; Smoke detectors; Therapeutic whirlpool
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Electric dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included; Electric water heater; Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $562 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $240k).
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.5% in Gonzales — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#135 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 567 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.03%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $240,352
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42494 Lillie Babin Rd | 0.00mi | 5/3.0 | 2,072 (0%) | 1mo | $240,500 | $116 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,559
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $46,095
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70737
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 567
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,497 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $627/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $562
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13153 Ducks Landing St Gonzales, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1825 | $2,750 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-21price $240,000 835-char remark
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
This home has been completely taken down to the frame and thoughtfully rebuilt using high-quality materials throughout. Offering over 2,000 square feet of living space, the property features 5 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living. Upgrades include hardwood floors, new sheetrock, classic Old Chicago brick accents, PEX plumbing, and a durable cast iron tub and sink. The kitchen offers timeless charm with oak cabinets, butcher block countertops, open shelving, and a functional island--perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A tankless water heater adds modern efficiency to this beautifully restored home. Situated in Flood Zone X, this property also offers a fully fenced yard, extra parking, and is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street--adding both privacy and peace of mind.
-
2026-05-21status Pending
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
This home has been completely taken down to the frame and thoughtfully rebuilt using high-quality materials throughout. Offering over 2,000 square feet of living space, the property features 5 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living. Upgrades include hardwood floors, new sheetrock, classic Old Chicago brick accents, PEX plumbing, and a durable cast iron tub and sink. The kitchen offers timeless charm with oak cabinets, butcher block countertops, open shelving, and a functional island--perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A tankless water heater adds modern efficiency to this beautifully restored home. Situated in Flood Zone X, this property also offers a fully fenced yard, extra parking, and is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street--adding both privacy and peace of mind.
-
2026-05-21status Active
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
This home has been completely taken down to the frame and thoughtfully rebuilt using high-quality materials throughout. Offering over 2,000 square feet of living space, the property features 5 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living. Upgrades include hardwood floors, new sheetrock, classic Old Chicago brick accents, PEX plumbing, and a durable cast iron tub and sink. The kitchen offers timeless charm with oak cabinets, butcher block countertops, open shelving, and a functional island--perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A tankless water heater adds modern efficiency to this beautifully restored home. Situated in Flood Zone X, this property also offers a fully fenced yard, extra parking, and is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street--adding both privacy and peace of mind.
-
2026-05-21price $240,000
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
This home has been completely taken down to the frame and thoughtfully rebuilt using high-quality materials throughout. Offering over 2,000 square feet of living space, the property features 5 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living. Upgrades include hardwood floors, new sheetrock, classic Old Chicago brick accents, PEX plumbing, and a durable cast iron tub and sink. The kitchen offers timeless charm with oak cabinets, butcher block countertops, open shelving, and a functional island--perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A tankless water heater adds modern efficiency to this beautifully restored home. Situated in Flood Zone X, this property also offers a fully fenced yard, extra parking, and is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street--adding both privacy and peace of mind.
-
2026-04-10status Pending 835-char remark
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
This home has been completely taken down to the frame and thoughtfully rebuilt using high-quality materials throughout. Offering over 2,000 square feet of living space, the property features 5 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living. Upgrades include hardwood floors, new sheetrock, classic Old Chicago brick accents, PEX plumbing, and a durable cast iron tub and sink. The kitchen offers timeless charm with oak cabinets, butcher block countertops, open shelving, and a functional island--perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A tankless water heater adds modern efficiency to this beautifully restored home. Situated in Flood Zone X, this property also offers a fully fenced yard, extra parking, and is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street--adding both privacy and peace of mind.
-
2026-04-10status Pending
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
This home has been completely taken down to the frame and thoughtfully rebuilt using high-quality materials throughout. Offering over 2,000 square feet of living space, the property features 5 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living. Upgrades include hardwood floors, new sheetrock, classic Old Chicago brick accents, PEX plumbing, and a durable cast iron tub and sink. The kitchen offers timeless charm with oak cabinets, butcher block countertops, open shelving, and a functional island--perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A tankless water heater adds modern efficiency to this beautifully restored home. Situated in Flood Zone X, this property also offers a fully fenced yard, extra parking, and is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street--adding both privacy and peace of mind.
-
2026-03-30price $240,500
-
2026-03-29$240,500 Active 835-char remark
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
This home has been completely taken down to the frame and thoughtfully rebuilt using high-quality materials throughout. Offering over 2,000 square feet of living space, the property features 5 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living. Upgrades include hardwood floors, new sheetrock, classic Old Chicago brick accents, PEX plumbing, and a durable cast iron tub and sink. The kitchen offers timeless charm with oak cabinets, butcher block countertops, open shelving, and a functional island--perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A tankless water heater adds modern efficiency to this beautifully restored home. Situated in Flood Zone X, this property also offers a fully fenced yard, extra parking, and is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street--adding both privacy and peace of mind.
-
2026-03-29$269,900 Active
Show marketing remark (835 chars)
This home has been completely taken down to the frame and thoughtfully rebuilt using high-quality materials throughout. Offering over 2,000 square feet of living space, the property features 5 bedrooms and 3 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living. Upgrades include hardwood floors, new sheetrock, classic Old Chicago brick accents, PEX plumbing, and a durable cast iron tub and sink. The kitchen offers timeless charm with oak cabinets, butcher block countertops, open shelving, and a functional island--perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. A tankless water heater adds modern efficiency to this beautifully restored home. Situated in Flood Zone X, this property also offers a fully fenced yard, extra parking, and is tucked away on a quiet dead-end street--adding both privacy and peace of mind.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $627 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,320 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- +$693/yr (+$58/mo · 110.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,966
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$627
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,397
- − Management
- −$2,397
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable income
- $2,919
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$701
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,043/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home has been thoughtfully rebuilt using high-quality materials and offers over 2,000 square feet of living space with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value.
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ascension Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -31.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -25.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,423
- Composite
- 47.0/100
- National rank
- #2347
- State rank
- #7 of 98 in LA
Livability — Gonzales
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #135
- US rank
- #12429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ascension Parish · 98,362 people
- City population
- 49,084
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,084
- Household income
- $82,521
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 863.0
Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 145,480 people
- By 2030
- 158,329 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 183,741 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 207,615 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 260,244 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 289,576 · +99.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ascension
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.49%
- Current HPI
- 145.3384
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.26%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-0.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $240,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-21 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $240,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-04-10 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-10 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $240,500 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $269,900 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-29 Listed $240,500 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $627 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…