8907 Cloverlawn St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.
Key facts
- Solid brick shell
- Quick access to i-96
- 4,792 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $683 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Cap rate 33.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $30k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 97.51%
- DSCR
- 5.34
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $64,008
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8849 Roselawn St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,015 (+14%) | 4mo | $58,000 | $57 | 69 |
| 9020 Ohio St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 849 (-4%) | 18mo | $61,100 | $72 | 68 |
| 8566 Cloverlawn St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 929 (+4%) | 20mo | $78,000 | $84 | 66 |
| 8553 Cloverlawn St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (+14%) | 5mo | $84,000 | $83 | 62 |
| 8136 Roselawn St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 919 (+3%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $71 | 62 |
| 8294 Northlawn St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 998 (+12%) | 4mo | $52,000 | $52 | 60 |
| 8131 Greenlawn St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+8%) | 6mo | $26,000 | $27 | 58 |
| 9265 Birwood St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 908 (+2%) | 15mo | $57,000 | $63 | 54 |
| 8088 Ohio St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,002 (+13%) | 1mo | $83,000 | $83 | 53 |
| 9129 Prairie St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-11%) | 13mo | $16,000 | $20 | 46 |
| 8950 Birwood St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 964 (+8%) | 17mo | $102,000 | $106 | 44 |
| 8099 Wyoming St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 995 (+12%) | 16mo | $130,000 | $131 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.12×
- Total profit
- $59,827
- Equity at exit
- $27,026
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 17.91×
- Total profit
- $142,029
- Equity at exit
- $58,283
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48204
- Home prices YoY
- 18.5%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,126 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$38 /mo · $450/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $683
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $703 | -5% $693 | +0% $683 | +5% $672 | +10% $662 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $594 | -5% $638 | +0% $683 | +5% $727 | +10% $772 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $698 | -0.5pp $690 | base $683 | +0.5pp $675 | +1.0pp $667 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9022 Northlawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 8544 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 18d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 8353 Alpine St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 9353 Kentucky St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $999 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 10345 Crocuslawn Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8762 Epworth St Unit 8768 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 8283 Pinehurst St Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 9917 Woodside St Apt 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 9789 Chenlot St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,150 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 12019 Stoepel St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $943 | $0.94 | 5d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 12032 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,423 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $825 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,364 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5398 Allendale St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5101 Oregon St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,049 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 12415 Monica St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2025-12-16status Pending 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.
-
2025-12-16status Pending 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.
-
2025-12-16status Pending
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.
-
2025-12-09$30,000 Active 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.
-
2025-12-09$30,000 Active 437-char remark
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.
-
2025-12-09$30,000 Active
Show marketing remark (437 chars)
ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.
-
2009-05-18historical
-
2009-01-23$38,500
-
2008-03-31soldstatus $6,000
-
2008-01-24$14,000
-
2005-04-13soldstatus $84,000
-
2004-12-31historical
-
2004-12-15historical
-
2004-08-23$76,900
-
2004-08-23$76,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,517
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$450
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,081
- − Management
- −$1,081
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $8,201
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,968
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,222/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,696
- Household income
- $34,468
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1418.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 36.51%
- Current HPI
- 234.0465
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-61.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-12-16 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-09 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-09 Listed $30,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-09 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-05-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-01-23 Listed $38,500 REALCOMP
- 2008-03-31 Sold (MLS) $6,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-01-24 Listed $14,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
- 2004-12-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-12-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-08-23 Listed $76,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-08-23 Listed $76,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,389 · -14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…