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B- Composite 68.04
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$279,900

50 Emerald Woods Dr Unit A9 · Pine Ridge, FL 34108
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 809 sqft · Condo public records · 264 Days on market
Built 1988 $717/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located just over a mile from the pristine Vanderbilt Beach and within walking distance to the vibrant Mercato for dining, shopping, cinema, and nightlife, this newly renovated 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom condo offers the ultimate in comfort and convenience. Enjoy quick access to Artis—Naples, Waterside Shops, and a 30-minute drive to RSW Airport. Emerald Woods, surrounded by multimillion-dollar homes, is a serene neighborhood perfect for walking, running, or biking. This condo presents an exceptional value for those seeking a taste of Naples living. The unit features high-end finishes throughout, including top-of-the-line appliances and quality materials. Step into an open-concept living s

Key facts

  • Spa-like pool
  • Private patios
  • Hot tub area

Tags

PRIVATE PATIOSOUTDOOR STORAGE CLOSETSPA-LIKE POOLHOT TUB AREANEW ROOFRESORT-STYLE AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Professional management; Monthly master HOA fee; HOA amenities include clubhouse, community pool, community spa/hot tub, and community park; HOA maintenance covers lawn/land maintenance, exterior pest control, sewer, street lights, street maintenance, trash removal, and water; Total annual recurring HOA fees: $8,604; One-time fees: $150; Non-gated community (Emerald Pines)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Residential low-rise building (1–3 stories); 2-story building design; Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior; Tile roof
  • Construction: Built in 1988; Concrete block construction; Stucco finish; Tile roof; Single-hung windows
  • Exterior features: Patio; Landscaped area view; Rear exposure facing NE; Restrictions: Deeded, No Commercial, No RV

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower-only master bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Built-in cabinets; Smoke detectors; Laundry in residence; Unfurnished; 2-story floor plan
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $738 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $280k).
  • Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.4% in Pine Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#565 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 679 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($119k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 264 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 11562% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $280k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $246,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 264 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
9.46%
Cash-on-cash
11.31%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$23,463
Equity at exit
$41,734
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
3.30×
Total profit
$179,981
Equity at exit
$24,201

Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34108

Rents YoY
8.7%
Active inventory
679
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,051 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,923/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$717
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$851
Net cashflow
$738

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,116
Max offer price $279,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $897 -5% $818 +0% $738 +5% $659 +10% $580
Rent -10% $418 -5% $578 +0% $738 +5% $898 +10% $1,058
Rate -1.0pp $879 -0.5pp $810 base $738 +0.5pp $666 +1.0pp $592

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,975
Closing costs
$8,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9123 Strada Pl Naples, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1267 $5,000 $3.94 14d 6 0.60mi
516 Gordonia Rd Naples, FL 2.0 1.0 1100 $3,200 $2.91 24d 1 0.70mi
200 Cajeput Dr Naples, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $2,500 $3.33 24d 1 0.78mi
757 95th Ave N Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,150 $1.95 24d 1 1.03mi
668 97th Ave N Unit A Naples, FL 2.0 1.0 775 $4,500 $5.81 24d 1 1.23mi
301 Ridge Dr Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 900 $6,000 $6.67 24d 1 1.32mi
751 100th Ave N Naples, FL 2.0 1.0 912 $4,000 $4.39 24d 1 1.32mi
663 100th Ave N Naples, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,650 $2.65 24d 1 1.43mi
7756 Jewel Ln #102 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1022 $3,700 $3.62 24d 1 1.43mi
7719 Jewel Ln #103 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1022 $3,800 $3.72 24d 1 1.43mi
7750 Jewel Ln #103 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1102 $2,100 $1.91 14d 1 1.43mi
521 96th Ave N Unit B Naples, FL 1.0 1.0 808 $1,745 $2.16 24d 1 1.44mi
7712 Jewel Ln Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1022 $1,850 $1.81 24d 1 1.47mi
271 Southbay Dr #235 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1075 $8,000 $7.44 14d 1 1.48mi
271 Southbay Dr #155 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $10,000 $9.47 24d 1 1.48mi
271 Southbay Dr #235 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1075 $8,000 $7.44 24d 1 1.48mi
271 Southbay Dr Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1050 $2,700 $2.57 24d 1 1.48mi
260 Southbay Dr Unit 1226371P Naples, FL 1.0 1.0 581 $4,413 $7.60 14d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$717 · $8,604/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    historical $2,400
  2. 2026-04-29
    listed $2,400
  3. 2026-04-28
    historical $2,400
  4. 2026-04-11
    price $279,900
  5. 2026-04-10
    listed $2,400
  6. 2025-12-18
    price $295,000
  7. 2025-10-24
    price $309,000
  8. 2025-10-02
    status Active
  9. 2025-08-29
    listed $319,000 Active
  10. 2025-08-08
    historical
  11. 2025-03-19
    price $319,000
  12. 2025-02-13
    listed $349,000 Active
  13. 2017-07-07
    soldstatus $115,000
  14. 1989-07-01
    soldstatus $57,000
  15. 1987-10-01
    soldstatus $58,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,923 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,323 · $194/mo
Expected delta
+$401/yr (+$33/mo · 20.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$48,608
− Mortgage interest
−$15,679
− Property taxes
−$1,923
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,889
− Management
−$3,889
− HOA
−$8,604
− Depreciation
−$8,143
Taxable income
$5,083
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,220
After-tax cash flow
$7,640/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pine Ridge

Score
67/100
State rank
#565
US rank
#10798

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pine Ridge, FL
County
Collier County · 396,295 people
City population
18,514
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
16,237
Household income
$119,212
Rent vs Own
14.0% rent · 86.0% own
Severe rent burden
237.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Dominican Republic, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -587.97%
Current HPI
275.1872
Rent YoY
▲ 8.74%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-95.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Rental Removed $2,400 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-04-29 Listed for Rent $2,400 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-04-28 Rental Removed $2,400 TURBOTENANT
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $279,900 BEARMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed for Rent $2,400 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-12-18 Price Changed $295,000 BEARMLS
  • 2025-10-24 Price Changed $309,000 BEARMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Relisted BEARMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Listed $319,000 BEARMLS
  • 2025-08-08 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-03-19 Price Changed $319,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-02-13 Listed $349,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2017-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 1989-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 1987-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,923 · +109.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…