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7907 Chestnut Ave
A Composite 86.41
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$60,000

7907 Chestnut Ave · Kansas City, MO 64132
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1925 0.27 ac lot $69/sqft · 32% below area Est $88k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment property. We have already had neighbors on the street ask if it is going to be a rental because they are interested. The property is two lots so plenty of room. IF you would want to build a garage or have an extra large shed on the lot, there is space. The house definitely needs some TLC so bring your creativity and hard work.

Key facts

  • Two lots
  • Extra large shed
  • Investment property

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYTWO LOTSSPACE FOR GARAGEEXTRA LARGE SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 11,654 square feet; Not in a flood plain
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 1.5-story floor plan; Facing not specified
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Age: 101+ years
  • Exterior features: Metal fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Formal dining area; Unfinished stone/rock basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Center 58 (urban): math 12% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #301 of 324 in MO (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Center Elem. (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #982 of 1,115 statewide, top 89%, 347 students, 99% FRL); Center Middle (math 7% / reading 28%, grade F, #350 of 391 statewide, top 90%, 560 students, 66% FRL); Center Sr. High (math 5% / reading 37%, grade F, #468 of 521 statewide, top 90%, 742 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
16.78%
Cash-on-cash
37.44%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$88,477
List price
$60,000
Delta
-32.19%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7907 Chestnut Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 864 (0%) 1mo $60,000 $69 99
2915 E 77th Ter 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (0%) 3mo $125,000 $145 82
2121 E 77th Ter 0.45mi 2/1.0 832 (-4%) 2mo $78,000 $94 72
8111 Park Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 882 (+2%) 3mo $129,900 $147 66
8321 Olive St 0.58mi 2/1.0 803 (-7%) 0mo $70,000 $87 61
2304 E 75th St 0.63mi 2/1.0 832 (-4%) 4mo $69,900 $84 61
7426 Indiana Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 874 (+1%) 2mo $120,000 $137 59
8029 Park Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 744 (-14%) 4mo $104,500 $140 57
8405 Wabash Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 936 (+8%) 2mo $74,889 $80 55
8110 Paseo Blvd 0.69mi 2/1.0 792 (-8%) 3mo $75,000 $95 52
1901 E 79th St 0.56mi 2/2.0 942 (+9%) 4mo $185,000 $196 51
7930 Michigan St 0.59mi 2/1.0 960 (+11%) 3mo $60,000 $63 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.1%
Equity multiple
4.93×
Total profit
$66,046
Equity at exit
$54,053
10-year hold
IRR
46.7%
Equity multiple
11.01×
Total profit
$168,213
Equity at exit
$116,567

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64132

Home prices YoY
23.6%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,171 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $738/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$524

Break-even live

Break-even rent $508
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $558 -5% $541 +0% $524 +5% $507 +10% $490
Rent -10% $432 -5% $478 +0% $524 +5% $570 +10% $617
Rate -1.0pp $554 -0.5pp $539 base $524 +0.5pp $509 +1.0pp $493

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7560 Prospect Ave Unit F Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 900 $925 $1.03 45d 1 0.40mi
7560 Prospect Ave Unit G Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 900 $925 $1.03 5d 1 0.41mi
1861 E 78th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,095 $1.27 18d 1 0.48mi
1830 E 78th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 14d 1 0.57mi
3106 E 75th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 985 $1,225 $1.24 23d 1 0.57mi
7411 Montgall Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 840 $1,200 $1.43 45d 1 0.62mi
7412 Bellefontaine Ave Unit A Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,200 $1.54 4d 1 0.64mi
7426 Indiana Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 45d 1 0.68mi
7317 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 767 $895 $1.17 25d 1 0.73mi
7427 Arleta Blvd Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 805 $1,150 $1.43 45d 1 0.79mi
8226 Flora Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 862 $1,200 $1.39 4d 1 0.91mi
7133 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,645 $1.50 25d 1 0.96mi
7127 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 25d 1 1.05mi
7036 Bellefontaine Ave Unit A Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 810 $1,200 $1.48 4d 1 1.07mi
7115 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 865 $1,350 $1.56 18d 1 1.07mi
7022 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,095 $1.00 16d 1 1.09mi
2422 E 70th Ter Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 748 $1,356 $1.81 14d 1 1.12mi
8222 Troost Ave Unit 8222-1 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 825 $1,400 $1.70 16d 1 1.19mi
8150 Troost Ave Unit 53 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 45d 1 1.22mi
8208 Troost Ave Unit 8218-3 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,345 $1.79 45d 1 1.23mi
6921 Prospect Ave Unit C Kansas City, MO 1.0 1.0 538 $850 $1.58 5d 1 1.23mi
8208 Troost Ave Kansas City, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0 761 $1,395 $1.83 9d 2 1.24mi
8101 Campbell St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 820 $888 $1.08 3d 1 1.25mi
2120 E 68th Ter Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 930 $1,200 $1.29 25d 1 1.42mi
2421 E 67th Ter Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,125 $1.38 18d 1 1.47mi
6817 Cleveland Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 779 $1,100 $1.41 45d 1 1.49mi
6941 Spruce Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 815 $950 $1.17 45d 1 1.49mi
2430 E 67th Ter Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 960 $1,195 $1.24 45d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 345-char remark
  2. 2026-05-15
    listed $60,000 Active 345-char remark
  3. 1987-07-29
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$738 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$738 · $62/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,055
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$738
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,124
− Management
−$1,124
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$5,662
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,359
After-tax cash flow
$4,931/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Center 58
NCES district ID
2908250
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,544
Composite
17.64/100
National rank
#9031
State rank
#301 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
12,084
Household income
$45,622
Rent vs Own
51.2% rent · 48.8% own
Severe rent burden
679.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 79.13%
Current HPI
414.4305
Rent YoY
▲ 2.98%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-18 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $60,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1987-07-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $738 · -9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…