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8907 Cloverlawn St
B+ Composite 77.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$30,000

8907 Cloverlawn St · Detroit, MI 48204
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 889 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1943 4,792 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.

Key facts

  • Solid brick shell
  • Quick access to i-96
  • 4,792 sq ft lot

Tags

SOLID BRICK SHELLQUICK ACCESS TO I-96

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $683 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Cap rate 33.6% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $6k; list at $30k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $30,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.75%
Cap rate
33.59%
Cash-on-cash
97.51%
DSCR
5.34
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,008
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8849 Roselawn St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,015 (+14%) 4mo $58,000 $57 69
9020 Ohio St 0.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 849 (-4%) 18mo $61,100 $72 68
8566 Cloverlawn St 0.21mi 3/1.0 929 (+4%) 20mo $78,000 $84 66
8553 Cloverlawn St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,012 (+14%) 5mo $84,000 $83 62
8136 Roselawn St 0.48mi 3/1.5 919 (+3%) 10mo $65,000 $71 62
8294 Northlawn St 0.35mi 3/1.0 998 (+12%) 4mo $52,000 $52 60
8131 Greenlawn St 0.49mi 3/1.0 960 (+8%) 6mo $26,000 $27 58
9265 Birwood St 0.64mi 3/1.0 908 (+2%) 15mo $57,000 $63 54
8088 Ohio St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,002 (+13%) 1mo $83,000 $83 53
9129 Prairie St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 792 (-11%) 13mo $16,000 $20 46
8950 Birwood St 0.59mi 3/1.0 964 (+8%) 17mo $102,000 $106 44
8099 Wyoming St 0.63mi 3/1.0 995 (+12%) 16mo $130,000 $131 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.12×
Total profit
$59,827
Equity at exit
$27,026
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.91×
Total profit
$142,029
Equity at exit
$58,283

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,126 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$38 /mo · $450/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$683

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $703 -5% $693 +0% $683 +5% $672 +10% $662
Rent -10% $594 -5% $638 +0% $683 +5% $727 +10% $772
Rate -1.0pp $698 -0.5pp $690 base $683 +0.5pp $675 +1.0pp $667

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9022 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 25d 1 0.04mi
8544 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 18d 1 0.25mi
8353 Alpine St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 44d 1 0.38mi
9353 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $999 $1.25 18d 1 0.41mi
10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 44d 1 0.67mi
10345 Crocuslawn Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 44d 1 0.77mi
8762 Epworth St Unit 8768 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 25d 1 0.83mi
8283 Pinehurst St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.84mi
9917 Woodside St Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 44d 1 0.91mi
9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 44d 1 0.95mi
9789 Chenlot St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 5d 1 1.00mi
10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 44d 1 1.03mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 44d 1 1.03mi
12019 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $943 $0.94 5d 1 1.20mi
12032 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,423 $1.58 5d 1 1.20mi
12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1009 $825 $0.82 44d 1 1.24mi
9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 44d 1 1.31mi
5398 Allendale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 24d 1 1.35mi
5101 Oregon St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,049 $1.05 44d 1 1.43mi
12415 Monica St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 1.43mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 25d 1 1.47mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2025-12-16
    status Pending 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.

  2. 2025-12-16
    status Pending 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.

  3. 2025-12-16
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.

  4. 2025-12-09
    listed $30,000 Active 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.

  5. 2025-12-09
    listed $30,000 Active 437-char remark
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.

  6. 2025-12-09
    listed $30,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (437 chars)

    ChatGPT said:Brick single family in the Barton-McFarland area of Detroit. Solid brick shell but the interior and mechanicals need a full rehab from top to bottom. This is a cash only opportunity for investors who want a clean slate to rebuild value. The location sits near the Joy, Chicago, and Wyoming corridors with quick access to I-96 and the Southfield Freeway, giving strong connectivity for future resale or rental once renovated.

  7. 2009-05-18
    historical
  8. 2009-01-23
    listed $38,500
  9. 2008-03-31
    soldstatus $6,000
  10. 2008-01-24
    listed $14,000
  11. 2005-04-13
    soldstatus $84,000
  12. 2004-12-31
    historical
  13. 2004-12-15
    historical
  14. 2004-08-23
    listed $76,900
  15. 2004-08-23
    listed $76,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,517
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$450
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,081
− Management
−$1,081
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$8,201
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,968
After-tax cash flow
$6,222/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-61.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-16 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-16 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-16 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $30,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-09 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-05-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-01-23 Listed $38,500 REALCOMP
  • 2008-03-31 Sold (MLS) $6,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-01-24 Listed $14,000 REALCOMP
  • 2005-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
  • 2004-12-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2004-12-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-08-23 Listed $76,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-08-23 Listed $76,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,389 · -14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…