7907 Chestnut Ave · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment property. We have already had neighbors on the street ask if it is going to be a rental because they are interested. The property is two lots so plenty of room. IF you would want to build a garage or have an extra large shed on the lot, there is space. The house definitely needs some TLC so bring your creativity and hard work.
Key facts
- Two lots
- Extra large shed
- Investment property
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 11,654 square feet; Not in a flood plain
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 1.5-story floor plan; Facing not specified
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Age: 101+ years
- Exterior features: Metal fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Formal dining area; Unfinished stone/rock basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Center 58 (urban): math 12% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #301 of 324 in MO (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Center Elem. (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #982 of 1,115 statewide, top 89%, 347 students, 99% FRL); Center Middle (math 7% / reading 28%, grade F, #350 of 391 statewide, top 90%, 560 students, 66% FRL); Center Sr. High (math 5% / reading 37%, grade F, #468 of 521 statewide, top 90%, 742 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.44%
- DSCR
- 2.67
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $88,477
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -32.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7907 Chestnut Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (0%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $69 | 99 |
| 2915 E 77th Ter | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (0%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $145 | 82 |
| 2121 E 77th Ter | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-4%) | 2mo | $78,000 | $94 | 72 |
| 8111 Park Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 882 (+2%) | 3mo | $129,900 | $147 | 66 |
| 8321 Olive St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 803 (-7%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $87 | 61 |
| 2304 E 75th St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-4%) | 4mo | $69,900 | $84 | 61 |
| 7426 Indiana Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 874 (+1%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $137 | 59 |
| 8029 Park Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-14%) | 4mo | $104,500 | $140 | 57 |
| 8405 Wabash Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+8%) | 2mo | $74,889 | $80 | 55 |
| 8110 Paseo Blvd | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (-8%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $95 | 52 |
| 1901 E 79th St | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 942 (+9%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $196 | 51 |
| 7930 Michigan St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+11%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $63 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 53.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.93×
- Total profit
- $66,046
- Equity at exit
- $54,053
- IRR
- 46.7%
- Equity multiple
- 11.01×
- Total profit
- $168,213
- Equity at exit
- $116,567
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64132
- Home prices YoY
- 23.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,171 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$62 /mo · $738/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $524
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $558 | -5% $541 | +0% $524 | +5% $507 | +10% $490 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $432 | -5% $478 | +0% $524 | +5% $570 | +10% $617 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $554 | -0.5pp $539 | base $524 | +0.5pp $509 | +1.0pp $493 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7560 Prospect Ave Unit F Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 7560 Prospect Ave Unit G Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $925 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1861 E 78th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,095 | $1.27 | 18d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1830 E 78th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3106 E 75th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 985 | $1,225 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 7411 Montgall Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,200 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7412 Bellefontaine Ave Unit A Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,200 | $1.54 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7426 Indiana Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7317 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $895 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7427 Arleta Blvd Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 805 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 8226 Flora Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 862 | $1,200 | $1.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7133 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,645 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7127 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7036 Bellefontaine Ave Unit A Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,200 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7115 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,350 | $1.56 | 18d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 7022 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2422 E 70th Ter Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,356 | $1.81 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 8222 Troost Ave Unit 8222-1 Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,400 | $1.70 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8150 Troost Ave Unit 53 Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 8208 Troost Ave Unit 8218-3 Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,345 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6921 Prospect Ave Unit C Kansas City, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 538 | $850 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 8208 Troost Ave Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 761 | $1,395 | $1.83 | 9d | 2 | 1.24mi |
| 8101 Campbell St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $888 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2120 E 68th Ter Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,200 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2421 E 67th Ter Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,125 | $1.38 | 18d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 6817 Cleveland Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 779 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 6941 Spruce Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $950 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2430 E 67th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,195 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 345-char remark
-
2026-05-15$60,000 Active 345-char remark
-
1987-07-29soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $738 · $62/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $738 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,055
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$738
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,124
- − Management
- −$1,124
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $5,662
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,359
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,931/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Center 58
- NCES district ID
- 2908250
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,544
- Composite
- 17.64/100
- National rank
- #9031
- State rank
- #301 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,084
- Household income
- $45,622
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 679.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 79.13%
- Current HPI
- 414.4305
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.98%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-18 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-15 Listed $60,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1987-07-29 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $738 · -9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…