272 Main St · Unadilla, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$178,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
In the heart of the Village and in close proximity to the school, this home blends everyday convenience with a layout offering space to gather, space to work, and space to unwind. Come inside to a bright and expansive main level where hardwood floors anchor a welcoming living room, flowing seamlessly into a formal dining space and an updated kitchen designed for both everyday ease and entertaining. A separate den and full family room give you options — whether you need a home office, playroom, or quiet retreat — while a conveniently located half bath completes the first floor. A bonus room just off the living area is currently used as a bedroom, offering even more flexibility fo
Key facts
- Formal dining space
- Separate den
- Main level
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Septic tank
- Home design: 2 stories; Existing construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Poured and stone foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Leased propane tank; Rectangular lot; Main thoroughfare frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 63 x 174
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Hot water heating; Radiator heating
- Interior features: Country kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Propane water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $178k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-399/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $172k (3.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (10.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#950 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
- Otego-Unadilla Central School District (rural): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #547 of 590 in NY (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Otsego County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Otsego County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $178k implies a 302% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.80%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $191,289
- List price
- $178,000
- Delta
- -6.95%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Watson St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,926 (+6%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $101 | 78 |
| 49 Maple Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,660 (-9%) | 20mo | $151,000 | $91 | 57 |
| 64 Martin Brook St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,650 (-10%) | 14mo | $152,000 | $92 | 56 |
| 7 Clifton St | 0.42mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,758 (-4%) | 17mo | $143,300 | $82 | 55 |
| 1431 River Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,608 (-12%) | 2mo | $157,000 | $98 | 54 |
| 21 Martin Brook St | 0.21mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,636 (-10%) | 19mo | $152,000 | $93 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.90×
- Total profit
- $94,887
- Equity at exit
- $160,357
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.64×
- Total profit
- $281,210
- Equity at exit
- $345,815
Cash invested: $49,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13849
- Home prices YoY
- 32.7%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,589 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$933
- Tax from tax record
- −$281 /mo · $3,374/yr
- Insurance
- −$74
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $-33
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,500
- Closing costs
- $5,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 1202-char remark
-
2026-04-23$178,000 Active 1202-char remark
-
2026-04-13historical
-
2026-03-13price $179,900
-
2025-10-13$185,000 Active
-
2006-01-11$109,000
-
1996-03-13soldstatus $44,250
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,374 · $281/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,374 · $281/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,971
- − Property taxes
- −$3,374
- − Insurance
- −$890
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,526
- − Management
- −$1,526
- − Depreciation
- −$5,178
- Taxable loss
- −$3,393
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$814
- After-tax cash flow
- $415/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Otego-Unadilla Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,590
- Composite
- 31.77/100
- National rank
- #5896
- State rank
- #547 of 590 in NY
Livability — Unadilla
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #950
- US rank
- #18482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Unadilla, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,351
Population outlook (Otsego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,987 people
- By 2030
- 55,403 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 50,336 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 45,715 · -21.2%
- By 2075
- 38,769 · -33.1%
- By 2100
- 33,468 · -42.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 5% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Otsego
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.9) · D 46.1% · R 53.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.8pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.9 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+13.0 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 82.22%
- Current HPI
- 333.8209
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+302.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $178,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-04-13 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $179,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $185,000 UNYREIS
- 2006-01-11 Listed $109,000 UNYREIS
- 1996-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $44,250 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,374 · +33.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…